Fixtures
FPL GW4 transfers: Szoboszlai, Ødegaard and Calvert-Lewin decisions
Szoboszlai or Wirtz, Ødegaard or Tzolis, and Calvert-Lewin’s two home fixtures: the GW4 moves worth making depend on who you own.
Keep Szoboszlai for Fulham at home, favour Ødegaard over Tzolis if you are buying an Arsenal midfielder, and give Calvert-Lewin his next two home fixtures. Those are three useful GW4 decisions, but each depends on the players you own. A good purchase for a new buyer can still be a poor use of a transfer for an existing owner.
The GW4 deadline is 12 September at 12:30 UTC. You have time to check fitness and expected starts before committing. The numbers below cover the first three league matches of 2026/27, so use them to assess the picks alongside their roles and fixtures.
Szoboszlai owners can keep the Fulham fixture
Szoboszlai costs £7.0m and has played all 270 minutes. His 0.56 expected goal involvements per 90 minutes, or xGI/90, gives owners a sound reason to keep him for Fulham at Anfield in GW4. He ranks first for penalties, direct free kicks and corners or indirect free kicks. Those rankings describe current responsibilities; they do not guarantee he will take the next set piece.
Wirtz costs £7.4m and has recorded 0.36 xGI/90 across 242 minutes. His owners can take encouragement from two consecutive 90-minute appearances after 62 minutes in GW1. Selling before Fulham needs a stronger reason than disappointment with his opening returns.
For a fresh purchase between the pair, we prefer Szoboszlai. You save £0.4m, gain the stronger early expected involvement and buy a player who has completed all three matches. For a Wirtz owner, switching means spending a transfer to retain exposure to the same fixture. Keeping Wirtz and addressing a weaker position can be the better move.
Liverpool then visit Bournemouth in GW5 and host Manchester City in GW6. Decide how long you want to own either midfielder before buying. A planned GW6 Wildcard gives you a clear opportunity to reassess after two fixtures; a longer hold requires more confidence in the player through the mixed schedule. You can map those transfers across future Gameweeks with We Play FPL before making changes to your live squad.
Ødegaard has the stronger case for a new Arsenal midfield slot
If you have chosen to buy an Arsenal midfielder in this price bracket, the extra £0.2m for Ødegaard looks worthwhile. At £6.6m, he has produced 0.84 xGI/90 across 221 minutes. Tzolis costs £6.4m and has managed 0.23 across 210 minutes. Ødegaard has also collected six bonus points to Tzolis’ one.
That is an encouraging start, with a clear limitation: Ødegaard has played 75, 70 and 76 minutes. Budget for substitutions when assessing his upside. Tzolis has played 75, 45 and 90 minutes, so neither player’s opening record supports assuming a full match each week.
Arsenal visit Sunderland in GW4, visit Brighton in GW5 and host Leeds in GW6. Ødegaard is our preference for a new purchase through that window, provided the extra spend leaves your squad in good shape. His early involvement gives you more to work with than hoping Tzolis repeats a recent return.
Existing Tzolis owners can hold for Sunderland. The gap in early numbers does not tell you how many points a switch will earn in the next match, and three appearances leave plenty of room for the picture to change. Reassess if the minutes or role change; avoid spending the transfer because another Arsenal midfielder has started better.
Give Calvert-Lewin the two home matches
Calvert-Lewin owners have Newcastle at home in GW4 and Crystal Palace at home in GW5 before Leeds visit Arsenal in GW6. At £6.0m, he has generated 0.58 xG/90 and 0.61 xGI/90 across 252 minutes. He also ranks first for penalties.
Keep him for those two home fixtures if he remains fit and your chip plan does not reset the squad. You retain a forward with encouraging early chance involvement and preserve a transfer for another position. Selling him requires a replacement who improves your wider plan enough to justify giving up both fixtures.
His latest appearance lasted 72 minutes after two full matches. Check for fitness news and any change in his expected starts before the deadline. That shorter outing deserves attention, but it does not erase the case for holding him through GW5.
Use the transfer where your squad needs it
For new buyers, our preferences are Szoboszlai over Wirtz and Ødegaard over Tzolis, subject to budget and expected minutes. Owners have more room to keep the useful GW4 fixtures and direct their transfer elsewhere. Calvert-Lewin has a two-week home run worth retaining.
Review fitness and likely minutes before the deadline, then compare your current squad with the proposed changes. Make the move if it improves the next few weeks enough to justify the transfer and any later exit you will need.
Fixtures
GW8 Rice: does the £7.3m buying case add up?
Rice offers set pieces and playing time, but his goal threat and defensive contribution rate warrant caution at £7.3m. Separate a new buy from an existing hold.
Declan Rice costs £7.3m before GW8, and we would approach a new purchase with caution. He offers set pieces and substantial playing time, but his goal threat and defensive contribution rate leave buyers relying on assists and bonus to justify that midfield spend.
Everton at home gives him a useful immediate fixture. You still need a reason to prefer him across your intended holding period. Existing owners face a different calculation: a cautious buying verdict alone gives you little reason to spend a transfer selling him before that match.
Start with the attacking return you need
Rice has averaged 84.4 minutes per match. Managers can value that involvement while recognising how he uses those minutes. His season-to-date expected attacking rates are 0.04 xG/90, 0.18 xA/90 and 0.22 xGI/90.
The assist component accounts for most of that expected involvement. His set-piece role gives him a route to returns, but a buyer expecting regular goals would need evidence of a stronger attacking role. At £7.3m, you should assess whether you want that spending power in a midfielder who creates chances or in one with more goal involvement.
These historical expected rates describe his performances so far. They do not forecast his next score. Rice can exceed them in a particular match; that possibility carries less weight than a repeatable role when you commit several weeks of midfield budget.
Treat defensive contributions as an extra route
Rice has recorded 9.29 DefCon/90 alongside his average of 84.4 minutes per match. That gives you another part of his scoring profile to assess, but it does not establish a dependable defensive contribution return in each fixture.
A per-90 average cannot tell you how often he will meet a match threshold. Individual fixtures vary, and average playing time also matters. Buying him on the assumption that defensive contribution points will compensate for low goal threat asks too much of that one rate.
We would want the purchase to make sense through his overall role and price. Treat any defensive contribution return as part of the upside you assess, rather than a fixed addition to your weekly points expectation.
Check the weeks you plan to start him
Arsenal host Everton in GW8, visit Liverpool in GW9 and host Hull City in GW10. You get two home fixtures around a more demanding away match. Assess that whole window before treating the Everton match as sufficient reason to buy.
A short-term purchase needs to justify both the arrival and any planned exit. A longer hold means accepting the fixtures beyond Hull: Newcastle away in GW11, Manchester City at home in GW12 and Brentford away in GW13. Choose your intended starts before committing the money.
You can compare midfield options in We Play FPL using performance data and upcoming fixtures, then map the transfer across your planned Gameweeks. Include the alternative use of the £7.3m in that comparison: a cheaper midfielder may let you improve another starting position, while a more attacking option may suit the same budget.
A cautious buy, with room for owners to hold
Our GW8 verdict is to demand a specific squad benefit before buying Rice. Secure involvement and set pieces help his case; 0.04 xG/90 and 9.29 DefCon/90 give us little reason to assume he will deliver goals or defensive contribution points on demand.
If you own him, Everton at home gives you a reason to hold while you address a clearer weakness elsewhere. Reassess if his role changes or your alternative improves the starting XI enough to justify the move. A new buyer can take more time to compare the full scoring profile before paying £7.3m.
Fixtures
GW7 transfers: hold Gibbs-White and Fulham attackers through GW8
Keep Gibbs-White for Ipswich and Fulham’s attackers for Hull and Coventry. New buyers need a longer plan; compare the £6.0m forwards when your squad needs a change.
Keep Morgan Gibbs-White, Gonzalo García and Josh King through their remaining short fixture windows if they still fit your squad. You can justify holding all three without making them priorities for a new GW7 transfer.
Owners have a different decision from buyers. You have paid for the move and can collect the next fixtures without spending another transfer. A new buyer needs enough value across the full holding period to justify the cost of getting in and, potentially, getting out.
Keep Gibbs-White for Ipswich, with a GW7 bench option
Gibbs-White faces Arsenal at home in GW7, then Ipswich away in GW8. Keep him for that second match if you can field a stronger alternative against Arsenal. Managers with a weak bench may need to start him, but the difficult immediate fixture makes him a lower priority for a new purchase.
At £8.0m, Gibbs-White has averaged 90 min/match and recorded 0.59 expected goal involvements per 90 minutes, or xGI/90. His playing time gives owners a reason to retain him through Ipswich; the attacking rate supports patience without promising a return.
Plan your exit before buying. Forest then visit Brentford in GW9, host Manchester City in GW10, visit Bournemouth in GW11 and host Chelsea in GW12. A new buyer would commit £8.0m to a player with one appealing near-term target and a demanding run afterwards. Existing owners can finish the Ipswich window and reassess their midfield before GW9.
Give Gonzalo and King the Hull and Coventry matches
Fulham face Hull at home in GW7 and Coventry away in GW8. Keep Gonzalo or King for those matches if you bought them for this run. Selling after the Ipswich blank would remove the two fixtures you still wanted from the original move.
Gonzalo costs £6.1m and occupies a forward slot. He has averaged 85.2 min/match with 0.63 xGI/90. King costs £5.6m and occupies a midfield slot, with 83.3 min/match and 0.41 xGI/90. Gonzalo has offered more expected attacking involvement; King lets you retain Fulham exposure at a lower midfield price.
You can consider either as a two-week purchase if you need to replace an unavailable player. Include the next transfer in your plan: Fulham visit Aston Villa in GW9 and host Newcastle in GW10. Buying for Hull and Coventry makes less sense if you would have to spend another transfer to repair the squad straight afterwards.
Use the We Play FPL planner to map your GW7–10 transfers and compare the line-ups you can field before changing your live team. You can check whether keeping your Fulham player for two matches leaves enough flexibility for the later fixtures.
Compare Calvert-Lewin and Evanilson when you need a forward
Calvert-Lewin and Evanilson both cost £6.0m. Consider them if you have a forward problem to solve; Gonzalo owners can finish the Hull and Coventry window before deciding on a replacement.
Calvert-Lewin has recorded 0.54 xGI/90 while averaging 84.8 min/match. He hosts Manchester United in GW7, visits Sunderland in GW8 and Bournemouth in GW9, then hosts Spurs in GW10. His expected attacking involvement supports the case for a needed move, although managers still depend on him converting chances.
Evanilson has averaged 85.7 min/match with 0.37 xGI/90. Bournemouth host Sunderland in GW7, visit Manchester United in GW8, host Leeds in GW9 and visit Ipswich in GW10. He offers a different sequence for managers who can cover the Manchester United trip and want the later fixtures.
Choose between them using the weeks you need a starter. Calvert-Lewin has the stronger season-to-date attacking rate; Evanilson may suit the fixture gaps in your squad. These expected metrics describe performance so far and do not guarantee future points.
Reassess before the deadline
The GW7 deadline is 17 October at 10:00 UTC, or 13:00 Cairo. Check availability and expected starts before committing a transfer.
For Gibbs-White owners, prepare a GW7 bench option and retain the Ipswich match where your squad allows it. For Gonzalo and King owners, keep the Hull and Coventry window in view. New buyers should compare the full holding period and the next transfer they would need, while managers with an unavailable forward can assess the £6.0m alternatives against their own starting XI.
Differentials
FPL GW5: Tavernier or Dewsbury-Hall for your midfield?
Tavernier offers stronger early attacking numbers at £6.1m. Dewsbury-Hall has the immediate fixtures. Here is how to choose for your squad.
Marcus Tavernier is our preferred attacking pick of these two GW5 midfield options. He costs £6.1m, £0.4m less than Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, and has produced the stronger early attacking numbers. Dewsbury-Hall’s case rests on Everton’s next two fixtures: Ipswich Town at home and Hull City away.
Choose based on how long you expect to keep the player. If you want an attacking midfielder to own beyond GW6, favour Tavernier, provided your squad can absorb Bournemouth’s difficult opening pair. If you have a midfield vacancy and want to target the next two matches, Dewsbury-Hall deserves consideration. Neither is a reason to dismantle a settled squad.
Tavernier has the stronger attacking start
Across 350 league minutes, Tavernier has recorded 0.44 expected goals per 90 and 0.21 expected assists per 90. His combined expected goal involvement stands at 0.65 per 90. Dewsbury-Hall has played 360 minutes, with 0.16 xG/90, 0.12 xA/90 and 0.28 xGI/90.
The difference extends beyond one route to points. Tavernier has had more expected goal involvement from both shooting and creating chances. At the lower price, he gives you the more appealing attacking profile within this comparison.
Four starts each give us some evidence of early involvement, but only a small performance sample. These season-to-date rates describe the chances each player has had or created; they do not predict his next return. Do not turn Tavernier’s early scoring into an assumed weekly haul.
Everton offer the immediate fixture pair
Dewsbury-Hall faces Ipswich at home in GW5, then visits Hull in GW6. Those fixtures explain why you might accept his higher price and weaker early attacking rates.
That route fits a manager who already has a vacancy and a reason to prioritise the next two Gameweeks. It fits less well if you must spend an extra transfer to raise the money, or expect to remove him after Hull without allowing for the cost of that later move.
Everton host Chelsea in GW7 before away matches against Arsenal and Newcastle. Look at that stretch before buying. If another part of your squad will need attention, a two-match purchase could leave you with a midfielder you planned to sell and a more urgent problem elsewhere.
Bournemouth require patience at the start
Tavernier hosts Liverpool in GW5 and travels to Chelsea in GW6. Buying him now means accepting those opponents in exchange for his attacking profile and lower price.
Bournemouth then host Sunderland in GW7, visit Manchester United in GW8 and host Leeds in GW9. The schedule contains opportunities alongside difficult matches; you should have a reason to keep him through the full period you are assessing.
Use the £0.4m difference in the context of your own squad. You can compare the players and map your next transfers in We Play FPL to see whether the saving improves another position or whether Everton’s immediate fixtures suit your planned line-ups. Check the actual money available after any sale before committing to a pair of moves.
Our GW5 choice
For a fresh purchase with sustained ownership in mind, Tavernier gets our vote from this pair. His stronger shooting and creative rates, combined with the lower price, justify accepting some fixture difficulty if your squad can handle it.
Choose Dewsbury-Hall when your priority is Everton’s GW5–6 pair and the transfer fits without forcing extra spending or an awkward exit. The fixtures make him a credible alternative, but his early attacking numbers give us less reason to stretch the budget for him.
If you already own either player and have a functioning midfield, this comparison alone does not justify a sideways transfer. Assess the likely benefit against the transfer you would give up and your other squad needs.
Recheck availability and midweek workload before the GW5 deadline on Friday 18 September at 17:30 UTC. Prices and statistics above reflect 16 September; all expected metrics cover the 2026/27 league season to date.
