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Fixture test: Liverpool’s next five compared with Man Utd and Chelsea

Liverpool’s next five Premier League fixtures read well on paper, but consistency is not guaranteed.

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Liverpool used Wednesday to narrow the gap on their top-five rivals, and Virgil van Dijk propelled the Reds back into the race for a top-five finish, almost certainly enough for entry into the Champions League next season. Manchester United and Chelsea still lead Liverpool by three and two points respectively, but the immediate run of matches could prove decisive.

The coming five league games for each club read as follows. Liverpool: Nottingham Forest (A) – Feb. 22; West Ham (H) – Feb. 28; Wolves (A) – Mar. 3; Tottenham (H) – Mar. 15; Brighton (A) – Mar. 21. The Reds also face Brighton & Hove Albion this weekend in the FA Cup fourth round. On paper Liverpool should be capable of securing 15 points from these five Premier League fixtures, though their season has featured repeated slips against lesser opponents. After a humiliating 3–0 home defeat to Nottingham Forest in November, Slot’s side will travel to Forest seeking revenge. Two more matches against relegation candidates follow as West Ham and last-placed Wolverhampton Wanderers provide winnable opportunities. A visit from currently managerless Tottenham Hotspur at Anfield precedes another trip to face Brighton.

Manchester United have been markedly improved under Michael Carrick but the midweek draw to West Ham was a setback in their top-five push. United have just one more game in February and that sees them lock horns with Everton (A) — the 10-man Toffees won at Old Trafford fairly recently — after which they kick off March against Crystal Palace (H). Their fixtures then include Newcastle (A), Aston Villa (H) and Bournemouth (A) before the March international break.

Chelsea’s next five are Burnley (H), Arsenal (A), Aston Villa (A), Newcastle (H) and Everton (A). Three of Chelsea’s opponents in that sequence also face United. In a two-week period during March the Blues meet Aston Villa (A), Newcastle (H) and Everton (A); the first two teams have both taken points off Chelsea this season, albeit during the Enzo Maresca era.

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Chelsea under BlueCo: ranking the five managers who served more than 10 games

BlueCo era at Chelsea ranked: five managers with more than 10 games, judged by record. Full breakdown

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The BlueCo period at Chelsea has been defined by instability in the dugout and the steady turnover of managers. With Liam Rosenior the latest to lose the job, the club will begin 2026–27 with a sixth permanent manager under BlueCo. Below are the five bosses who managed more than 10 matches in that era, assessed on results and the lasting imprint of their tenures.

Frank Lampard (Games Managed: 11 | Winning Percentage: 9.1% | Trophies Won: 0)
Frank Lampard’s second spell as caretaker in 2022–23 stands in stark contrast to his earlier success. He had “overcoming a transfer ban to lead the Blues to the Champions League in 2019–20,” but his interim run in April produced Chelsea’s worst recent form. Lampard became the first and only manager in Chelsea’s history to lose the opening four games of his tenure. A 3–1 win against Bournemouth was the lone victory of his caretaker spell and the campaign finished with Chelsea 12th in the Premier League, their lowest top-flight finish since 1994.

Liam Rosenior (Games Managed: 23 | Winning Percentage: 47.8% | Trophies Won: 0)
Rosenior’s period began promisingly, with four consecutive Premier League wins and two Champions League victories that helped Chelsea qualify among the top eight in the group stage. The form collapsed thereafter: apart from FA Cup ties against lower-league opponents, Chelsea won just one of their last 11 matches under Rosenior. The team failed to score against a top-flight opponent in each of their last six games with him in charge. After Enzo Fernández scored a momentary equalizer in the first leg of the Champions League quarterfinals against Paris Saint-Germain, Chelsea were outscored 17–0 by top-flight rivals until Rosenior’s sacking.

Graham Potter (Games Managed: 31 | Winning Percentage: 38.7% | Trophies Won: 0)
Potter, the first permanent BlueCo appointment, was unable to steady the side after Thomas Tuchel’s departure. Chelsea won seven of the 22 Premier League matches Potter oversaw and he left with a joint-lowest points-per-game record for managers with more than 20 league matches at 1.27, tied with Glenn Hoddle. After winning just four matches after the calendar turned to 2023, Potter was dismissed in early April while the club endured its most difficult season of the 21st century. He did reach the Champions League quarterfinals during his tenure.

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Taken together, the five tenures reveal a period of repeated disruption and mixed short-term flashes amid extended poor runs of form.

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UEFA Settlement Puts Chelsea’s Finances Under Pressure as Champions League Slip Threatens Compliance

Europa ban threat looms if Chelsea miss Champions League and fail to meet UEFA settlement terms soon

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Chelsea’s recent run of poor results has intensified a financial problem that was always tied to performance on the pitch. UEFA included further fines and a suspended one-season ban in the settlement should Chelsea breach the rules again in the next four years. Financial commentators cited by The Times say failing to secure Champions League income would leave the Stamford Bridge club at “serious risk” of breaching the agreement.

The settlement also sets out the potential sporting consequence. “In case of breach of settlement, the CFCB shall terminate the Settlement Agreement, and the club agrees on an exclusion from the next one applicable UEFA club competition for which it would otherwise qualify in the following three seasons,” the statement reads, via The Times.

Those possibilities are not expected to materialise this season because Champions League revenue from 2025–26 and prize money from winning the 2025 Club World Cup should make meeting the settlement feasible. The longer term concern is what happens once those income streams are no longer available.

Some have urged Chelsea to consider the path taken previously by AC Milan and Juventus and accept a one-season ban, on the basis that they may miss qualification for the Europa League or Conference League. The Times reports that Chelsea are not considering a voluntary one-year exclusion.

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On the pitch, the situation makes sporting results urgent. Chelsea dismissed Liam Rosenior during the slump and appointed Calum McFarlane as interim manager. The club sit eighth, seven points behind fifth place, with a two-point gap to sixth. If Aston Villa finish fifth and win the Europa League, sixth would be enough for Champions League qualification, a scenario that would substantially ease the financial pressure.

If Champions League qualification is not achieved next season, the most obvious alternative to generate the required revenue would be player sales for major profit. Long-term contracts signed during the BlueCo era complicate that route and would make it harder to produce the necessary transfer gains to avoid breaching the settlement.

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How Chelsea’s break clause limited the cost of the Rosenior episode

Break clause limits Chelsea payout after Liam Rosenior exit; total outlay still around $7.2 million.

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Chelsea’s decision to include a break clause in Liam Rosenior’s contract has materially reduced the club’s payout following his dismissal, reports say. The clause was triggered after a run of poor results and, because Rosenior’s stay lasted less than a year, the club is set to pay the equivalent of one year’s salary rather than a larger settlement.

Before wages and the small compensation are tallied, Chelsea also paid Strasbourg for Rosenior’s services after parting company with Enzo Maresca. The BlueCo investment group own both clubs, an arrangement that prompted widespread coverage of the negotiations. It was reported that Chelsea paid “market rate” for Rosenior’s services, although no figure was disclosed to substantiate that term.

When Rosenior’s short-term wages are combined with the compensation fee, the article calculates a total in the region of $7.2 million — roughly $67,000 for each day’s work, or $650,000 per win. That sum marks a costly episode, even if the break clause limited the final bill.

BlueCo have now gone through five permanent managers in less than four years. The list of departures and reported compensations reads: Thomas Tuchel, September 2022, $17.5 million; Graham Potter, April 2023, $17.5 million; Mauricio Pochettino, May 2024, $13.5 million; Enzo Maresca, January 2026, $5.4 million; Liam Rosenior, April 2026, $5.4 million.

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Tuchel and Potter received the largest payoffs during an early, turbulent period under the new ownership. The Daily Mail reported Tuchel was entitled to $17.5 million in September 2022 and that his staff were owed $2.7 million. Potter left with $17.5 million after nine months.

Pochettino completed the 2023/24 season and departed after a post-campaign review of a sixth-placed finish; he was helped out of the door with as much as $13.5 million, and Chelsea had arrangements to reclaim some of that sum if he joined another top-six Premier League club, per Mark Ogden of ESPN. Maresca chose not to seek the full compensation available to him and reportedly settled on terms similar to Rosenior’s — one year’s salary worth $5.4 million, according to ESPN.

As Malcolm Allison put it, “You’re not really a manager until you’ve been sacked.” Chelsea’s pattern of frequent changes has so far carried a heavy price tag.

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