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How Arsenal Could Clinch the Title Sooner After Manchester City’s Slip

Arsenal could be confirmed champions with one more win if City falter in a specific set of fixtures.

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Pep Guardiola cut a downcast figure after watching his Manchester City side give up a position of real ascendancy against Everton on Monday night, but he took some encouragement from his side’s capacity to at least scramble a point after trailing 3–1 with less than 10 minutes left to play.

The table shows Arsenal with 35 games played, a +41 goal difference and 76 points. Manchester City have played 34, sit on +37 and have 71 points. That gap leaves a narrow path for Arsenal to be crowned before the traditional final-day showdown.

There is a sequence in which Arsenal would need only one more win. Should City lose to Brentford on Saturday and Arsenal beat West Ham United the following day, Arsenal would be confirmed as champions if City fail to beat Crystal Palace on Wednesday, May 13. That outcome depends on Arsenal defeating West Ham at the London Stadium.

As Thierry Henry fretted on Sky Sports, “Nothing is done.”

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“I am going to stay in my lane, I am not going to celebrate too early,” he warned. “I am worried for the West Ham game.”

Most likely the race will stretch to the final day, Sunday, May 24. City’s vulnerability was exposed in the Everton match, but it would be a major surprise if they dropped many more points.

Both title contenders could face opponents with other priorities on that decisive Sunday. Arsenal travel to Crystal Palace, who may be preparing for a Conference League final three days later and hold a 3–1 lead from a semifinal first leg over Shakhtar Donetsk ahead of this week’s home tie.

Aston Villa trail Nottingham Forest by one goal from their Europa League semifinal first leg. If Villa reach the final they would travel to Man City four days on from an appearance in the Europa League final. Villa’s recent performance against Tottenham Hotspur was described as disastrous in the draft and could indicate vulnerability.

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Arsenal’s remaining fixtures referenced in the draft include West Ham (A) on May 10, Burnley (H) on May 18 and Bournemouth (A) on May 19. City’s key fixtures are Brentford (H) on May 9 and Crystal Palace (H) on May 13.

Arsenal

Arsenal’s Contract Priorities After Arteta Extends His Stay

Arsenal have tied down Arteta, but securing key players, especially Ødegaard, remains vital to the club’s project.

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Mikel Arteta’s renewed deal underlines Arsenal’s ambition, but the manager is only one part of the club’s wider project. After opening the defence of their Premier League title with a win over Manchester City in the Community Shield, Arteta spoke with clear conviction about what drives him. “I feel good, different, hopefully better. More excited than ever. Hungrier than ever,” he said.

For the decision makers in north London, the next task is not simply about the dugout. With Bukayo Saka, William Saliba and Gabriel already rewarded with improved terms since the summer of 2025, attention now turns to the remaining core of the squad. Securing that group would further strengthen the stability around a side that is trying to stay at the top.

Martin Ødegaard stands out as one of the most important names still needing clarity, with his current deal running until 2028. It is notable how quickly perceptions around him have changed. Some supporters had once questioned whether he should remain at the club, yet his status has grown again through a difficult but ultimately productive period.

Last season was interrupted by injuries, leaving him short of rhythm, but he still ended the title-winning campaign as Arsenal’s leading assist provider in the Premier League. This summer has only reinforced his importance. A strong World Cup with Norway and a powerful start to the club season have helped settle any remaining doubts.

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Arteta has made his view plain. Ødegaard has “a point to prove,” according to the manager. “I sensed from the first day that he joined [in preseason] that he has something else in the belly that he wants to prove and show.”

His commitment has also been shown away from the main stage. After returning from the States, Ødegaard used the gym of a local school to stay sharp before he even came back into Arsenal action.

What makes him especially valuable is not limited to his technical quality. He connects the squad with the coaching staff, acts as Arteta’s voice on the pitch and serves as the players’ link into the manager’s office. For Arsenal, that combination remains hard to replace.

If the goal is to preserve the standards built under Arteta, Ødegaard’s case is a compelling one.

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Premier League table recalculated without VAR after early season controversy

The table shifts without VAR, but United, Forest and Haaland remain central to the early debate.

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With five games played in the 2026/27 season, the Premier League has already been dragged into a series of officiating disputes despite hopes of a lighter touch. Howard Webb has issued an apology that was quickly rejected, and further explanations are still being awaited across the division.

Removing VAR from the picture changes the table in several places, but Manchester United remain the major talking point. Erling Haaland’s winner in the Manchester derby should not have stood, according to Webb’s own acknowledgement, after officials became caught in what he described as “tunnel vision.” The issue centred on Enzo Fernández’s movement in front of Lisandro Martínez, while VAR Matt Donohue focused on whether Haaland was onside when he turned the ball in past Senne Lammens.

Even so, United would still sit 12th with the additional point, showing that the decision was costly without transforming their wider position.

At the top, Arsenal would move clear of the rest on 12 points, with Brentford and Manchester City next on 11. Liverpool would also be better off overall, although their draw in this version of the table follows the denied goal against Nottingham Forest when Florian Wirtz’s effort was ruled out for offside.

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Forest are one of the biggest beneficiaries of the no-VAR table. Oliver Glasner’s side would climb to 10th, helped by the sense that they have been denied three points in separate incidents. Neco Williams had a goal disallowed against Tottenham Hotspur after an alleged handball in a goal-line scramble with Sandro Tonali, and that decision came without any definitive camera angle proving the offence. Williams later posted: “Clear and obvious they say,” while Glasner added after the Coventry City match: “Of course I have thoughts but I don’t want to speak about it again,” after Igor Jesus was judged to have tripped Caleb Yirenkyi before scoring.

Haaland’s own frustration also featured in the aftermath of the derby. He said: “I thought there was maybe someone who had flicked it, I don’t normally go offside,” and added: “I talked to [referee] Michael Oliver and I told him I took it personal that he thought I went offside.”

The record suggests otherwise. As the draft notes, Haaland has only been correctly flagged offside once this season.

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Why the Premier League has another three-week wait for its return

The Premier League is paused for three weeks as international football takes over until October 10.

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The first chapter of the 2026/27 Premier League season has already been completed, but there will be no league football for the next two weekends. An international break has taken over, and the domestic calendar will remain on hold until October 10.

That pause comes after a strong start from Arsenal, whose perfect record drew talk of a potentially one-sided title race. Yet Brighton & Hove Albion halted that run before the break, a result that offered a reminder that the leaders are not beyond reach.

For now, though, attention shifts away from club football and back to national teams. This is the first time sides have come together since the 2026 World Cup, and the next couple of weeks will be filled with fixtures that should keep supporters occupied.

The Premier League’s return is set for Matchday 6, when Arsenal open the weekend at Emirates Stadium against Leeds United. It will mark the restart of a schedule that has been interrupted by an extended pause created by the international calendar.

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That calendar was changed by the FIFA Council in 2023, leaving only three international breaks this season. September and October have effectively been combined into one longer window, with further breaks still due in November and March.

The stoppage is not limited to England’s top flight. Club football across Europe has also been paused until the second weekend of October, while the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League begins to take centre stage.

Teams will play four times during this window, and several matches stand out. League A includes a rematch of the Euro 2024 final between England and Spain on Sept. 26, Germany against the Netherlands on Sept. 24, France at home to Italy on Oct. 2, and Portugal facing Norway on Oct. 4.

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