Arsenal
Premier League table recalculated without VAR after early season controversy
The table shifts without VAR, but United, Forest and Haaland remain central to the early debate.
With five games played in the 2026/27 season, the Premier League has already been dragged into a series of officiating disputes despite hopes of a lighter touch. Howard Webb has issued an apology that was quickly rejected, and further explanations are still being awaited across the division.
Removing VAR from the picture changes the table in several places, but Manchester United remain the major talking point. Erling Haaland’s winner in the Manchester derby should not have stood, according to Webb’s own acknowledgement, after officials became caught in what he described as “tunnel vision.” The issue centred on Enzo Fernández’s movement in front of Lisandro Martínez, while VAR Matt Donohue focused on whether Haaland was onside when he turned the ball in past Senne Lammens.
Even so, United would still sit 12th with the additional point, showing that the decision was costly without transforming their wider position.
At the top, Arsenal would move clear of the rest on 12 points, with Brentford and Manchester City next on 11. Liverpool would also be better off overall, although their draw in this version of the table follows the denied goal against Nottingham Forest when Florian Wirtz’s effort was ruled out for offside.
Forest are one of the biggest beneficiaries of the no-VAR table. Oliver Glasner’s side would climb to 10th, helped by the sense that they have been denied three points in separate incidents. Neco Williams had a goal disallowed against Tottenham Hotspur after an alleged handball in a goal-line scramble with Sandro Tonali, and that decision came without any definitive camera angle proving the offence. Williams later posted: “Clear and obvious they say,” while Glasner added after the Coventry City match: “Of course I have thoughts but I don’t want to speak about it again,” after Igor Jesus was judged to have tripped Caleb Yirenkyi before scoring.
Haaland’s own frustration also featured in the aftermath of the derby. He said: “I thought there was maybe someone who had flicked it, I don’t normally go offside,” and added: “I talked to [referee] Michael Oliver and I told him I took it personal that he thought I went offside.”
The record suggests otherwise. As the draft notes, Haaland has only been correctly flagged offside once this season.
Arsenal
Arteta Jokes Raya’s Spain Return Will Have to Wait
Arteta says Raya’s Spain move can wait, with Arsenal likely to keep their goalkeeper longer.
Mikel Arteta has played down the idea of David Raya heading back to Spain any time soon, joking that the Arsenal goalkeeper’s next appearance there may only come on holiday.
Raya has made no secret of his long-term wish to play in La Liga. As he put it: “Perhaps, in the future, I could play for a Spanish club. I’m Spanish and I’d love to play there.”
That ambition stands out because Raya has never played professional club football in his home country. Born and raised in Barcelona, he began in the youth ranks at UE Cornellà, which has been owned since April 2026 by Lionel Messi. He left Spain at 16 in 2012, moving to England in search of a career and eventually landing at Blackburn Rovers. After progressing to the first team two years later, he became their starting goalkeeper for the 2017–18 and 2018–19 campaigns.
Brentford later spotted his talent, and Arteta judged in 2023 that Raya was the upgrade Arsenal needed over Aaron Ramsdale. Since then, the goalkeeper has collected three Premier League Golden Gloves across the last three seasons and, by Monday night, could be in position to claim the Yashin Trophy at the 2026 Ballon d’Or ceremony.
Raya has also been a regular presence in Spain squads over the last four years, even if he is not a first-choice international starter. That has brought him both a European Championship and World Cup winner’s medal, yet one major piece remains missing from his résumé: a spell in La Liga.
Arteta was not in the mood to encourage an early return. “I think David has to play in Spain at some point … on the beach with his friends in the summer,” the Gunners boss said. “For the next few years, he needs to play here for Arsenal .”
That timing matters, because Raya is now into the final two years of his Arsenal contract, which ends in June 2028. He will be just short of 33 when it expires. Arteta’s comments suggest Arsenal may soon try to extend that deal well beyond 2028.
If Raya does chase La Liga while still at his peak, the decision point may come no later than 2028. Barcelona would appear the natural fit, though the club’s 2025 move for Joan García complicates that route. Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid could also be possible in time, depending on how the situations around Thibaut Courtois and Jan Oblak develop.
Arsenal
Villa’s Win Over City Triggers Another Opta Refresh
Villa beat City, Arsenal stay close, and Opta updates the title, Europe and relegation outlooks.
Aston Villa have delivered the Premier League’s first defeat of Manchester City this season, and they are also the first side to take points from them. Unai Emery’s team earned that landmark result at Villa Park, where City were below their best and paid for it. Gianluigi Donnarumma and Marc Guéhi were both singled out for especially poor showings, Nicolas Jackson struck on loan to make the difference, and Zion Suzuki contributed six saves across the 90 minutes.
City remain top of the current Premier League standings, but the performance offered the first domestic indication that they are not untouchable. Arsenal followed by matching them on points after beating Everton, leaving the title race level at the summit and Arsenal second only on goal difference.
That Arsenal victory came with Bukayo Saka unavailable and possibly out until Christmas. The Gunners were short of natural creativity, but they compensated by rediscovering the set-piece strength that served them so well last season.
With those results, and two others on Saturday, Opta’s supercomputer updated its predictions again.
The title model now has Arsenal first with 79.55 predicted points and a 53.82% chance of finishing champions. Manchester City are second on 76.11 points and 34.39%. Brighton remain the only other side above 5%, while Liverpool are at 3.29% and Chelsea at 1.42%.
The Champions League outlook keeps Arsenal and City well clear, with both above 90% to qualify. Brighton stand at 58.37%, Liverpool at 46.70%, Chelsea at 31.28% and Aston Villa at 21.66%. Brentford, Leeds and Everton are further back, and Manchester United’s five-match winless run has left them below 6%.
At the lower end, Tottenham have made a notable move in the right direction. Two wins in a row have cut their relegation chance to 14%, and the model now projects them to finish 13th. That is not especially strong, but it is a considerable improvement on consecutive 17th-place finishes in the last two seasons.
Arsenal
Arsenal grind past Everton to stay level at the top
Arsenal beat Everton 2-0 as Gabriel and White settled a flat but controlled home display.
Arsenal resumed Premier League duty with a 2-0 victory over Everton, a result that keeps them level with leaders Manchester City after City’s surprise defeat to Aston Villa earlier in the day.
It was not a smooth performance, and for long spells it felt like Arsenal were working harder than they were shining. Everton reacted well after falling behind and twice came close to levelling through Tyrique George and Thierno Barry, only for last-ditch defending to preserve the lead. At the other end, Noni Madueke and Eberechi Eze both had chances to justify their roles while Bukayo Saka’s new injury leaves a gap Arsenal still need to manage. James Tarkowski also stood firm in Everton’s defence, but Jordan Pickford was rarely forced into serious action.
The visitors should have been level before the interval. Ben White’s attempt to play the ball back to David Raya was intercepted by Barry, and the Arsenal goalkeeper had to produce a crucial save to avoid a costly error. After the break, Arsenal’s answer was control. With open-play creativity still limited, they leaned on possession to deny Everton any rhythm and eventually found a breakthrough.
Gabriel headed in White’s cross from close range after Arsenal worked the ball into position for a chance. The defender had looked in some discomfort earlier, but he stayed on and delivered the decisive moment. Everton still had one late opening, when Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall headed wide, but by then the match was drifting away from them.
Arsenal’s second goal came with more complexity, though the route to it still carried the logic of a set-piece situation. Declan Rice’s corner was only partially cleared, the ball was recycled, and White eventually clipped in a delivery that Gabriel met at the far post. It was Arsenal’s first set-piece goal of the season, and perhaps the clearest sign that when the game becomes stubborn, familiar methods still matter.
That was especially notable given how reliant Arsenal were from dead-ball situations last season, when they scored 35 times from set pieces across all competitions in 2025-26, 29% of their total output. Here, the margin for error was smaller, but the outcome was secure enough.
