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Arsenal’s end-of-season form hands Manchester City a clear psychological edge

Arsenal’s late-season run of results has repeatedly handed Manchester City the edge in run-ins. again.

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Wednesday night’s 2–2 draw with Wolverhampton Wanderers produced an emphatic reaction on the blue side of Manchester. The result sharpened a narrative that has followed Arsenal for several seasons: when the calendar turns to the final 12 matches, they frequently slip while Manchester City find another gear.

Mikel Arteta’s tenure, which began in 2019, is littered with late-season collapses. A close look at the last four campaigns underlines the pattern. In 2021–22 Arsenal collected 18 points from the final 12 games while City took 30. The following year Arsenal managed 21 to City’s 31. In 2023–24 Arsenal improved to 31 but still fell behind City, who had 32. Most recently, in 2024–25 Arsenal again returned 21 points from the last 12; City posted 27.

Those numbers tell the story of contrasting responses to pressure. In 2021–22 Arsenal won six and lost six of their final 12, missing Champions League qualification by two points after a 3–0 defeat by Tottenham with three games remaining. In 2022–23 Arsenal held an eight-point lead after 29 games but drew with West Ham and bottom-side Southampton before a 4–1 reverse to City; Guardiola’s side gained 10 more points over the closing 12 to claim the title. In 2023–24 Arsenal’s 31-point run was strong, yet City bettered it by one point and were champions after a 0–0 draw with Arsenal.

The 2024–25 stretch saw City’s own form dip, but their 27-point return still outpaced Arsenal by six. Liverpool managed 23, despite an end-of-season loss of intensity that included not winning any of their final four and a 2–2 draw with Arsenal.

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Beyond the numbers, the pressure manifests on the pitch and in the stands. “bottle” is a word often used in connection with Arsenal’s collapse narratives. Despite still being in a position of advantage, Arsenal let their frustrations boil over against Wolves in a post-match scuffle sparked by Gabriel Jesus’s needlessly angry response to Yerson Mosquera’s celebrations.

Both clubs head into the last 12 games with the same mathematical prospects: 12 wins would guarantee the title. History, though, gives City the clear psychological advantage.

Arsenal

Odegaard Offered Exit from Arsenal as Real Madrid Name New Top Target

Odegaard has been offered an exit from Arsenal while Real Madrid pursue a new top target, for clubs.

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Two developments have emerged that demand attention. Odegaard has been offered an exit from Arsenal. At the same time, Real Madrid have identified a new top target.

The first fact is clear and unambiguous: Odegaard has been offered an exit from Arsenal. That single development invites a range of immediate strategic questions for the club and for the player. An offer of departure can change dressing-room dynamics, influence selection decisions and force a reassessment of long-term plans. For the player, the prospect of a move raises questions about next steps and priorities.

Running alongside that story is the separate, but related, development at Real Madrid. The club have a new top target. The identification of a leading target by a club of Real Madrid’s stature reshapes attention across the market and can accelerate movement elsewhere. Interest from a club with that profile tends to concentrate resources and focus on a particular prospect.

Viewed together, the two items create a transfer narrative with multiple strands. An exit offer for Odegaard could feed into wider market activity, while Real Madrid naming a new primary target will alter how clubs position themselves. Both facts, stated without embellishment, point to a period of recalibration.

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There is a clear overlap between the stories: the movement of high-profile players and the reordering of club priorities. Each fact stands on its own but also contributes to a broader picture of change. Observers and decision makers will watch how Arsenal responds to the exit offer and how Real Madrid proceed with their preferred target. Both developments merit close attention as they unfold.

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Arsenal Preparing Summer Sales to Balance Books After $359m Outlay, Report Says

Arsenal must sell at least one first-team player this summer to meet Premier League and UEFA rules..

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Arsenal face the prospect of selling at least one first-team player at the end of the season as the club’s heavy spending last summer begins to bite. The $359 million outlay that underpinned a remarkable campaign has left the club needing to raise funds, a report says, to comply with Premier League and UEFA financial regulations.

The Gunners sit top of the Premier League and remain on course to challenge for an unprecedented quadruple of trophies, but internal discussions are already under way about which first-team figures could deliver the greatest transfer fee and profit. A string of names has been identified as potential departures, while certain individuals are expected to be protected from any sale — Bukayo Saka, Declan Rice and William Saliba are cited as off limits.

Even the captain is not automatically excluded. Martin Ødegaard is described as “not immune” to being considered because his low value on the club’s balance sheet could produce a substantial profit, though he is still regarded as hugely important to the team.

Gabriel Martinelli is named among those under consideration given his high market value. Other possible candidates include Gabriel Jesus, Leandro Trossard, Kai Havertz and Ben White, with contract situations influencing thinking as deals tick down.

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Arsenal are reportedly weighing the option of selling from their academy ranks. Ethan Nwaneri and Myles Lewis-Skelly are thought to be the likely targets: neither wants to leave but their departures would represent pure profit because they are homegrown. Past sales such as Emile Smith Rowe and Eddie Nketiah are cited as precedents.

The arrival of Piero Hincapié on a permanent deal worth $60 million is another factor increasing incentive to cash in on certain players.

Contract detail is central to the decision-making. Four players — Martinelli, Trossard, Jesus and Christian Nørgaard — have deals that expire in the summer of 2027. Martinelli and Nørgaard have one-year extension clauses; Nørgaard carries little transfer value while Martinelli would command a hefty fee. Martinelli is 24 and has yet to make the full step to superstar. Trossard and Jesus will be 32 and 30 respectively when their contracts end, making extensions unlikely and summer sales a practical option, albeit not necessarily blockbuster moves.

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Solbakken: Ødegaard’s knee is not serious as Arsenal plot return for key midfielder

Solbakken: Odegaard’s knee is not serious; he could return in late March or April to help fans this.

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Norway manager Ståle Solbakken has delivered a calming injury update on Martin Ødegaard, insisting the Arsenal captain is not facing a major knee problem despite limited appearances this season.

“There is nothing serious about Martin,” Norway’s manager told Viaplay. “The most important thing is that he recovers completely and is good for us in the summer.

“For those of us who care about the World Cup , it’s not a disaster that he’s getting some breaks now. He’s going to rebuild and be crucial for Arsenal in April/May and maybe late March.”

Ødegaard has been restricted to just 13 Premier League starts this season and there had been suggestions he might require an extended period on the sidelines to address fitness concerns. Solbakken’s assessment, however, frames the situation as manageable and focused on a full recovery ahead of the summer.

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Mikel Arteta has voiced worries about the direction of his side’s season after an injury run disrupted the midfield. Ødegaard joined Mikel Merino, Kai Havertz and youngster Max Dowman on the sidelines, and the loss of options coincided with a dip in results as Eberechi Eze’s minutes increased and Bukayo Saka was tried in a central role.

Havertz and Dowman have since returned and Ødegaard is said to be closing in on a comeback, which would add another high-level rotation option for Arteta as Arsenal remain in contention across four major trophies: the Premier League, Champions League, FA Cup and Carabao Cup.

A precise return date for Ødegaard has not been provided, but Solbakken sounded confident the midfielder would be available in April, with the possibility of returning as early as late March. That timing matters for both club and country: an international break at the end of March precedes Norway’s final warm-up window before the World Cup, and Solbakken will prioritise a cautious approach to avoid unnecessary risk.

Fixtures cited in the original update:
– Man City — Carabao Cup final: March 22
– Bournemouth (H): April 11
– Man City (A): April 19

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