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Etihad Showdown: How a City win or Arsenal triumph would shape 2025/26

A showdown at the Etihad could decide the 2025/26 title, with both sides’ seasons on the line. final

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Sunday’s meeting between Manchester City and Arsenal carries the kind of significance that can determine a title race. The fixture has been billed as the most important Premier League clash in years and could decide the 2025/26 season, not least if it is settled by a set piece.

Arsenal arrive having endured a bumpy spell. Their 2–1 home defeat to Bournemouth was their first top-flight loss since January and followed an FA Cup exit to second-tier Southampton. The Gunners also lost the Carabao Cup final at Wembley last month, yet they have advanced to the Champions League semifinals after scraping past Sporting CP 1–0 on aggregate. Those contrasts leave Mikel Arteta’s side with a continental milestone to celebrate but a domestic form line that suggests they are running out of steam on several fronts.

If Arsenal can find a response at the Etihad it would be a landmark result. A win would send them nine points clear with five games remaining, with City able to cut the gap to six only after their game in hand. According to Opta’s supercomputer, Arsenal would have a 98% chance of winning the title should they triumph on Sunday. Even a draw would serve the league leaders well.

Manchester City, by contrast, look to be regaining a familiar momentum. They have silverware to their name this season and sit in the FA Cup semifinals. Last week’s 3–0 victory at Chelsea reinforced the view that the title race could shift into City’s hands with a win on Sunday. City supporters are particularly desperate to close the deal this year because it may be Pep Guardiola’s final season at the club.

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Recent stumbles — back-to-back draws against Nottingham Forest and West Ham United — appeared to have left City with too much ground to make up. Last weekend’s results, however, have thrown them back into the mix. City have not beaten Arsenal in a Premier League fixture since the end of 2022–23, but they did claim the Carabao Cup with Nico O’Reilly heading twice in a 2–0 win, producing a version of City Arsenal encountered for 20 minutes at Wembley.

The outcome on Sunday will be instructive: it can either steady Arsenal’s path to a historic domestic title or hand momentum to a Manchester City side intent on late-season revival.

Arsenal

October Premier League award nominees announced

Premier League October award nominees include standout performers and managers across the division.

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The Premier League has named the contenders for its October 2026 Player and Manager of the Month awards, with eight players and six managers included on the respective shortlists.

Bournemouth forward Evanilson enjoyed a productive month, finishing October with four goals and one assist from four appearances as his team beat Sunderland, Manchester United and Leeds United after a slow opening to the season.

Aston Villa striker Nicolas Jackson also reached four goals in the month. The former Chelsea player scored twice in the 2-1 win over Manchester City and also found the net in draws against Brentford and Fulham.

Arsenal are represented by Ezri Konsa and Declan Rice after a perfect month. Konsa impressed in defence while William Saliba was absent, keeping two clean sheets in three outings and scoring his first goal for the club. Rice contributed two important assists at the other end.

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Jack Rudoni’s form has helped Coventry City. The newly promoted side took two wins from four matches in October, with Rudoni scoring three times as they moved further away from the relegation zone.

Tottenham Hotspur also had an unbeaten month, and Jan Paul van Hecke played a key role in wins over Coventry, Chelsea and Crystal Palace. No player attempted or completed more passes than the Dutch defender last month.

Brighton have two nominees in Luka Vušković and Bart Verbruggen. Three clean sheets in four matches brought recognition for the Seagulls’ defence.

On the managerial shortlist, Chelsea scored more goals than any other team in October with nine, while Arsenal’s Mikel Arteta guided his side to the top of the table. Roberto De Zerbi, Unai Emery, Fabian Hürzeler and Marco Rose complete the list after strong runs during the month.

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Month

Player

Club

August

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João Pedro

Chelsea

September

Pascal Groß

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Brighton

Month

Manager

Club

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August

Sergej Jakirović

Hull

September

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Barcola highlights Liverpool’s control problem after Arsenal defeat

Barcola says Liverpool need more control after Arsenal and the numbers partly support him.

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Bradley Barcola’s reaction to Liverpool’s loss to Arsenal has put a clear focus on the next stage of Andoni Iraola’s rebuild. The forward said the team need greater control and more composure in matches of this kind, especially when they are drawn into direct play rather than keeping the ball on the ground.

That message comes against a generally positive backdrop. Liverpool have already moved past Atlético Madrid, LASK and Villarreal with different levels of comfort, and they remain on course for a top-eight finish for the third straight season. That would spare them two extra fixtures in the new year.

Results have not been the major issue in Iraola’s opening months. Arne Slot’s successor has suffered only two defeats in all competitions, and Liverpool’s European form has been matched by a Carabao Cup quarterfinal place and fifth position in the Premier League. Even so, the rare home defeat to Arsenal showed that the side are still evolving.

Liverpool had their strongest moments after falling behind, with their work without the ball making life difficult for the champions. They controlled territory for long stretches and recorded 30 touches in Arsenal’s box in the first half, yet they did not manage a shot on target before the interval. Alexis Mac Allister also had a chance to level the game before half-time.

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After the break, Mikel Arteta’s adjustments helped Arsenal settle, and Liverpool’s momentum faded. Barcola struggled to make repeated one-on-one progress and at times did not even look to take Jurrïen Timber on.

The numbers back up part of his complaint. Liverpool completed just 11 long passes, with a success rate of 25%, and only 11% of their crosses found a team-mate. Their average possession share ranks seventh in the Premier League, per Opta, while they have also produced 17 through balls, the joint-10th-highest total.

Barcola’s own game is built around running in behind, and he is still waiting for his first Premier League goal. Signed for huge money as Liverpool’s third-most expensive arrival ever, he was not universally viewed as a direct Mohamed Salah replacement because he prefers to play on the left. Salah left Anfield at the end of last season and later joined Trabzonspor on a free transfer, but Barcola said he feels no pressure from that departure: “Regarding Mo Salah, he’s a legend here. A huge one. He’s done big things here, and for that I have an enormous respect for him. But it’s not pressure for me at all.

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Arteta sees Saliba return as a solution, not a selection issue

Arteta says Arsenal’s centre-back depth is a luxury, not a problem, as Saliba nears his return.

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Mikel Arteta does not view Arsenal’s growing options at centre back as a concern. Instead, he believes the return of William Saliba, alongside Gabriel and Ezri Konsa, gives the squad a chance to manage the season more effectively.

Konsa, who started most of England’s run to a third-place finish at the tournament, was signed in August with the understanding that Saliba would be unavailable for several months. Since then, he has settled into the Arsenal line-up and has been consistently reliable.

Speaking to reporters on Tuesday after Arsenal arrived in Czechia for their Champions League meeting with Slavia Prague, Arteta suggested Saliba is now close to being available whenever the manager chooses to call on him.

“He’s in, and he’s in like anybody else,” Arteta explained. “All the preparation has been done to measure all the loads and all the steps that he had to do to minimize that risk. Now he’s in a really good place. He’s built the capacity that we needed and now it’s about giving him minutes.

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“A center back normally has to be able to play 90 minutes and that’s why all the preparation that we’ve done to build him.” Saliba himself, Arteta said, is “very desperate” to get back and will have the “right amount of minutes very soon.”

For Saliba to regain his place, one of Gabriel or Konsa would need to step aside. Arteta said that having all three available is a “luxury” Arsenal have not enjoyed earlier in the season.

“I wouldn’t call it a problem,” he said. “We can talk about problems that are very different to that one.”

Arteta has long spoken about the physical strain placed on players across four club competitions, plus international commitments. He believes a deeper pool at centre back can help Arsenal rotate more intelligently and handle the demands of the schedule with greater control.

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