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Run-in contrast: Arsenal in control while City face a sterner finish

Arsenal need two wins to secure the 2025/26 title; City must win remaining matches after Everton.

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The end of the 2025/26 Premier League season sets two distinct routes for the leading sides. Arsenal sit closest to the finish line. Three consecutive league wins have steadied their campaign and two more victories will guarantee them the title.

Arsenal host Burnley at the Emirates Stadium on May 18. Burnley are already relegated, are winless in their last 11 fixtures and occupy 19th place. They drew with Aston Villa in their most recent game. The meeting looks straightforward on paper and offers Arsenal a chance to boost goal difference.

Arsenal then travel to Selhurst Park to close their league campaign on May 24 against Crystal Palace. Palace have troubled Arsenal previously, with two of the last three meetings ending in draws. Oliver Glasner could be inclined to rest many of his best players with one eye on the Conference League final three days later. “The visitors will also no doubt have the Champions League final on their mind, but they cannot afford to rotate against the Eagles when the Premier League title could still hang in the balance.”

Manchester City must hope for slip-ups while erasing the memory of last week’s misstep against Everton. Pep Guardiola’s side must win their remaining games to retain any chance of the title and must also hope Arsenal falter at least once.

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City have the FA Cup final against Chelsea at Wembley at the weekend. A win there would return a second trophy to the Etihad this season, with the Citizens still chasing a potential third. Three days after Wembley they travel to the Vitality Stadium to face Bournemouth on May 19. Bournemouth recently toppled Arsenal and are pursuing European qualification, so they are unlikely to yield easily.

On paper the Citizens’ remaining fixtures appear tougher than Arsenal’s. Time is running out for City. The final fixtures will determine whether Arsenal can close the job or whether City can engineer a late swing in the title race.

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Arsenal preparing fresh bid for Bruno Guimarães after Newcastle rebuffed opening offer

Arsenal plan a higher offer for Bruno Guimarães after Newcastle rejected an opening $73m bid. Again.

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Arsenal are expected to press on for Newcastle United midfielder Bruno Guimarães after their initial approach was rejected. The Daily Mail reported Arsenal’s first bid, described as being in the region of $73 million (£55 million), was bluntly rebuffed and the club now plans to return with an improved offer.

Newcastle’s stance remains firm: club officials have warned suitors that Guimarães is not for sale. On paper that position is backed by contract details. Guimarães is under contract with Newcastle until 2028, meaning the Magpies retain control over any transfer this summer. The draft-first bid came amid a backdrop of financial consideration at St James’ Park.

The club have been open about difficulties complying with Premier League financial rules. Anthony Gordon’s $81 million move to Barcelona has provided relief, but talks over further sales continue as the club evaluates its options. The business case for selling major assets appears to involve midfield departures. Sandro Tonali’s situation is central to those discussions: he is in talks with Tottenham Hotspur, has admirers across the Premier League and Europe, and it is suggested he will be playing for a new club when the new season begins.

Losing Tonali and Guimarães in the same window would represent a severe challenge for Newcastle. The club’s recent progress has been driven in large part by midfield quality, and the potential departure of both players would weaken that foundation. It remains unclear what figure Arsenal will lodge next or whether Newcastle will shift from its current refusal to sell.

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Newcastle officials are reportedly growing increasingly concerned and uncertain about Guimarães’s intentions as he enters the final two years of his contract at St James’ Park. Even if money is available, the club must weigh transfer income against potential damage to squad morale if key players signal a desire to leave.

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Arsenal’s Initial Approach for Bruno Guimarães Rejected by Newcastle

Arsenal’s bid for Bruno Guimarães was rebuffed as Newcastle insist the midfielder is not for sale.

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Arsenal have seen an opening bid for Newcastle United midfielder Bruno Guimarães turned down as the Magpies make clear they do not want to sell. The Daily Mail reported Arsenal held talks with Guimarães’s representatives, and Fabrizio Romano said a “formal approach” had been made.

Sources indicate Arsenal discussed a fee in the region of £55 million ($73 million). Newcastle quickly signalled that they have no interest in selling the Brazil international, who is currently at the World Cup in North America, for what they regard as a low offer.

The decision comes as Newcastle prepare for a summer of transition. The club have already lost Anthony Gordon to Barcelona. Tonali has been strongly linked with moves to Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur. Fullbacks Tino Livramento and Lewis Hall have also been linked with exits, a situation the report ties to Newcastle failing to qualify for European competition next season.

It is unclear whether Arsenal will return with an improved proposal. Guimarães, 28, has two years remaining on his contract at St James’ Park. He has spent four full seasons on Tyneside and has established himself as a consistent performer.

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Versatile in midfield, Guimarães can operate as a traditional No. 6 or in a box-to-box role. The former Lyon player combines South American tenacity and industry with creativity and a goalscoring threat. Last season he scored nine goals and provided seven assists from midfield, matching the same number of goal involvements as Premier League Player of the Season nominee Declan Rice.

In the Premier League last term he led Newcastle for goals, assists, chances created and accurate long passes per 90. His average of 9.2 defensive contributions per 90 was bettered by only four teammates. Those attributes underline why Newcastle are reluctant to consider his sale unless a significantly improved offer is made.

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Five realistic destinations as Balogun prepares for a new challenge

Balogun linked with Arsenal, Chelsea, Newcastle, Juventus or Dortmund as transfer interest grows….

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Folarin Balogun has emerged as one of the most sought-after forwards in the post-World Cup market, with Monaco receiving interest from clubs across Europe and the player reported to be keen on a fresh challenge. Any sale could become the second-highest for a U.S. player, behind only Christian Pulisic’s $73 million switch to Chelsea in 2019.

The forward’s profile suits several different needs. Arsenal represent a natural fit. Balogun came through Arsenal ’s academy but was sold without ever really getting a chance in the first team. Two goals in just 209 senior minutes was impressive but Balogun left with a sense of unfinished business with the Gunners. Arsenal spent big on Viktor Gyökeres last summer but ended the season with Kai Havertz as their starting striker, leaving many believing manager Mikel Arteta may not be entirely satisfied with the options available to him. Bringing Balogun, a homegrown talent, back to the club would be a great move for Arsenal, although whether the 24-year-old would accept such a move without a guarantee of regular starts is a different matter. He has, however, spoken glowingly about the opportunity to be closer to family on brief returns to London.

Chelsea remain a potential suitor despite a crowded forward line. João Pedro has been an excellent addition, but Liam Delap’s time at Stamford Bridge has been a massive disappointment and could be coming to an end this summer. Returning loanee Nicolas Jackson and new signing Emmanuel Emegha add to a bloated forward line. Much will depend on the opinion of new manager Xabi Alonso, who has been given significant influence in Chelsea’s transfer dealings after agreeing to replace Liam Rosenior.

Newcastle could offer minutes and resources. Last summer the Magpies spent heavily on strikers, bringing in Nick Woltemade and Yoane Wissa for around $164 million (£124 million), yet Eddie Howe quickly lost faith in both and is thought to be chasing another starting striker.

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Juventus face turnover up front after a mixed window. Jonathan David was solid at best, Loïs Openda is available following a triggered purchase clause, and Dušan Vlahović could depart, creating room for change and a link-up with international teammate McKennie.

Finally, Borussia Dortmund’s record of developing forwards and the chance to capitalise on World Cup momentum make them an appealing option. Across these five destinations, Balogun’s next move will hinge on Monaco’s valuation and the guarantees each club can offer.

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