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Gameweek 23: Premier League predictions and context

Full predictions and concise context for Premier League Gameweek 23 fixtures and form notes. preview

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European nights produced a strong week for English clubs, with six of eight sides in continental action recording wins. That heavier midweek schedule sets up a full domestic slate and a key Sunday showing that carries the round’s biggest intrigue.

West Ham arrive off Callum Wilson’s late scramble in a 2–1 win at Tottenham, a result that ends a poor run but leaves them five points from safety after Nottingham Forest’s draw with Arsenal. Saturday’s lunchtime kick-off at the London Stadium brings Sunderland, who have depended on home form but travel with players returning from the Africa Cup of Nations. Prediction: West Ham 1–1 Sunderland.

Spurs took a lift from a 2–0 victory over Borussia Dortmund, a result that helps their European position, yet pressure remains on Thomas Frank. Burnley, who earned a point at Anfield recently but have not won in the league since October, welcome Tottenham to Turf Moor. “The doctor will see you now, Mr. Parker… or will he?” Prediction: Burnley 0–1 Tottenham.

Fulham’s rise stalled against Leeds last weekend. The Cottagers should have Alex Iwobi back at Craven Cottage for the visit of Brighton. The Seagulls are four unbeaten in the Premier League despite just two wins in their previous ten across all competitions. Prediction: Fulham 1–2 Brighton.

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Manchester City remain flat after a Champions League defeat to Bodø/Glimt and continued defensive injury problems. Wolves, improving under Rob Edwards and enjoying a rare unbeaten run for a bottom-side, travel to the Etihad. Prediction: Man City 2–0 Wolves.

Liverpool extended an unbeaten run in all competitions to 13 with a win at Marseille and head to Bournemouth, who lack Antoine Semenyo from the season opener. Prediction: Bournemouth 2–2 Liverpool.

Brentford have outperformed expectations and boast strong home form; Nottingham Forest were beaten away in the Europa League in Braga on Thursday. Prediction: Brentford 3–1 Nottingham Forest.

Chelsea ended a league drought with a 2–0 win over Brentford but were fortunate; Crystal Palace aim for a first league victory since December 7 under Oliver Glasner. Prediction: Crystal Palace 1–1 Chelsea.

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Newcastle, inconsistent away but formidable at St James’ Park, host Aston Villa after Villa’s home defeat to Everton and midweek win in Turkey. Prediction: Newcastle 3–2 Aston Villa.

Arsenal lead the table but stumbled at Forest last weekend; Manchester United were excellent in a 2–0 derby win with Bruno Fernandes outstanding. Prediction: Arsenal 3–1 Man Utd.

Monday’s finish sees Everton, with Iliman Ndiaye back from AFCON, host Leeds, who have lost just once in their last ten across competitions. Prediction: Everton 2–1 Leeds.

Schedule and predicted results match the fixtures listed for Saturday, Sunday and Monday kick-offs.

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Arsenal

Arsenal face major selection doubts before Liverpool trip

Arsenal’s injury list is growing before Liverpool, with Rice, Saka, Saliba and others in doubt.

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Mikel Arteta has been left juggling a growing list of fitness worries ahead of Arsenal’s trip to Liverpool, with Declan Rice among those under an injury cloud. The midfielder was forced off against Everton last weekend after, in Arteta’s words, he finished with “a problem”, leaving his availability for Sunday’s clash at Anfield uncertain.

Rice is not the only concern. Arteta admitted after Arsenal’s Carabao Cup exit that “Riccardo was out, Noni was out with an ankle and Declan Rice finished with a problem the other day,” underscoring the scale of the issue facing his side.

Some absences, though, are already clearer. Bukayo Saka has joined William Saliba on the list of long-term injuries after damaging his left quad in the Champions League draw with Bayern Munich. Saka is expected to miss at least six weeks and will not be back before the start of December at the earliest.

Saliba’s situation remains less defined. The defender has not played this season since surgery on a persistent back problem that became too much for him at this summer’s World Cup. Arteta has described the signs in his recovery as “very, very positive”, but he has not offered a return date, with the end of November mentioned only as a loose target.

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There is also uncertainty around Christos Tzolis. The summer signing picked up a thigh problem while on international duty with Greece in the fall and was ruled out for around three weeks. He may yet have a role on Sunday, but his status remains unresolved.

Elsewhere, Max Dowman will not be able to win Arteta over through the FA, although Arsenal could still try to secure the teenager’s availability by appealing his red card against Fleetwood. The 16-year-old was dismissed for kicking out at Harrison Neal, with the force described as minimal but still enough for a straight red. With no VAR at this stage of the Carabao Cup, Michael Salisbury’s on-field call stood at the time. Dowman was found guilty of violent conduct, which the FA Handbook describes as “when a player uses or attempts to use excessive force or brutality against an opponent when not challenging for the ball.”

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Manchester United

Why Manchester United’s Eddie Howe Pursuit Carries a Real Financial Cost

Howe would cost United millions before wages, compensation and debt shape the decision.

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Manchester United’s reported interest in Eddie Howe would not come cheaply. If the club want to move for the former Newcastle United boss, they would first need to pay around $4 million (£3 million) simply to prise him away from the terms of his agreement on Tyneside.

United have told the media, rather than issued a public statement, that Michael Carrick will remain in charge until Saturday’s Premier League match with Chelsea. What comes next is still unclear, and the thinking behind that shift has not been fully explained.

Money is a central part of the issue. Howe is understood to be among the leading candidates for the increasingly unsettled Old Trafford job and could, in theory, be available after leaving Newcastle over the summer. But that departure reportedly triggered compensation of about $4 million, as first revealed by The Guardian.

United would then also need to meet the salary expectations of Howe and his long-serving assistant Jason Tindall, described by The Athletic as “not insignificant in the eyes of United.” Carrick would also require compensation, although United limited that risk by giving the former interim manager a two-year contract rather than the three-year terms usually handed to his predecessors.

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Even combined, the overall bill would still likely sit below eight figures. In the wider world of modern football, that is not an extraordinary sum. Yet in United’s current climate, it is being treated as meaningful. The club has spent the past year under intense financial pressure, with minority co-owner Sir Jim Ratcliffe saying in March 2025 that “the club runs out of money at Christmas” without drastic cost-cutting.

United later announced record revenues above $900 million and an operating profit of $30 million, despite no European football. Still, the club’s debt remains a major drag. Malcolm Glazer’s 2005 leveraged buyout loaded United with borrowing, and in 2025-26 alone the club spent $92.5 million, pushing total expenditure beyond $1.3 billion across two decades.

Chief executive Omar Berrada praised “the underlying strength of our business” while adding: “We will continue to take a disciplined approach to ensure our finances remain sustainable.” That discipline has already shown up in the transfer market, and now appears to extend to coaching decisions as well.

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Man Utd

Sancho weighs Saudi switch after Getafe deal collapses

Sancho has turned down Getafe, with Saudi Arabia now emerging as the likeliest next step.

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Jadon Sancho is reportedly closing in on a surprise move, with a switch to Saudi Arabia now said to be the likeliest outcome after his proposed transfer to Getafe broke down.

According to MARCA, Sancho rejected the La Liga side because he is still seeking a higher salary. The report says he wants €3 million ($3.3 million) per year, a figure that is seven-and-a-half times above what Getafe were ready to offer. That has left the deal dead.

The same report claims a Saudi club has now made a more attractive proposal, and discussions are under way between his representatives and the Middle East. No team has been named.

Sancho is currently out of contract, which means he can sign for a new club outside the transfer window, although registration rules still vary depending on the league. He has been training away from a club since leaving United this summer, while his agents continue to search for a permanent landing spot for the 26-year-old.

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talkSPORT also say Sancho has been offered to West Ham United in the Championship, while several other English clubs have been made aware that he is available on a free transfer. Whether any of those sides will move for him remains unclear.

Earlier reports suggested Sancho understands the appeal of playing outside England after five difficult years at United. During that period, he remained under scrutiny even when on loan with Chelsea and Villa.

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