Aston Villa’s 3–0 Europa League final win over Freiburg in Istanbul on Wednesday night has ripple effects beyond the club and its supporters. It wasn’t just Aston Villa supporters who celebrated, with fans of several other Premier League sides cheering on “Unai Emery’s men”.

As the Premier League season reaches its final round on Sunday, Villa’s triumph creates a scenario in which the team finishing sixth could qualify for next season’s Champions League. Under the current arrangement, England’s top five will enter Europe’s premier competition next season, but Villa’s Europa League success alters how the available berths would be allocated.

Four of those five places are already confirmed. Arsenal, Manchester City, Manchester United and Villa have all booked their spot. They will be joined by either Liverpool or Bournemouth, almost certainly the former. England’s UEFA coefficient has earned the country an extra Champions League slot for 2026–27, and that additional place is currently being taken up by Liverpool in fifth.

The Europa League winner is also guaranteed a Champions League berth. That means if Villa finish fifth in the Premier League, the extra place tied to their continental victory would cascade down and be taken up by the team that finishes sixth, because Villa have already secured an extra performance slot through winning the Europa League.

For Villa to end the campaign fifth they must lose their final match away at Man City, while Liverpool would need to beat Brentford at Anfield. The Reds’ superior goal difference would see them leapfrog Villa into fourth in that scenario. If that sequence happens, the team who finishes sixth, currently Bournemouth, would qualify for the Champions League.

Bournemouth know a draw away at Nottingham Forest would be enough to clinch sixth. There is also a very slight chance of them finishing fifth with victory at the City Ground.

Manchester United completed negotiations for Senne Lammens on Sept. 1 after a summer in which Emiliano Martínez’s future remained unsettled. Martínez had been linked with a move to Old Trafford and at one point appeared to bid farewell to Aston Villa supporters, but he stayed and has since spoken publicly about that decision.

The Argentine’s status was uncertain when the new season began in August. His return was delayed after the opening day and he made his comeback in the following Villa match, only to be left out of the squad for a game played the day before the summer transfer deadline. United continued talks over Lammens and did not close that deal until Sept. 1, a timeline that allowed the club to keep options open.

“Sometimes football can change, managers can come in and go. People move around the place, but it doesn’t mean that I [don’t] have full respect and love for [Aston Villa],” Martínez told reporters ahead of this week’s Europa League final in Istanbul.

“I had a commitment with Aston Villa. I’m a World Cup winner [with Argentina ] with Aston Villa. I won two [Best FIFA Men’s Goalkeeper awards] with Aston Villa. I will always and forever love this club. One day I am going to retire and somebody else will be between the sticks.

“I’m in a European final, we are in Champions League [next season] again, with all the ups and downs. We’ve got a top coach, we’ve got a top captain, we have a decent core of the team and when we stick together and fight together, we can beat anybody.

“I’m really proud to stay. I made the right choice.”

Reports since have suggested United’s then manager Ruben Amorim favoured Martínez for his experience, while a rival view from inside the club recommended Lammens. That recommendation came from goalkeeping scout Tony Coton, who had tracked Lammens for six years through Belgium’s youth teams, Club Brugge and a senior breakthrough with Royal Antwerp.

Coton discussed his assessment on Manchester United’s Inside Carrington podcast. “I wanted to see his concentration levels if, when I’m talking, he is looking elsewhere. Is he looking at the video still and this, that and the other?” Coton said. “And he was just locked. He was just locked onto me and I’m thinking: ‘Yeah, he’s got a real focus.’ And I’d seen that in his game.

“[United] asked me could he go straight into the team and I said: ‘Yes, straight away.’ I had to say that anyway because I’d recommended him!”

Martínez, who became a top-flight starter at 28 after a decade as a backup at Arsenal, still has a contract with Aston Villa until the summer of 2029. He would be close to 37 by its expiry and will have spent nine years at Villa Park. In recent seasons Villa have gone deep in European competitions, qualified for the Champions League twice and come within a point of a second top-four Premier League finish in three years.

With two matches left in a difficult 2025–26 campaign, Liverpool arrive at Villa Park with Champions League qualification still to secure. Arne Slot’s side have just two fixtures remaining: away to Aston Villa and then at home to Brentford. Three points from those games would guarantee a top-five finish.

The simplest outcome is clear. A win at Villa Park would qualify Liverpool for the Champions League. That result would put the Reds out of reach of Bournemouth and Brighton & Hove Albion, with three points from Friday ensuring Liverpool cannot be caught.

Aston Villa are in the same position on points and know that victory would also clinch their place, with Unai Emery’s team currently only behind Liverpool on goal difference. Villa also have the Europa League final against Freiburg to consider next Wednesday; a win in that game would deliver Champions League qualification for them.

A draw in Birmingham could be enough for Liverpool. A stalemate would take them to 60 points, five ahead of Bournemouth and seven clear of Brighton, having played one more match. If Bournemouth then failed to beat Manchester City at home the following Tuesday, Liverpool’s lead would be unassailable.

Defeat at Villa Park would not automatically eliminate the Reds but would put them at the mercy of other results. A loss would require Brighton to fail to beat Leeds United on Sunday and Bournemouth to lose against Man City for Liverpool to still claim qualification before the final day.

If Brighton win this weekend and Bournemouth take at least a draw with Man City while Liverpool lose at Villa, Slot’s side would need to wait until the final day to seal their place. They would still control their destiny on the last day by needing to beat Brentford at Anfield.

The maximum Liverpool can finish on is 65 points. Even successive wins over Aston Villa and Brentford would leave them 19 points short of last season’s Premier League-winning total.

Key table detail: Liverpool are fourth on +12 goal difference with 59 points; Aston Villa are fifth on +4 with 59 points; Bournemouth sit on +4 with 55 points.