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CIES’s Top Ten Teenage Values: A Season-by-Season Snapshot

CIES lists the ten most valuable teenagers: Bergvall, Endrick, Quenda, Lewis-Skelly and others. 2025

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Scouting, data and transfer inflation have pushed more teenagers into football’s economic foreground. CIES Football Observatory’s valuation of the ten most valuable teens captures that shift, and the list reads like a map of recent transfers and early breakthroughs.

Tottenham Hotspur’s Lucas Bergvall arrives first in this story. Spurs paid £8.5 million for the Djurgarden midfielder and, after a breakthrough in 2025, his market value has risen sevenfold. CIES ranks him among the top ten teenagers after a spell adapting to London life when Ange Postecoglou had no choice but to trust the fearless Swede.

Palmeiras produced Endrick and Estêvão. Endrick moved to Real Madrid in a deal reported at $69.4 million, made 37 appearances mostly from the bench in his debut season and has since seen first-team chances limited under Xabi Alonso; a loan to Lyon was mooted. Estêvão joined Chelsea in the summer for an initial £29 million ($38.1 million) and has made an encouraging start at Stamford Bridge.

Sporting CP’s Geovany Quenda will join Chelsea next summer after a £44 million ($57.8 million) agreement. Quenda broke through in Lisbon under Ruben Amorim, became Sporting’s youngest-ever goalscorer and has transitioned from wingback to final-third operator.

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Arsenal’s Hale End continues to supply talent. Myles Lewis-Skelly moved from youth central midfield to operate at left back for Mikel Arteta, has been encouraged to come inside and is now a fully fledged England international. Ethan Nwaneri, who made Premier League history in September 2022 at 15, finished 2024–25 with nine goals in all competitions and remains a key young playmaker.

Paris Saint-Germain’s Warren Zaïre-Emery has earned praise from his manager, who described the then-17-year-old as “humble” and “very intelligent” back in September 2023. “He’s a leader, not with his words but on the pitch,” the PSG manager recently said of Zaïre-Emery, who is adding goals to his game.

Real Madrid paid as much as $73.2 million for Franco Mastantuono after a 2025 Apertura that included a memorable free-kick in the Superclásico. Barcelona’s Pau Cubarsí is the only centre back in the top ten, noted for his passing and partnership with Iñigo Martínez. CIES also highlights Feyenoord’s Givairo Read as the second most valuable teenage fullback, valued at $32.2 million.

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Arsenal

Arteta to Manage Saka’s Minutes as Arsenal Prepare for Champions League Second Leg

Arteta will manage Saka’s minutes ahead of Tuesday’s second leg as Arsenal carry a 1–1 tie. on Tues.

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Mikel Arteta warned he will limit Bukayo Saka’s load after the winger was withdrawn as a precaution at half-time of Saturday’s win over Fulham. Saka had started but was taken off after 45 minutes in the league victory, having recently returned from an injury absence.

“We had to,” the Arsenal boss admitted. “He played 30-odd minutes in Madrid, now he’s played 45 minutes. We need to ramp up his load but we need to be careful because we need him on that pitch.” The remarks offered reassurance to supporters ahead of Tuesday’s Champions League second leg against Atlético Madrid, with the tie level at 1–1.

Saka’s return has coincided with a goal drought among Arsenal’s wide players. After his match-winning first-half contribution on Saturday he was replaced by Noni Madueke. The summer recruit enjoyed a bright start while filling in but has struggled for end product after extended minutes. Noni Madueke has not registered a goal or an assist against top-flight opposition since heading in the opener of a 1–1 draw with Brentford on Feb. 12, 2026.

Leandro Trossard may have created Gyökeres’s third goal against Fulham, but he is still waiting for his first strike of 2026; his last goal against top-flight opposition came on Dec. 30, 2025 versus Aston Villa. Gabriel Martinelli has gone more than three months without finding the net, his most recent goal against top-flight opposition coming on Jan. 28, 2026 versus Kairat.

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During those scoring droughts for Arsenal’s wide players, Saka missed 10 matches through injury, which made his return particularly welcome. “We know what he’s capable of,” Arteta said. “He’s come back in the most important period of the season and now he’s fresh, his mind is fresh, his hunger is at the highest possible height and I think he needed a performance like that to impact the team, so that’s a big platform for Tuesday.”

Saka’s 22-minute cameo in the first leg in Madrid was described as a struggle to find the speed of the contest, and there is hope he will fare better with a start at the Emirates. Availability questions remain elsewhere: Martin Ødegaard missed Saturday’s league outing after reportedly suffering from knee discomfort during the first leg against Atlético.

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Analytics & Stats

Opta Forecast: Arsenal Hold Edge as Title Race, Europe and Survival Remain Tight

Opta model favours Arsenal after 3-0 win; title race, Champions League and relegation remain tight.

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Arsenal sit in control of the Premier League title race after a 3–0 win over Fulham, but the margins are slim. The Opta supercomputer projects Arsenal to finish on 82.28 expected points from their current 76, giving them a 79.70% chance of being champions. Manchester City, on 70 points, are forecast at 79.30 expected points with a 20.30% title probability.

That six-point advantage is meaningful, yet fragile. On paper, Arsenal are in an imposing position, but City face two fixtures that matter: away at Everton on Monday and then Brentford on Saturday. If City are perfect in those games they can erase the gap, and by the time Arsenal next play in the Premier League the two clubs would be level on games played.

The Opta model also lays out the race for Champions League football. Manchester United, on 61 points and an expected 67.03, are shown with a 100.00% chance of qualifying and can confirm their place with victory over Liverpool on Sunday. Aston Villa and Liverpool are close: Villa sit on 58 points with 64.15 expected and a 99.01% chance, while Liverpool also have 58 points with 64.00 expected and a 98.63% chance. Brighton are projected to finish with 55.17 expected points from 50 now and sit on a 0.69% chance of Champions League qualification. Bournemouth (49, 54.45, 0.51%), Brentford (51, 54.30, 0.51%) and Chelsea (48, 53.79, 0.60%) are all shown outside the automatic certainty but still within reach of European action.

At the bottom, the simulation makes relegation clear for two clubs. Burnley (20 points, 22.74 expected) and Wolverhampton Wanderers (18 points, 21.02 expected) have 100.00% relegation chances and will be replaced in the Championship by Coventry City and Ipswich Town. The final slot remains undecided. Nottingham Forest (39, 44.12, 0.97%) look relatively safe, while West Ham (36, 39.25, 48.78%) and Tottenham (34, 38.70, 50.22%) are in the precarious positions. Tottenham are currently backed for the drop, although victory over Aston Villa in Sunday’s late game would see Roberto De Zerbi’s side climb out of the relegation zone with four games left to play.

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Arsenal

Saka’s Return Spurs Arsenal to a 3-0 Victory Over Fulham

Saka returned and influenced Arsenal’s 3-0 win over Fulham; Gyökeres with a first-half brace. Strong.

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Bukayo Saka returned to the starting line-up and played a decisive role as Arsenal recorded a 3-0 home win over Fulham. The result allowed the Gunners to protect energy ahead of Tuesday’s Champions League semifinal second leg against Atlético Madrid while improving their goal difference as a domestic margin.

The performance was Saka’s most influential since a Champions League match with Monaco in December 2024. After that game Arteta challenged his winger to “go to the next step” which came with the target of scoring “30 or 40” goals in a season. Injuries, linked in the piece to Arteta’s demands on his constant involvement, have limited Saka’s minutes. The Fulham match was his first start in any competition since the March international break and lasted 45 minutes.

Arteta had said pregame: “Penetration is one of the words we use the most,” Arteta fretted pregame, “players taking initiative and making things happen … It’s extremely difficult against a team that is so organized, so we need to find other ways.” One chosen route was to involve Saka early, and he produced the spark Arsenal needed.

Viktor Gyökeres opened the scoring after Saka created the opening opportunity, and the Swedish striker later provided the pass for Saka’s goal. Gyökeres’s first-half brace and Saka’s contribution left the home crowd satisfied. Saka did not emerge for the second half, the only noticeable concern from an otherwise controlled afternoon.

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Player ratings (selected):
GK: David Raya 7.7
RB: Ben White 7.1
CB: William Saliba 7.0
CB: Gabriel 7.3
LB: Riccardo Calafiori 7.5
CM: Declan Rice 7.4
AM: Eberechi Eze 6.5
RW: Bukayo Saka 8.7
ST: Viktor Gyökeres 9.1
LW: Leandro Trossard 8.6

Subs of note: Noni Madueke (46’ for Saka) 6.3; Martín Zubimendi (64’ for Rice) 6.9; Gabriel Jesus (64’ for Gyökeres) 6.1.

Key match statistics: possession 54% to 46%; expected goals 2.97 to 0.43; total shots 18 to 10; shots on target 9 to 1; big chances 7 to 1; passing accuracy 89% to 83%; fouls 7 to 12.

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