Chip Strategy
GW8 defender rotation: Muharemović now or Van Hecke later?
Muharemović offers a GW8 entry point, Van Hecke has later home fixtures and Silva provides another route from GW9. Match the purchase to your planned starts.
Tarik Muharemović is our preference among these budget defenders if you need a GW8 starter. Jan Paul van Hecke makes more sense if you can cover this week and want a defender for the home games in GW9 and GW11. Before spending around £5.0m, mark the weeks in which your new signing must play.
That distinction matters on a Wildcard, too. You can afford a tougher opening fixture for a fourth defender if your other three have suitable matches. A defender who has to start this weekend needs a different assessment.
Muharemović for the immediate vacancy
Muharemović costs £5.0m and faces Sunderland away in GW8. We prefer that entry fixture to Van Hecke’s trip to Chelsea or Silva’s visit to Manchester United. The case depends on needing him this week: Leeds then visit Bournemouth, host Spurs and travel to Chelsea.
He has averaged 90.0 min/match. His defensive contributions offer another scoring route alongside a possible clean sheet, with a season-to-date DefCon/90 of 10.43. Treat that as a rate across matches, not a promise that he will reach the scoring threshold in the next one.
His expected goals conceded rate is 1.39 xGC/90, while his attacking involvement stands at 0.11 xGI/90. Those figures support a measured purchase for a specific starting gap. They give little reason to expect regular attacking returns or to buy him without checking the rest of the Leeds run.
Van Hecke for GW9 and GW11 cover
Van Hecke costs £4.9m. Spurs face Chelsea away in GW8, Crystal Palace at home in GW9, Leeds away in GW10 and Ipswich Town at home in GW11.
The two home fixtures make him worth considering if your defence needs help in those weeks. Buy him before GW8 only if you can accept the Chelsea fixture or leave him on the bench without weakening your starting defence. You can wait until GW9 if you have no need to make the move before then.
He has averaged 90.0 min/match, with 1.34 xGC/90 and 0.17 xGI/90. His DefCon/90 is 9.29, below Muharemović’s 10.43. The small gap between their expected goals conceded rates does not establish a clear winner for the next match; their opponents and your planned starts deserve more weight in this choice.
Silva offers a different route from GW9
Silva costs £5.0m and starts with Manchester United away. Bournemouth then host Leeds, visit Ipswich Town and host Nottingham Forest in GW9–11. Consider him if you want a defender you can use across that stretch, rather than someone you need for GW8 alone.
He has averaged 90.0 min/match. His rates are 1.16 xGC/90, 0.24 xGI/90 and 10.43 DefCon/90. He has the lowest expected goals conceded rate and the highest attacking involvement rate of this trio, but those season-to-date measures do not forecast his next three scores. Check the fixtures against your other defenders before paying the extra £0.1m over Van Hecke.
Map the starts before buying
Write down your three intended starting defenders for GW8 through GW11, then identify the vacant slots. You can map future lineups and compare rotation options in We Play FPL before committing the transfer. The planner supports future squad drafts and lineups, while the rotation scout helps assess player combinations across upcoming fixtures.
For a GW8 vacancy, we lean towards Muharemović. For gaps in GW9 and GW11, Van Hecke’s home fixtures warrant a closer look. Silva suits a manager who can cover GW8 and wants another option for the following run.
Keep the cost of the whole defence in view. Spending around £5.0m on a fourth defender needs a purpose if the extra money could improve a regular starter elsewhere. Check availability and the expected starting lineups before the GW8 deadline on 23 October at 17:30 UTC, then choose the player for the weeks you intend to use him.
Chip Strategy
GW7 defence: start Muharemović or Hall?
We lean towards Muharemović for GW7 when you own both defenders. Compare his defensive contribution rate with Hall’s greater attacking involvement before setting your XI.
Start Tarik Muharemović ahead of Lewis Hall if you own both and have one place available in your GW7 defence. We lean towards Muharemović for his defensive contributions and his lower rate of expected goals conceded. Hall offers more attacking involvement, so treat this as a close call.
Both play at home: Leeds face Manchester United and Newcastle face Aston Villa. You can make this choice through your starting lineup without spending a transfer.
Muharemović has the stronger defensive contribution rate
Muharemović averages 11.33 defensive contributions per 90, compared with Hall’s 8.68. At an average of 90.0 minutes per match, he has also given owners a dependable playing-time record. Hall averages 89.8 minutes per match, so neither player has a meaningful advantage in historical playing time.
We prefer Muharemović because he has done more defensive work across that similar match opportunity. A season average cannot guarantee a defensive contribution return against Manchester United, but it gives us a reason to favour him when deciding between two available defenders.
He also has the lower xGC/90: 1.46 against Hall’s 1.77. That measure describes the quality of chances conceded while each player was on the pitch. It does not provide a clean-sheet probability for this weekend. You still need to account for the opponent, and we would avoid presenting either home fixture as a comfortable clean sheet.
Hall offers more attacking involvement
Hall has recorded 0.19 expected goal involvements per 90, compared with Muharemović’s 0.09. His greater attacking involvement gives you a sound reason to start him if you prefer that route to points.
Those attacking rates remain modest. You would need more than this gap to treat a Hall return as likely or to dismiss Muharemović’s defensive contribution advantage. We favour the latter for GW7 while recognising that Hall can reward owners who make the other choice.
For a side-by-side check of performance data and upcoming fixtures, you can compare both defenders in We Play FPL before setting your lineup. Keep any predicted points separate from the historical rates used here; predictions do not guarantee a result.
Make the lineup decision for the players you own
At £5.0m for Muharemović and £5.3m for Hall, the price difference has no effect on this week’s starting choice for managers who own both. Keep the transfer decision separate: a marginal preference for one fixture provides little reason to sell Hall.
Check final fitness and expected starts before the GW7 deadline on 17 October at 10:00 UTC. Both have clear availability flags at the time of writing. If that changes, reassess the choice. With both available and one starting slot to fill, our pick is Muharemović.
Chip Strategy
GW7 Wildcard: budget for Palmer, Rogers and João Pedro
Chelsea’s attacking triple costs £25.4m. Compare it with a two-player draft across GW7–13, using attacking rates, average minutes and the bench you can afford.
Palmer, Rogers and João Pedro cost £25.4m between them. A GW7 Wildcard can accommodate all three Chelsea attackers, but you need enough money left for the rest of your starting XI and a bench you can use.
Our preference is to build the squad across Chelsea’s GW7–13 fixtures, then decide whether the third attacker earns his place. Pick two if buying all three forces you to accept weak cover or a starter you would otherwise replace.
Give the Chelsea picks seven fixtures
Chelsea visit Everton in GW7, then host Spurs and Manchester United. They follow that with Sunderland away, Leeds at home, Nottingham Forest away and Crystal Palace at home.
That gives you four home matches across seven Gameweeks. You can hold the attackers through several fixtures instead of expecting the Everton match to justify the whole investment. You still need to accept the away games and check each player’s fitness and starting outlook before the deadline.
Plan a review around GW14, when Chelsea host Liverpool, followed by Manchester City away in GW15. Those matches give you a reason to reassess the triple rather than commit three club slots without a later checkpoint.
Compare the price with the attacking evidence
Palmer and Rogers are FPL midfielders; João Pedro is a forward. Buying all three uses two midfield places, one forward place and your three Chelsea slots.
- Palmer: £9.7m. He averages 88.2 min/match, with 0.37 xGI/90.
- Rogers: £7.9m. He averages 86.7 min/match, with 0.55 xGI/90.
- João Pedro: £7.8m. He averages 86.2 min/match, with 0.64 xGI/90.
Here, xGI/90 means expected goal involvements per 90 minutes. These are season-to-date performance rates, not predictions for the next fixture. Read them alongside average minutes per match; a player still needs time on the pitch to turn his attacking involvement into FPL returns.
Palmer costs £1.8m more than Rogers despite the lower attacking rate so far. That gap deserves scrutiny when you build the Wildcard. You can prefer Palmer, but paying the extra needs to fit the squad you want rather than follow his price tag.
Rogers and João Pedro offer the cheaper route into two Chelsea attacking slots. Their playing-time records support consideration, although past appearances cannot guarantee the next start. Check current team news before locking either into your XI.
Put two-player drafts beside the triple
Rogers and João Pedro cost £15.7m together. Palmer and João Pedro cost £17.5m, while Palmer and Rogers cost £17.6m.
Build the £25.4m triple beside the pair you would otherwise choose. Then inspect the players you can afford in the remaining positions. If the triple forces an avoidable weakness in defence or leaves you without a usable substitute, keep the pair and spend elsewhere.
You can test future squad drafts in We Play FPL to map transfers and line-ups across the Chelsea holding period. Put your preferred pair and the triple into separate drafts, then check who starts when you need cover. A bench player has more value when you can identify the Gameweeks in which you will use him.
Three Chelsea attackers also leave you no Chelsea slot for a goalkeeper or defender. Include that restriction in the comparison if you had planned to use a defensive pick from the same club.
Buy the third attacker when the squad can support him
Choose the triple if you want to hold all three through GW7–13 and can retain a starting XI and bench you trust. Choose two when the third player takes money from a more useful squad improvement.
Before the GW7 deadline on 17 October at 10:00 UTC, check availability and expected starts, then review the whole draft. The Chelsea fixture run gives you a reason to invest; your budget decides how many attackers to buy.
Chip Strategy
FPL GW7: Sell Bruno only if the money improves your squad
Keep Bruno Fernandes unless his sale funds a stronger squad. Compare the Haaland captaincy route, Saka’s fixtures and the midfield downgrade before using your transfers.
Keep Bruno Fernandes for GW7 unless you can name the upgrade you will buy with the money. At £11.9m, he ties up enough budget to change your squad elsewhere. Selling him makes sense if you gain a preferred premium, such as Haaland for Ipswich at home, and still field a midfield you trust.
A sideways switch after a blank needs a stronger case. Bruno has Leeds away in GW7 and Bournemouth at home in GW8. You can hold him through that pair while you deal with an injured starter or preserve a transfer for new team news.
Judge the whole transfer plan
Compare your starting XI before and after the moves. Write down the midfielder replacing Bruno and the player you would remove to buy Haaland. Include any points hit and the bench player you would need if a new signing misses out.
Haaland costs £15.6m and faces Ipswich at home in GW7. You gain a strong captaincy option by buying him, but you also commit more budget to your forward line. A Bruno sale helps only if the cheaper midfielder fits the weeks you intend to keep him.
Haaland averages 88.2 min/match with 0.91 expected goal involvements per 90, or xGI/90. Bruno averages 90.0 min/match with 0.67 xGI/90. These season-to-date measures describe past chances; they do not predict either player’s GW7 score. Bruno’s rate also includes a large GW2 contribution, so avoid assuming he creates at that level each week.
You can test the transfers across several Gameweeks in We Play FPL before changing your live team. Compare the line-ups you would field through GW10, including the weeks you need cover. Future squad drafts help you see the cost of a downgrade beyond the next captaincy pick.
Saka gives you a different holding period
Saka costs £9.6m, £2.3m less than Bruno at current buying prices. Your selling value can differ, so check the money available in your own squad before planning a second move.
Arsenal face Forest away, Everton at home, Liverpool away and Hull at home in GW7–10. Hold Saka if you want that run and a possible captaincy option against Hull, subject to his fitness and expected start. You accept Liverpool away in GW9 as part of that plan.
Saka averages 84.3 min/match with 0.83 xGI/90. Keep him in consideration for his attacking chances, while judging what you gain elsewhere from a transfer. Decide whether the saving gives you a better player in another slot. If you would spend it on your bench, you have less reason to use a transfer.
Choose a budget midfielder for the weeks you need him
Tavernier at £6.1m and Sávio at £6.5m offer different ways to release money. Bournemouth have Sunderland at home in GW7, Man Utd away in GW8 and Leeds at home in GW9. Spurs have Coventry at home, Chelsea away and Palace at home over the same weeks.
Sávio’s recent average is 90.0 min/match, compared with Tavernier’s 73.0 min/match. Favour Tavernier only if you expect his minutes to recover and accept the uncertainty. His potential penalty route depends on the continued absence of Kroupi and Kluivert, who rank ahead of him.
Across the season, Tavernier averages 82.7 min/match with 0.48 xGI/90; Sávio averages 82.5 min/match with 0.41 xGI/90. Both are midfielders, and both rates use the season-to-date sample. Sávio has yet to record an attacking return. Choose him if you prefer his recent minutes and Spurs’ run, while planning for Chelsea away. A cheap midfielder who leaves you needing another transfer can undo the benefit of releasing funds.
Check Szoboszlai before selling a fit starter
Szoboszlai costs £6.9m and carries a hamstring flag with a 75% chance of playing. He averages 88.0 min/match with 0.46 xGI/90. Liverpool face Brentford away in GW7 and Brighton at home in GW8, then Arsenal at home in GW9.
Wait for a fitness update if your bench can cover him. A weak bench makes a replacement more urgent. If he misses both GW7 and GW8, you would keep an injured midfielder ahead of an Arsenal fixture, but that absence remains a scenario rather than a confirmed recovery timeline.
Use the news to rank your transfers before committing to a Bruno sale. Keep Bruno when the alternative leaves your starting XI no stronger. Sell when you can afford the full plan, accept the replacement’s minutes risk and gain the captaincy or squad upgrade you wanted.
Prices, availability and season-to-date metrics checked on 12 October 2026. The GW7 deadline is 17 October at 10:00 UTC. Recheck fitness and expected starts before confirming transfers.
