Arsenal
Arsenal’s January blueprint: measured reinforcement, youth scouting and select targets
Arsenal balance squad depth with targeted January moves while tracking emerging young talent. plans.
Arsenal head into January positioned to contest multiple trophies this season. Despite an array of key absences, they lead the Premier League and have been dominant in Europe. Recent setbacks have narrowed their domestic advantage, but Arteta’s side remain favourites to claim their first Premier League title in just over 20 years.
Summer recruitment helped place the squad in this strong position and that spending, alongside the absence of obvious holes, will limit winter outlay. Still, the club will watch for “market opportunities” Mikel Arteta often references and can be expected to examine a small number of specific profiles.
Supporters pressed for a big-name left winger during the summer. The only move on Deadline Day was Piero Hincapié, and Noni Madueke, primarily a right winger, arrived as well. Madueke has rarely been used off the left so far, with Leandro Trossard and Gabriel Martinelli sharing the bulk of minutes. Both players have been scapegoats at times in their Arsenal careers. Trossard has often been dubbed a “super sub” who struggles to perform when included in the starting XI, while Martinelli has failed to build on his early-career promise as a teenager. The pair have nonetheless contributed; Martinelli has shone in Europe and Trossard has produced in the final third domestically.
If Arsenal move for a left-sided attacker, it will likely be a player Arteta views as a “needle-mover”. Names mentioned by supporters include Rodrygo, Rafael Leão and Vinicius Junior, though those options present clear challenges. Bournemouth’s Antoine Semenyo, a former Gooner, is another name to monitor; he has a £65 million release clause at the start of the winter window.
Up front Arsenal possess more than £100 million worth of recognised centre forwards, yet their most effective options this season have been converted midfielders. Kai Havertz might not play again until 2026. Mikel Merino has been a steady stand-in, and Arsenal can look a touch slicker with him leading the line compared to Viktor Gyökeres, who cost £55 million and has been hindered by fitness setbacks. Given that outlay, Arsenal are unlikely to spend heavily on a centre forward in 2026, though they could sign a future goalscorer possibly to replace Gabriel Jesus, who has suffered injuries since the 2022 World Cup.
Arsenal are also investing in the next decade. They completed deals for Ecuadorian teenage twins Edwin and Holger Quintero from Independiente del Valle. Rodrigo Mendoza, 20, has attracted attention after his breakout with Elche. The club would likewise have watched the U17 World Cup in Qatar, where Portugal’s Anísio Cabral and Brazil’s Dell enjoyed prolific tournaments.
Arsenal
Late Martinelli Push Leaves Conor Bradley’s Knee in Doubt After Stretcher Incident
Conor Bradley may have a serious knee injury after Martinelli’s shove sparked a late brawl. Scans due
Conor Bradley was forced from the pitch on a stretcher after a late knee twist, a sequence that has left Liverpool manager Arne Slot “fearing the worst.” The incident began when Arsenal’s No. 11 dropped the ball onto the prone defender and then attempted to shove him off the field to restart play. That shove ignited a mass brawl which further delayed the match.
Players from Liverpool reacted angrily at what was described as Martinelli’s disregard for a clearly injured opponent. Bradley was later seen leaving the stadium on crutches with his left knee in a brace; there was no suggestion he had been feigning the problem.
Slot was cautious on specifics but clear on the concern. “We have to wait on the scans if it’s that bad,” Slot acknowledged. “But it doesn’t look great if Conor has the injury which we fear he might have.”
The Liverpool manager tempered criticism of the Arsenal forward. “I don’t know Gabriel Martinelli, but he comes across as a nice guy,” he said. “I’m 100% sure that if he knew what the injury might be, that he would never do that,” Slot insisted. “I think the problem for him—and it’s a problem in general in football—is that there is so much time-wasting and players pretending that they are injured in the final parts of the game and during the game, that you can sometimes be annoyed if you want to try to score a goal that you think the player is time-wasting.
“You cannot ask Martinelli to think so clear in the 94th minute.”
Martinelli posted on social media to say he had contacted Bradley. “Conor and I have messaged and I have already apologised to him,” Martinelli wrote on Instagram. “I really didn’t understand he was seriously injured in the heat of the moment. I want to say I’m deeply sorry for reacting.
“Sending Conor all my best again for a quick recovery.”
Arsenal’s manager added a character reference for his player. “Knowing Gabi, if anybody knows Gabi, it’s an incredibly lovely guy and probably he didn’t realise what happened,” the Basque boss declared. “I hope that Conor is well. I will have a word with him now to understand that, but probably he didn’t recognise what happened.”
Broadcasters reacted strongly. Sky Sports commentator Gary Neville called the action unacceptable. “I am actually fuming with Martinelli, I don’t know how the Liverpool players didn’t go over and absolutely whack him to be honest with you and take a red card. Absolutely disgraceful, that,” he seethed. Roy Keane recalled a similar personal experience. “I didn’t like it,” the former Manchester United captain said of the Martinelli incident. “It happened to me when I was badly injured and a player stood over me, and it’s not good.
Arsenal
Comparing Arsenal and Man City’s next five Premier League fixtures
Arsenal lead Man City by six points. January fixtures and cup commitments give City the tougher run.
Arsenal and Manchester City sit six points apart at the top of the Premier League after the conclusion of gameweek 21. Arsenal then went into battle 24 hours later, hosting Liverpool at the Emirates Stadium on Thursday, with the opportunity to extend their lead over City at the top of the table. It was a chance they could not take in a big game that lacked quality in the final third.
With Christmas been and gone, this is the stage of the season where it really starts to matter. Neither can afford to give an inch, with City playing catchup, waiting for Arsenal to slip, and the Gunners determined to hold their nerve to land a first league title in 22 years.
Both teams are competing in four different competitions. Following this week’s fixtures, neither is playing again in the league until January 17; each has FA Cup third round and Carabao Cup semi-final first leg commitments to come between now and then. The final two Champions League league phase matches are also interspersed with other competitions in the remainder of January, while Carabao Cup second legs are scheduled for the first week in February, making the calendar particularly congested outside of the Premier League.
Looking strictly at the league fixture list, Manchester City face the tougher run over the next month.
Arsenal fixtures (next five Premier League games)
– Nottingham Forest vs. Arsenal (Jan. 17)
– Arsenal vs. Man Utd (Jan. 25)
– Leeds Utd vs. Arsenal (Jan. 31)
– Arsenal vs. Sunderland (Feb. 7)
– Brentford vs. Arsenal (Feb. 12)
Man City fixtures (next five Premier League games)
– Man Utd vs. Man City (Jan. 17)
– Man City vs. Wolves (Jan. 24)
– Tottenham vs. Man City (Feb. 1)
– Liverpool vs. Man City (Feb. 8)
– Man City vs. Fulham (Feb. 11)
Pep Guardiola must prepare his side for three significant away tests in that sequence: Manchester United, Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool. Wolverhampton Wanderers at the Etihad Stadium should be a breeze, while Fulham at home is on the more favourable side of the coin, although not easy by any stretch.
Analytics & Stats
Opta model keeps Arsenal clear favourites after Matchday 21 despite mixed results
Opta’s supercomputer keeps Arsenal clear favourites after Matchday 21 despite a 0-0 draw. Opta model.
Matchday 21 failed to produce the decisive shift some supporters expected. Manchester City, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur all dropped points, yet Arsenal could not capitalise fully, settling for a goalless draw with Liverpool.
Opta’s supercomputer updated its post-Matchday 21 forecast and still places Arsenal top of its projections. The model gives Arsenal 49 current points, an expected total of 84.67 points by May and a 86.98% chance of winning the title. The prediction notes that the projected points total would not have been enough to lift the Premier League trophy in eight of the last nine seasons.
Manchester City and Aston Villa remain the next most likely challengers. Opta lists Man City on 43 points with an expected 74.50 and an 8.62% title probability after three consecutive draws to start the new year. Aston Villa are also on 43 points with an expected 73.30 and a 4.21% chance; Unai Emery’s side shared points with Crystal Palace on Wednesday.
The supercomputer’s continental-place projections keep Liverpool in the Champions League positions on current form. Liverpool have 35 points and are projected to reach 64.40 with a 56.97% Champions League probability, the model noting the club’s 10-game unbeaten run following the draw with Arsenal.
Chelsea are in difficulty on results and discipline. The Blues have 31 points, are on a five-game winless run and fell 2-1 to Fulham after Marc Cucurella saw red in the 22nd minute. Opta still projects Chelsea to finish with 57.85 points and a 13.97% Champions League chance, but the club must arrest its slide.
Manchester United have dropped points in their last three matches. Opta gives them a 4.50% chance of reaching the Champions League and projects 54.61 expected points, which would place them just above Brighton in the predicted table. Fulham’s victory over Chelsea moves them into the projected top 10, while Tottenham are forecast to finish 12th.
At the bottom, Opta hands realistic relegation probabilities to five clubs. Leeds (22 points) and Nottingham Forest (21) are projected to survive on about 41 and 40.58 points respectively. West Ham (14), Burnley (13) and Wolves (7) carry much higher risks, with Wolves at a 99.31% chance of relegation in the model.
