Gameweek 35
Opta supercomputer places Spurs and West Ham at centre of 2025/26 relegation fight
Opta supercomputer puts Spurs and West Ham in a two-horse relegation fight with three games left …
Tottenham Hotspur’s 2–1 victory at Villa Park on Sunday shifted the look of the relegation scrap as the 2025/26 campaign nears its end. A day earlier West Ham suffered a 3–0 defeat to Brentford, and the two results combined to reverse the positions of the clubs that had occupied 17th and 18th heading into Gameweek 35.
Before those results, West Ham held the edge over Roberto De Zerbi’s men. After Tottenham’s win at Aston Villa, Spurs moved above the Hammers. With only three matches remaining, Opta’s supercomputer offers a clear set of probabilities for the final run-in:
15. Leeds United — Current Points 43, Expected Points 46.72, Relegation Chances 0.10%
16. Nottingham Forest — Current Points 39, Expected Points 44.12, Relegation Chances 2.29%
17. Tottenham — Current Points 37, Expected Points 40.90, Relegation Chances 22.48%
18. West Ham — Current Points 36, Expected Points 39.22, Relegation Chances 75.09%
19. Burnley — Current Points 20, Expected Points 22.73, Relegation Chances 100.00%
20. Wolves — Current Points 18, Expected Points 21.02, Relegation Chances 100.00%
Leeds United strengthened their position with a 3–1 victory over Burnley on Friday. The three points moved Daniel Farke’s side to 14th, seven points clear of the drop zone. Opta’s model still projects the Whites to finish a place lower than they stand now, but that margin provides breathing space.
Nottingham Forest must wait until Monday’s meeting with Chelsea. Even a single point at Stamford Bridge would take the Tricky Trees to 40 points, and the supercomputer backs Vítor Pereira’s men to indeed remain safe, assigning them a 2.29% chance of relegation.
For Tottenham, consecutive league wins have produced a small cushion in 17th, but the model gives them a 22.48% probability of dropping out of the division for the first time since 1977. With three games left, the permutations are tight and every result will materially reshape those projections.
Arsenal
FPL Gameweek 35: Priority Picks and Value Options
GW35 FPL essentials: Raya, Darlow, Bruno, Haaland and budget defenders to boost your squad this wk.
With four gameweeks left, Gameweek 35 demands careful moves. Managers still chasing mini-league gains should prioritise reliable returns and inexpensive enablers that free funds for captains in the final stretch.
Goalkeepers: David Raya (£6.0m) remains the standout option among keepers after a 10-point haul last weekend and offers value alongside Arsenal’s defence. Fulham have blanked in four of their last six league games, making a home clean sheet plausible. At the other end of the budget spectrum, Karl Darlow (£3.9m) has accrued 24 points across his last five games and faces relegated Burnley at home, serving as a low-cost enabler. For managers planning ahead to double Gameweek 36, Dean Henderson (£5.1m) is an alternative given Crystal Palace’s two fixtures next round, despite a tricky away match with Bournemouth this Sunday.
Defenders: Gabriel (£7.2m) is a must, while Nico O’Reilly (£5.1m) has become increasingly attractive for managers preparing for City’s double in the next round; he has returned 27 points from his past three fixtures and faces low-scoring Everton away on Monday. Crystal Palace options include Jaydee Canvot (£4.5m) and Chris Richards (£4.4m) as budget routes into their backline, and Daniel Muñoz (£5.8m) offers more attacking upside after scoring in the defeat at Liverpool. Leeds defensive targets such as James Justin (£3.9m), Jayden Bogle (£4.4m) and Pascal Struijk (£4.3m) are also useful given a favourable fixture.
Midfielders: Bruno Fernandes (£10.4m) stands alone as the essential midfield pick; he is chasing the Premier League assist record for a single season and has delivered returns in each of his past seven matches, even ahead of Manchester United’s home game with Liverpool. Other options highlighted are Eberechi Eze (£7.2m), who made an impact after being brought off the bench in Europe, Rayan Cherki (£6.5m) with 23 points across his last three matches, Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m) ahead of a double, Noah Okafor (£5.6m) despite a slight injury concern, and Enzo Fernández (£6.5m) under Calum McFarlane.
Forwards: Erling Haaland (£14.5m) is essential following recent goalscoring exploits. Support options include Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£5.7m), who could benefit from Burnley’s struggles after Scott Parker’s dismissal, and Jarrod Bowen (£7.8m), who has produced 24 points across his past two home games for West Ham ahead of a trip to Brentford.
Arsenal
Gameweek 35: Predictions and what is at stake as four rounds remain
Just four rounds remain in the Premier League; Gameweek 35th will affect title, Europe and survival.
Four rounds remain in the Premier League and Gameweek 35 stretches across four days. The title race between Arsenal and Manchester City will dominate attention, while the relegation battle and the fight for European places remain finely poised.
Leeds United suffered FA Cup semi-final disappointment at Wembley last weekend, beaten by Chelsea, but they return to Elland Road in a strong league position. The Whites sit six points clear of safety and host already relegated Burnley, who have lost their last four and have parted ways with manager Scott Parker. Leeds were 3–0 victors at Elland Road in their last outing and are predicted to win again.
Prediction: Leeds 3–0 Burnley
West Ham remain in the scrap, one point clear of Tottenham after Callum Wilson’s stoppage-time winner last weekend. Unbeaten in three, the Hammers travel to Brentford, who are chasing European qualification and have been drawing frequently. A share of the points looks likely.
Prediction: Brentford 1–1 West Ham
Eddie Howe faces pressure at Newcastle with the club only eight points clear of the drop. Brighton top the form table with 13 points from their last five and arrive after a 3–0 win over Chelsea. Brighton are tipped to take three points at St James’ Park.
Prediction: Newcastle 1–2 Brighton
Wolves have failed to score in their last three and appear low on confidence. Sunderland, recovering from a 5–0 home defeat to Nottingham Forest, travel to Molineux and are favoured to respond.
Prediction: Wolves 0–2 Sunderland
Arsenal, fresh from a narrow win over Newcastle, host Fulham. Arsenal’s European exertions in Madrid are noted, but a deep squad and recent returns leave them expected to edge the London rivals.
Prediction: Arsenal 2–0 Fulham
Bournemouth and Crystal Palace face a contest between two clubs preparing for managerial changes this summer. Palace may be content with a point after recent European commitments.
Prediction: Bournemouth 1–1 Crystal Palace
Manchester United and Liverpool meet with Champions League places likely at stake, but pride the main motivator. Home advantage could prove decisive for Man Utd.
Prediction: Man Utd 2–1 Liverpool
Tottenham remain in real trouble and visit Aston Villa, who have beaten Spurs twice this season. Villa are slight favourites.
Prediction: Aston Villa 1–0 Tottenham
Chelsea, now under interim leadership after Liam Rosenior’s exit, beat Leeds to reach the FA Cup final under Calum McFarlane. They host Nottingham Forest, who returned from Europa League action this week, in a tight fixture.
Prediction: Chelsea 2–1 Nottingham Forest
Manchester City finish the round at Everton on Monday. City need perfect form down the stretch and are expected to take all three points.
Prediction: Everton 0–1 Man City
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Analytics & Stats2 months agoOpta Supercomputer: Tight Premier League Relegation Picture After Tottenham Defeat
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Analytics & Stats2 months agoOpta Supercomputer Lays Out 2025–26 Premier League Forecast as Arsenal Lead the Way
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Analytics & Stats1 month agoOpta Model: Tottenham’s Survival Odds After Igor Tudor Exit
