Premier League
Opta model puts Spurs’ relegation risk under 4% after Thomas Frank departure
Opta’s model gives Tottenham a 3.95% relegation chance after Thomas Frank’s exit and fixtures loom.
Tottenham Hotspur dismissed Thomas Frank on Wednesday morning after a run of results that left the club precariously placed in the table. The club’s statement was terse: “Results and performances have led the board to conclude that a change at this point in the season is necessary,” and followed a 2–1 defeat to Newcastle United that left Spurs 16th, five points clear of the relegation zone.
The immediate concern is obvious: fixtures tighten, injuries persist and no manager is yet in the dugout. The new-look executive board in the absence of Daniel Levy will have more than a week to find a successor—either a stop-gap before a permanent summer appointment or a longer-term choice—before next Sunday’s north London derby.
Despite the turmoil, Opta’s supercomputer assigns Tottenham only a 3.95% chance of relegation. Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley are described as effectively consigned to demotion, while West Ham United are rated the likeliest candidates at 74.57% even after an encouraging recent run. Nottingham Forest are given a 15.15% likelihood of dropping, and Leeds United have a 4.82% chance.
The model expects Spurs to finish the season where they sit now, in 16th. That would be marginally better than the Premier League era low of 17th under Ange Postecoglou last term, a campaign that was, at least, balanced by a Europa League trophy. Frank’s side also managed fourth place across the initial league phase of this season’s Champions League, a statistic that offers little consolation as domestic results decline.
Frank has attracted unusual attention off the pitch; he was, according to a report, accused of an unhealthy “obsession” with the Gunners. He will surely watch the derby with interest, and he will remember Eberechi Eze becoming the first player to score a Premier League hat-trick in the fixture in November, a player Tottenham almost signed last summer who has not scored since.
Upcoming fixtures:
Sunday, Feb. 22 — Arsenal (H)
Sunday, March 1 — Fulham (A)
Thursday, March 5 — Crystal Palace (H)
Sunday, March 15 — Liverpool (A)
Liverpool
Gravenberch Commits Long-Term to Liverpool and Sets Sights on More Trophies
Gravenberch signs new long-term Liverpool deal, targets trophies after growth under Arne Slot. this.
Ryan Gravenberch has signed a new long-term contract at Liverpool and made clear his priorities for the coming years. The club did not release the exact length of the deal, but reports suggest it will run until 2032.
Gravenberch arrived from Bayern Munich in 2023 and endured a slow start, but he became a key figure last season under Arne Slot. That progression continued into 2025/26 when the defensive midfielder produced the best goalscoring form of his career, registering four league goals for the first time.
On signing his contract he reflected on the decision and his place at the club. “I feel really, really good,” Gravenberch told club media. “I was really proud to extend my contract at such a big club. So, I’m really happy that I can stay for many more years.
“I felt directly the trust from the club, also from the manager. The decision for me was easy to make. My family is also happy here. We are now here almost three years, so I know everything already. I’m happy that I’m here.”
The timing of the new deal comes as Liverpool pursue silverware in two competitions this season. The club’s chances of ending the campaign with a trophy may rest solely on the FA Cup and Champions League, and Gravenberch acknowledged the short-term focus while outlining a longer-term ambition to return Liverpool to title contention.
“For the short term, [my aim is to] end the season as good as possible,” he continued. “And for the long term: win many more trophies with Liverpool. ]”
His progress from an unsettled arrival to a regular performer under Slot has given Liverpool a midfield option who combines defensive work with an improved scoring threat. The new contract secures that option as the club plans the next phase of its domestic and European campaigns.
Liverpool
Slot soothes concerns after Mac Allister withdrawn; Liverpool show midfield depth
Arne Slot said “I think so, yes.” after Alexis Mac Allister’s late withdrawal; Liverpool show depth.
Arne Slot moved to calm nerves after Alexis Mac Allister was withdrawn late against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Friday. The substitution looked worrying at the time, but Slot offered reassurance when asked about the midfielder’s condition: “I think so, yes.”
The match also marked the return of Florian Wirtz from injury, a timely addition to Liverpool’s squad, although the team did not ultimately require his influence to control the game. At the base of midfield, Mac Allister and Ryan Gravenberch provided solidity and composure, while Mohamed Salah and Curtis Jones delivered productive displays further forward.
Teenage winger Rio Ngumoha emerged as the standout performer. He “stole the show and was unfortunate not to join his teammates on the score sheet,” drawing praise and attention for his display. That performance intensified debate around the player who has been limiting his opportunities this season, Cody Gakpo.
Gakpo started in an unfamiliar role as a central striker and struggled to look comfortable. The draft of his performance underlined a wider issue: those difficulties can also be said for many of his appearances as a left winger this season. The continued rise of attacking options complicates selection decisions for Slot.
Wirtz’s introduction from the bench adds further options to an already crowded midfield. Slot now has an abundance of confident, in-form players to call on as Liverpool prepare for a demanding trip to Türkiye to face Galatasaray in midweek. If Liverpool’s attack-minded stars continue to build form, selection pressures will increase and Slot’s choices may be tested.
For now, the immediate concern over Mac Allister appears to have been eased. The match offered evidence of the squad’s depth and posed fresh selection questions as Liverpool look ahead to their midweek fixture and the remainder of the season.
Man Utd
De Zerbi Linked to Manchester United as Spurs Continue Talks
De Zerbi is reportedly open to Manchester United while Spurs continue talks amid ongoing instability
Reports suggest Roberto De Zerbi is interested in the Manchester United job even as Tottenham Hotspur continue to hold talks with him. The situation has added pressure to an unsettled managerial picture at both clubs, where interim managers Michael Carrick and Igor Tudor are fighting for their futures.
Tudor is reported to be at risk of being sacked after just three games, with Spurs sitting one point clear of the relegation zone. While Carrick is believed to have done enough to remain in the running at United, the potential availability of De Zerbi will complicate summer planning for both sides.
Talks between Spurs and De Zerbi have been held, but the Italian is expected to hold out for more appealing offers this summer. His high octane soccer earned admirers during spells with Sassuolo and Shakhtar Donetsk between 2018 and 2022, and it was at Brighton & Hove Albion that he established himself among the world’s elite.
It is widely accepted that De Zerbi overachieved with the Seagulls and he spoke with a handful of big names, including both Spurs and United, during the summer of 2024 before taking his talents to Marseille. The French side finished second in Ligue 1 during his first season in charge, playing a possession-heavy brand of soccer that was both aesthetically pleasing and effective on the field.
There is a sense that his approach would suit a team built to be favorites every week, but his style of management remains a concern for some suitors. De Zerbi is a fiery character who is not afraid to raise his voice and challenge anybody in his path, be that his own players or those above him in the hierarchy. His departure from Brighton stemmed from public disappointment towards his limited impact in the club’s transfer dealings, and that could be a major issue for both United and Spurs as they lean into the modern approach of appointing “head coaches” to lead the team and hand the transfer business to a recruitment department.
United, having shaken off the cobwebs of the Erik ten Hag and Ruben Amorim eras, have enjoyed enough on-field success to remind the world of their pedigree and reputation as the biggest brand in English soccer. With the promise of a hefty transfer budget this summer, the allure of the Red Devils is clear. Spurs, meanwhile, face the added complication that they cannot even offer assurances of Premier League status next season after two seasons at the wrong end of the standings, leaving them with an uphill battle to retain their place among England’s ‘Big Six.’
