Fixtures
GW8 forwards: Evanilson or Calvert-Lewin for the next four?
Evanilson has the fixtures; Calvert-Lewin has the higher goal-threat rate. Compare their £6.1m and £6.0m buying cases without chasing recent assists.
Evanilson and Dominic Calvert-Lewin cost almost the same, but they offer different reasons to buy before GW8. Evanilson has the more appealing fixture run from GW9. Calvert-Lewin has produced the higher goal-threat rate so far.
For a forward you plan to keep through GW11, we favour Evanilson at £6.1m. His four assists need some caution, though. Choose him because Bournemouth face Leeds, Ipswich Town and Nottingham Forest after Manchester United away, rather than assuming the assists will keep arriving at the same pace.
Evanilson: buy for the next four fixtures
Evanilson has two goals and four FPL assists. His 0.97 expected assists give you a reason to temper expectations for that part of his returns. FPL assists and expected assists use different definitions, so the gap does not tell you how many assists he should lose or predict an imminent blank.
His attacking rates give a fuller picture: 0.39 xG/90, 0.15 xA/90 and 0.54 xGI/90, with an average of 84.6 minutes per match. Those season-to-date rates describe his involvement so far; they do not forecast his next score.
The case for buying improves when you look beyond GW8:
- GW8: Manchester United away
- GW9: Leeds home
- GW10: Ipswich Town away
- GW11: Nottingham Forest home
Manchester United away is the first test. If you need a forward this week, assess that fixture alongside the three that follow. If your current forward can start and you have another transfer priority, waiting until GW9 gives you the home match against Leeds as an entry point. A price rise alone would not justify ignoring a more urgent squad problem.
Calvert-Lewin: more goal threat, less creativity
Calvert-Lewin costs £6.0m and has three goals and one assist. He leads this comparison for xG/90, at 0.54 against Evanilson’s 0.39. His 0.02 xA/90 offers much less creative involvement, leaving their combined rates close: 0.56 xGI/90 for Calvert-Lewin and 0.54 for Evanilson.
He averages 85.6 minutes per match. With the two historical minutes averages so close, neither player earns a meaningful advantage on that measure. Future starts and substitutions can still change.
Leeds face Sunderland away in GW8, Bournemouth away in GW9, Spurs home in GW10 and Chelsea away in GW11. Calvert-Lewin deserves consideration if you value his stronger goal-threat rate or need the £0.1m saving to complete another move. Over the full four-match window, we prefer Evanilson’s fixtures.
Let your holding period decide
An owner choosing whether to sell faces a different transfer cost from a manager filling an empty forward slot. If you own Calvert-Lewin, his underlying goal threat gives you a reason to keep him rather than spend a transfer chasing Evanilson’s recent assists. Reassess if availability or role changes.
For a fresh purchase through GW11, Evanilson gets our vote on fixtures. For a short hold, compare the specific matches you expect to use the player in; Bournemouth’s later home games have less value if you plan to sell before them.
You can compare the players and plan future lineups in We Play FPL to see where each forward fits across your intended holding period. Check the whole squad: the £0.1m price difference matters when it changes another transfer or starting spot, and matters much less when the money sits unused.
Before the GW8 deadline at 17:30 UTC on 23 October, recheck fitness and selection news. Buy Evanilson for the fixture window, consider Calvert-Lewin for his goal threat and price, and give an available forward you own a fair comparison before using a transfer.
Chip Strategy
GW8 defender rotation: Muharemović now or Van Hecke later?
Muharemović offers a GW8 entry point, Van Hecke has later home fixtures and Silva provides another route from GW9. Match the purchase to your planned starts.
Tarik Muharemović is our preference among these budget defenders if you need a GW8 starter. Jan Paul van Hecke makes more sense if you can cover this week and want a defender for the home games in GW9 and GW11. Before spending around £5.0m, mark the weeks in which your new signing must play.
That distinction matters on a Wildcard, too. You can afford a tougher opening fixture for a fourth defender if your other three have suitable matches. A defender who has to start this weekend needs a different assessment.
Muharemović for the immediate vacancy
Muharemović costs £5.0m and faces Sunderland away in GW8. We prefer that entry fixture to Van Hecke’s trip to Chelsea or Silva’s visit to Manchester United. The case depends on needing him this week: Leeds then visit Bournemouth, host Spurs and travel to Chelsea.
He has averaged 90.0 min/match. His defensive contributions offer another scoring route alongside a possible clean sheet, with a season-to-date DefCon/90 of 10.43. Treat that as a rate across matches, not a promise that he will reach the scoring threshold in the next one.
His expected goals conceded rate is 1.39 xGC/90, while his attacking involvement stands at 0.11 xGI/90. Those figures support a measured purchase for a specific starting gap. They give little reason to expect regular attacking returns or to buy him without checking the rest of the Leeds run.
Van Hecke for GW9 and GW11 cover
Van Hecke costs £4.9m. Spurs face Chelsea away in GW8, Crystal Palace at home in GW9, Leeds away in GW10 and Ipswich Town at home in GW11.
The two home fixtures make him worth considering if your defence needs help in those weeks. Buy him before GW8 only if you can accept the Chelsea fixture or leave him on the bench without weakening your starting defence. You can wait until GW9 if you have no need to make the move before then.
He has averaged 90.0 min/match, with 1.34 xGC/90 and 0.17 xGI/90. His DefCon/90 is 9.29, below Muharemović’s 10.43. The small gap between their expected goals conceded rates does not establish a clear winner for the next match; their opponents and your planned starts deserve more weight in this choice.
Silva offers a different route from GW9
Silva costs £5.0m and starts with Manchester United away. Bournemouth then host Leeds, visit Ipswich Town and host Nottingham Forest in GW9–11. Consider him if you want a defender you can use across that stretch, rather than someone you need for GW8 alone.
He has averaged 90.0 min/match. His rates are 1.16 xGC/90, 0.24 xGI/90 and 10.43 DefCon/90. He has the lowest expected goals conceded rate and the highest attacking involvement rate of this trio, but those season-to-date measures do not forecast his next three scores. Check the fixtures against your other defenders before paying the extra £0.1m over Van Hecke.
Map the starts before buying
Write down your three intended starting defenders for GW8 through GW11, then identify the vacant slots. You can map future lineups and compare rotation options in We Play FPL before committing the transfer. The planner supports future squad drafts and lineups, while the rotation scout helps assess player combinations across upcoming fixtures.
For a GW8 vacancy, we lean towards Muharemović. For gaps in GW9 and GW11, Van Hecke’s home fixtures warrant a closer look. Silva suits a manager who can cover GW8 and wants another option for the following run.
Keep the cost of the whole defence in view. Spending around £5.0m on a fourth defender needs a purpose if the extra money could improve a regular starter elsewhere. Check availability and the expected starting lineups before the GW8 deadline on 23 October at 17:30 UTC, then choose the player for the weeks you intend to use him.
Fixtures
GW8 Brighton defence: hold De Cuyper or switch to Vušković?
Keep De Cuyper unless a sale solves a wider squad problem. Compare his attacking rate with Vušković’s defensive contributions, and reassess new Brighton purchases near GW10.
Keep De Cuyper for GW8 unless selling him solves a wider problem in your squad. Liverpool away and Manchester City away make Brighton defenders awkward starters over the next two Gameweeks, but switching from De Cuyper to Vušković would leave you facing the same opponents.
For managers buying a defender, we would wait until nearer GW10 to reassess Brighton. Existing owners have a different decision: use a stronger bench option where you have one, preserve the transfer and judge the fixture run beyond those two away matches.
Two difficult trips before the fixtures improve
Brighton visit Liverpool in GW8 and Manchester City in GW9. They then host Brentford in GW10 and visit Hull City in GW11. Both defenders could offer more appeal once that later window arrives, although favourable fixtures cannot guarantee clean sheets.
Selling now and buying back for GW10 uses two transfers. That can make sense if the replacement improves your starting XI across several weeks, but it is an expensive way to avoid two fixtures when your bench can cover them.
Before making the move, sketch your GW8 and GW9 lineups and the defender you would want in GW10. You can plan those future lineups in We Play FPL, including the transfers you would need to get there. Judge the move by the starting XI it improves and the transfers it consumes.
De Cuyper gives you the stronger attacking rate
At £5.3m, De Cuyper has produced 0.40 expected goal involvements per 90 minutes, compared with Vušković’s 0.18. That makes De Cuyper the more appealing of the two if you want attacking involvement from your defender.
He has averaged 82.9 minutes per match, with 1.54 expected goals conceded per 90 and 3.57 defensive contributions per 90. His attacking rate gives him a route to points when Brighton concede, but you still need to accept the defensive risk against Liverpool and City.
We would hold him if the proposed sale is a straight swap to Vušković. If you must start De Cuyper this week, his attacking involvement gives you a reason to play him; it does not make him a clean-sheet favourite.
Vušković offers a different scoring route
Vušković costs £5.1m and has averaged 88.1 minutes per match. His 10.21 defensive contributions per 90 stand well above De Cuyper’s 3.57, giving managers a stronger defensive-contribution case to consider alongside the £0.2m saving.
His other rates are 0.18 expected goal involvements per 90 and 1.45 expected goals conceded per 90. The lower attacking figure matters if you are chasing a goal or assist. The defensive-contribution rate matters if you prefer that scoring route, but it is an average rather than a promise of points in any individual match.
All these rates describe season-to-date performance, not projected returns. Both players are FPL defenders, and neither can escape Brighton’s immediate fixture risk.
For a new purchase around GW10, Vušković deserves consideration if the saving helps elsewhere and you value his defensive contributions. De Cuyper remains the attacking choice. Check their availability and recent selections again before buying.
Make the transfer earn its place
Our GW8 call is to retain De Cuyper and avoid a sideways Brighton switch. Bench him if your alternative has a stronger fixture and a credible starting role. If your squad cannot field a defence you are comfortable with, assess a replacement from another club over the full period you intend to own him.
Managers without a Brighton defender can wait through Liverpool and City, then compare De Cuyper’s attacking involvement with Vušković’s price and defensive contributions before GW10. You gain little by paying for the later fixture window before you need to.
Fixtures
GW8 budget midfield: Schade, Tavernier or Manzambi?
Tavernier gets our longer-term lean, Schade offers the immediate GW8 fixture, and Manzambi needs fitness news. Choose your budget midfielder by the weeks you need him.
Marcus Tavernier is our preference if you want a budget midfielder to keep beyond GW8. Kevin Schade has the more appealing immediate fixture. Johan Manzambi can wait until his fitness and starting place become clearer.
That distinction matters if you need to replace Dominik Szoboszlai or Sávio. Both carry injury flags, so check your bench before deciding how long you can wait. A replacement who suits the next deadline may need another transfer before your longer-term plan reaches its target.
Schade and Tavernier cost £6.2m; Manzambi costs £6.0m. All three are midfielders. Choose between them by the weeks you expect to start them and the cover you can use when the fixtures become harder.
Schade for an immediate GW8 start
Schade visits Hull City in GW8, then faces Nottingham Forest at home, Brighton away and Everton at home. If you need a player for your XI this week, he gets our fixture-based lean over Tavernier and Manzambi.
His attacking numbers give less reason to treat him as the automatic long-term choice. Schade has 0.38 expected goal involvements per 90 minutes, or xGI/90, with an average of 77.6 minutes per match. Tavernier and Manzambi have higher attacking expected rates so far. The immediate fixture is the main reason to favour Schade.
Plan an exit or bench cover before buying. Brentford face Manchester United away in GW12, Arsenal at home in GW13 and Manchester City at home in GW14. You can target the four matches before that run, but a squad with several other problems may struggle to spare the next transfer.
Tavernier for a longer hold
Tavernier starts with Manchester United away in GW8. Managers who buy him should accept that opening fixture because they want the matches that follow: Leeds at home, Ipswich Town away and Nottingham Forest at home in GW9–11.
He has 0.63 xGI/90 and an average of 82.0 minutes per match. His seven starts give us a more established starting sample than Manzambi’s three. Those figures support the preference for Tavernier when you want a replacement you can leave in the side; they do not guarantee his next start or return.
The run also leaves you options beyond GW11. Bournemouth visit Fulham in GW12, then host Brighton and Hull City. If you have limited free transfers and want to avoid booking another midfield move, Tavernier fits that plan better than a short Schade purchase.
Map the next few starting XIs before committing. You can plan future line-ups and transfers with We Play FPL to check whether you can cover Tavernier’s opening fixture or Schade’s later run without weakening another position.
Manzambi needs a fitness update
Manzambi has the highest attacking rate of the three at 0.71 xGI/90, alongside an average of 63.5 minutes per match. His smaller starting sample makes that rate a less secure basis for a transfer than the headline suggests.
He also carries a calf-injury flag with a 75% chance of playing. That percentage leaves uncertainty over his availability, and availability alone would not confirm a start. Buying him to solve an injury problem would add another fitness decision to your squad.
Aston Villa host Manchester City in GW8 and Fulham in GW9. Wait for fitness and selection news, then reassess the Fulham fixture as an entry point. His £6.0m price saves £0.2m against Schade or Tavernier, but that saving matters only if you can field a player you trust to start.
Make the transfer for your squad
If your bench cannot cover an injured midfielder in GW8, Schade offers the immediate fixture we prefer. Choose Tavernier when you can tolerate Manchester United away and want the longer hold. Keep Manzambi on the watchlist until the calf issue and starting outlook become clearer.
For Szoboszlai, the current hamstring flag gives no return date. Sávio’s muscular-injury flag lists an expected return on 7 November. Recheck both before selling, and weigh that news against the actual players available on your bench.
The xGI/90 figures describe expected attacking performance so far, rather than future points. Minutes above are averages per played match. Recheck fitness and prices before the GW8 deadline on 23 October at 17:30 UTC, then choose the move that leaves your next few teams strongest.
