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A Premier League table without VAR: how Stockley Park changes the standings

A VAR-free Premier League table rewrites standings, lifting Bournemouth and Liverpool in this model.

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Televised replays have long provoked strong views. “If the videotape shows it’s a penalty then all the worse for the videotape,” the Brazilian writer Nelson Rodrigues declared, before adding, “The videotape is stupid.” That scepticism underpins a simple thought experiment: recalculating the season on the basis that on-pitch decisions stood and every penalty overturned by VAR would have been scored.

The exercise is imperfect — disallowed goals and overturned calls change game dynamics — but it offers a clear measure of Stockley Park’s influence. At the summit, Arsenal would still lead on 26 points while Manchester City remain on 22. Bournemouth, however, climb dramatically: the Cherries go from ninth at the international break to third with 20 points, a rise driven in part by Jean-Philippe Mateta’s opening goal at Selhurst Park being given after VAR ruled he was onside.

Liverpool also benefit under the VAR-free model. A point gained from Brentford’s penalty — awarded after VAR judged an offence to have taken place inside the area and converted by Igor Thiago — would turn a 3–2 defeat into a 2–2 draw and lift Liverpool to fourth on 19 points. That follows another contentious episode in which Virgil van Dijk’s goal was disallowed for an apparent offside from Andy Robertson in the loss to Manchester City; Arne Slot conceded that “that debatable decision was not why they were so convincingly beaten.”

Brighton would gain two points from a second-half penalty scrubbed off after VAR judged Georginio Rutter had dived; acting under the assumption that Danny Welbeck would have converted, Brighton rise five places in the table.

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Chelsea are among the biggest beneficiaries of VAR so far. Early-season interventions saw Eberechi Eze have a free-kick ruled out and Fulham punished by decisions at Stamford Bridge, including a disallowed Josh King goal and a penalty awarded after Michael Salisbury’s VAR call. Without those interventions Chelsea would be three points worse off and drop from third to ninth, prompting Marco Silva to call the decisions “unbelievable.”

This VAR-free table is a rough indicator, not a definitive history, but it underlines how a handful of interventions have reshaped the early standings.

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How Ayyoub Bouaddi’s World Cup Showing Has Put Him on Arsenal’s Summer Radar

Arsenal in dialogue with Bouaddi’s representatives after his World Cup display; Lille value at $80.5m.

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Arsenal have opened preliminary contact over Ayyoub Bouaddi after the 18-year-old midfielder’s emergence on the international stage. Bouaddi, who plays for Lille in Ligue 1, joined the club as a young teenager and made his senior debut in 2023, three days after turning 16.

Although born in northern France, Bouaddi switched allegiance to Morocco less than a month before starting Saturday’s 1–1 draw against Brazil to kick off the team’s World Cup campaign. In that match he covered ground across the pitch, hardly misplaced a pass and routinely won possession back, drawing attention to his technical poise and energy.

The Times writes that Arsenal are in contact with the player’s representatives, the preliminary stage of any transfer process to gauge interest from the prospective target. No talks have yet begun between the Premier League champions and Lille, who are thought to value Bouaddi at $80.5 million (£60 million). That is a sum in the same ballpark as the fee that brought Martín Zubimendi to London last July.

Arsenal’s recruitment pattern this summer has leaned toward raw, developing talent. The club has already been linked to other teenage prospects, with 16-year-old Leicester City winger Jeremy Monga considered the “priority” target for the summer—although Brentford appear to hold an advantage in the battle for his signature.

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Competition for Bouaddi is reported to come from Real Madrid, Paris Saint-Germain and Chelsea. Given his rapid rise through Lille’s ranks and the visibility of his World Cup performances, it is clear why he is attracting interest from multiple big clubs. For Arsenal, the move would fit a broader strategy of investing in young players with high ceilings, even when valuations demand significant outlay.

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Brentford’s renewed interest puts Arsenal at risk in chase for Jeremy Monga

Brentford challenge Arsenal for 16-year-old Jeremy Monga with July 10 contract deadline approaching.

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Arsenal face increasing competition from Brentford in the pursuit of 16-year-old Leicester City winger Jeremy Monga this summer. The teenager has been described as a “priority target” for the Gunners as the club looks to consolidate after a summer of heavy spending that helped them become English champions for the first time in 22 years.

Reports in The Times suggest Brentford have “stepped up” their interest and that “formal contact” with the player is expected. Leicester’s relegation from the EFL Championship at the end of 2025–26, and the club’s start to the new season in League One, make Monga’s departure more likely, but there are important timing details that could shape any move.

Monga remains 16 until July 10. That is the date when he turns 17 and can sign a first professional contract with Leicester. If he signs after that date the Foxes can command and negotiate a transfer fee. If he leaves before signing a contract the club would be cut out of the negotiation and would only receive compensation determined by a tribunal under the rules for free agents in England aged 23 or younger, which could be considerably less.

Brentford believe they can offer the young winger more immediate senior opportunities than he might find at a larger club like Arsenal, a factor described as holding “appeal” for the player. There is always the chance that getting stuck on the fringes without consistent opportunities at a bigger club like Arsenal could stall his progress. The Bees can point to a record of developing young players who went on to higher profile moves, such as David Raya and Bryan Mbeumo.

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For Arsenal, and for manager Mikel Arteta, missing out would represent a setback in a transfer area identified as a priority. Should Brentford secure Monga, it would shift the balance in a contest that remains time sensitive and highly consequential for all clubs involved. Were Arsenal to prevail, it would leave consequences for Ethan Nwaneri.

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Arsenal Consider £34m Move for Christos Tzolis as Attack Targets Multiply

Arsenal weigh a £34m move for Christos Tzolis as they pursue multiple attacking targets this summer.

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Arsenal are exploring a move to sign 24-year-old Club Brugge winger Christos Tzolis. Any deal, expected to cost around $46 million (£34 million), is not likely to complicate a potential move for a bigger name like Morgan Rogers, whose price tag is believed to be at least double that of Tzolis.

BBC Sport note that Arsenal’s recruitment chief has already watched Tzolis in action and, after being offered the chance to strike a deal, sporting director Andrea Berta is considering trying to wrap up an early summer deal.

The Gunners have been linked to a whole host of big attackers. Alongside Rogers, the club are reported to be admirers of Atlético Madrid striker Julián Álvarez, while an approach for Juventus winger Kenan Yıldız is thought to have been knocked back.

On paper Tzolis’s record at Norwich City gives reason for caution: he made 14 Premier League appearances for Norwich without scoring in the 2021–22 season and struggled at Carrow Road. In Belgium, however, he has produced a markedly different output.

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Across two seasons in Belgium’s top flight, Tzolis has racked up 43 goals and 45 assists in all competitions, including three goals and four assists in the Champions League. Those numbers represent elite output, although questions about the level of the league are valid—Belgium’s top flight is not the Premier League but is still accepted to offer strong competition.

A lethal eye for both goals and assists has developed during Tzolis’s time in Belgium, having previously been largely known for his electric dribbling. It is no surprise that a number of top sides are chasing his signature. Quizzed on interest from Manchester United earlier this summer, Tzolis told Het Nieuwsblad: “United could certainly convince me. Such a big club, with so much history. It would be hard to say no to that.”

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