Gameweek 11 left a distinct set of individual performances that shaped results across the top flight. Manchester City seized the initiative in the weekend’s standout fixture, while Liverpool’s title defence looked vulnerable.

In goal, Jordan Pickford kept a clean sheet at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, recording four saves and preventing 0.91 of expected goals en route to an 8.3 rating. That score was matched by Idrissa Gueye, who opened the scoring for Everton late in the first half. Bukayo Saka drew Arsenal level at the Stadium of Light with an excellent weak-footed finish to beat Robin Roefs at his near post; the strike was his first from open play in a Premier League away game since April.

Amadou Onana doubled Aston Villa’s lead from distance in a dominant display at Villa Park, adding nine defensive contributions in a combative midfield showing. Emiliano Martínez produced a vintage performance for Villa, coming up clutch to deny Antoine Semenyo from 12 yards and tipping a deflected Alex Scott effort over the bar, making key saves at important moments.

Manchester City’s midfield depth showed as Nico González impressed at the base of midfield against Liverpool, his efficient control highlighted by a deflected strike from distance. Right back Matheus Nunes earned an 8.4 rating, his delivery creating the opening goal and underlining his comfort in the role after a conversion from central midfield.

Chelsea had notable contributors as Emiliano Buendía opened the scoring with a wonderful free-kick against Bournemouth and Pedro Neto finished from close range in a 3–0 win over his former club. Alejandro Garnacho kept his place and produced his best performance since signing for Chelsea in the summer, finishing the victory with a pair of assists and electric one-on-one work down the left.

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall was central to Everton’s success against Fulham. “He played for them, did he?” you’ll answer in a few years’ time when someone brings up Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall’s single season with Chelsea. The midfielder had a goal ruled out, recorded an assist, led the game with 14 defensive contributions and posted ten successful duels, the most of any Everton player.

Jérémy Doku delivered one of the weekend’s most electric displays for Man City, completing seven of eight attempted dribbles, creating a joint-high three chances and capping the display with a long-range finish after the hour mark.

Arsenal and Liverpool both dropped points in Gameweek 11, but Opta’s projection model continues to favour Mikel Arteta’s side for the 2025–26 Premier League title. Arsenal drew 2–2 and Manchester City thrashed Liverpool 3–0 at the Etihad, bringing City within four points of the leaders.

Opta’s supercomputer places Arsenal top with 26 current points and an expected total of 80.21 points, giving them a 65.49% chance of winning the title. Man City sit on 22 points and are projected to finish on 72.73 points with a 19.43% title probability. Liverpool, on 18 points after the Etihad defeat, are forecast to end the season on 69.20 points with an 8.89% chance.

Despite the draw against Sunderland, the model still sees Arsenal as the most likely champions. Opta notes Arsenal’s projected 80 points would be four fewer than the total Liverpool required to win last season. The projection also indicates that a title won with around 80 points would rank as the fourth-lowest champions total in league history.

Below the top three, Opta projects a tight fight for Champions League qualification. Chelsea are projected to finish fourth on 63.20 expected points with a 39.23% Champions League probability. Aston Villa and Crystal Palace are forecast to battle for the fifth spot, with Villa on 60.00 expected points (23.78%) and Palace on 59.49 (22.06%).

Bournemouth are still in the hunt and are projected to finish on 57.15 points (13.35%), while Manchester United are forecast at 56.34 points with an 11.55% chance of making a return to Europe’s biggest stage. Brighton (55.86 expected points, 10.79%) and Tottenham Hotspur (55.01 expected points, 9.88%) round out Opta’s projected top 10.

Opta’s forecast assumes the top five in the English top-flight are likely to qualify for UEFA’s premier club competition. Injuries and red cards have affected Chelsea’s 2025–26 campaign after their FIFA Club World Cup triumph, according to the projection context.

Eleven matches into a 38-game season, the table already offers a meaningful snapshot. Trends that have held for seasons now give weight to standings after the third international break, even if nothing is decided.

Arsenal sit top with a healthy cushion despite seeing their defensive run punctured by Sunderland on Saturday, much to Mikel Arteta’s open fury. The Gunners have accumulated an unusually high number of clean sheets and reversed last season’s results in a run that included Newcastle, West Ham, Fulham and Crystal Palace. In the corresponding fixtures last season Arsenal took two points from a possible 12; this time they won all four matches.

Pep Guardiola provided a timely caveat: “Nobody wins the title in early November. You can lose it—but nobody wins it.” City underlined their credentials with a thumping victory over Liverpool on Sunday afternoon. While Guardiola’s serial title winners narrowed the gap behind Arsenal to just four points, the defending champions fell twice as far back.

Arne Slot’s misfiring side sit below newly promoted Sunderland, a toothless Tottenham Hotspur and an Aston Villa team that waited more than seven hours of Premier League football before scoring their first goal of the season. Wolves remain in a desperate position: Vitor Pereira has been handed his marching orders, the club have just two points and are the only side without a league win across England’s top seven tiers. Victories for Nottingham Forest and West Ham on the final weekend before November’s international break have increased Wolves’ isolation.

Newcastle feature in a contrasting story. They sit high in the Champions League group phase, yet domestically they are 14th and only two points above the relegation zone after a 3–1 loss to Brentford on Sunday.

Standings (Games, Goal Difference, Points):
1. Arsenal — 11, +15, 26
2. Man City — 11, +15, 22
3. Chelsea — 11, +10, 20
4. Sunderland — 11, +4, 19
5. Tottenham — 11, +9, 18
6. Aston Villa — 11, +3, 18
7. Man Utd — 11, +1, 18
8. Liverpool — 11, +1, 18
9. Bournemouth — 11, -1, 18
10. Crystal Palace — 11, +5, 17
11. Brighton — 11, +2, 16
12. Brentford — 11, 0, 16
13. Everton — 11, -1, 15
14. Newcastle — 11, -3, 12
15. Fulham — 11, -4, 11
16. Leeds — 11, -10, 11
17. Burnley — 11, -8, 10
18. West Ham — 11, -10, 10
19. Nottingham Forest — 11, -10, 9
20. Wolves — 11, -18, 2

Standings correct as of Nov. 9, 2025.