Premier League
Opta’s Supercomputer Forecasts Liverpool to Retain Premier League Crown in 2025-26
Opta’s supercomputer predicts Liverpool as 2025-26 champions, Arsenal runners-up, with relegations looming.
As the 2025-26 Premier League season nears kickoff, Opta’s supercomputer has released a comprehensive forecast predicting the final standings of all 20 top-flight clubs. This projection offers a clear picture of potential triumphs and struggles across the division.
Liverpool are favoured to defend their title, with a 28.5% probability of clinching back-to-back championships under Arne Slot’s leadership of a talented squad. Arsenal are predicted to finish as runners-up once again, marking their fourth successive second-place finish and carrying a 24.3% chance of capturing their first league title under Mikel Arteta.
Manchester City and Chelsea are both expected to secure top-four finishes. City, despite a subdued previous campaign, hold a stronger title chance (18.8%) compared to Chelsea’s 8.4%. Aston Villa and Newcastle United are poised to compete for Champions League qualification spots, while Crystal Palace, Brighton, Bournemouth, and Brentford are tipped to vie for European competition berths.
The supercomputer predicts Nottingham Forest to drop to 11th after a promising seventh spot last season, with Fulham, West Ham, and Wolverhampton also expected to fall in the standings. Everton is forecast to repeat a 13th-place finish.
Manchester United’s woes continue as they are projected to finish 12th, which could jeopardise Ruben Amorim’s position as their manager. Tottenham Hotspur are expected to improve to 14th, while newly promoted Leeds United, Burnley, and Sunderland face immediate relegation back to the Championship, a trend in recent seasons that underscores the growing gulf between divisions.
Chelsea
Alonso points to Chelsea’s goalkeeping depth amid Costa links
Alonso says Chelsea are happy with Sánchez, Penders and Sharman-Lowe despite Diogo Costa links.
Xabi Alonso has offered a clear indication that Chelsea are content with their current goalkeeping group, despite recent talk of a move for Porto and Portugal goalkeeper Diogo Costa.
The Chelsea boss said he is satisfied with the options already available to him and pointed to the balance of experience and youth in the squad. “I’m very happy with Rob [Sánchez], Mike [Penders] and Teddy [Sharman-Lowe],” Alonso admitted . “Mike is a young goalkeeper that has done a great season at Strasbourg. Rob, he has played many years in the club, in Chelsea , as well as the Premier League , he has experience.
“So to have this security in the goal is important,” Alonso finished.
Those remarks appear to reinforce the idea that Chelsea may be prepared to begin the 2026/27 season without bringing in a new established first-choice goalkeeper. Costa had been mentioned in connection with the club, with the Portugal international long regarded as one of the strongest goalkeepers outside Europe’s top-five leagues. He also impressed for Portugal at the 2026 World Cup.
Porto’s position has remained firm, with the club saying they would only consider a sale if his $68.7 million (£51 million) release clause is met. Even so, recent speculation has suggested Chelsea have not made an enquiry and are not planning a move at this stage.
The club did explore the possibility of signing Mike Maignan last summer, but that transfer did not come together. Instead, Chelsea continued with their internal options, and that approach now seems to be holding.
Sánchez is expected to start the third consecutive season in goal when 2026/27 begins. He had briefly lost the position to Đorđe Petrović in his first campaign, but improved in 2025/26, even if errors remain part of his profile.
Behind him, Penders remains the understudy. Signed in 2024, the 21-year-old Belgium international has spent the last two seasons on loan, first at Genk and then at sister club Strasbourg.
Premier League History
Premier League’s greatest defensive midfielders: a rank of the best ever
A look at the Premier League’s finest defensive midfielders, from anchors to title-winning leaders.
Defensive midfielders rarely dominate the conversation, yet their influence is often decisive. The role asks for tactical awareness, physical resilience, technical security and the discipline to protect a team while helping it build from deep.
Across the Premier League era, those demands have been met by some outstanding No. 6s. From stopgaps who held teams together through difficult stretches to title-winning anchors who shaped the biggest sides, the position has produced a remarkable range of excellence.
Mark Noble spent his entire Premier League career with West Ham United, and that loyalty shaped his reputation. He was never defined by trophies or eye-catching numbers, but he provided stability, leadership and dependability through relegation battles, off-field turmoil and also during more successful periods that included multiple top-seven finishes.
Casemiro arrived with a shorter Premier League stay, but one that carried real weight. Signed from Real Madrid, he brought defensive authority, passing range and an unexpected attacking threat. Even in a difficult period at Manchester United, he produced strong individual performances and helped begin to change the mood at Old Trafford.
Moisés Caicedo is still building his legacy, but his profile already marks him out as elite. He is relentless in the tackle, covers vast amounts of ground and handles the ball with composure. Gareth Barry, meanwhile, earned his place through intelligence, positioning and consistency, becoming the Premier League’s second all-time appearance maker.
Nemanja Matić added protection and composure to Chelsea, helping them win titles in 2014–15 and 2016–17. Javier Mascherano brought aggression and control in equal measure, while Fabinho, at his best, was a high-level ball-winner and a crucial figure in Liverpool’s title-winning side in 2020.
Gilberto Silva offered calm control behind Arsenal’s unbeaten champions, and Mousa Dembélé made himself almost impossible to dispossess. Declan Rice, now a Premier League champion with Arsenal, combines ball-winning, carrying and relentless coverage, while Xabi Alonso provided one of the finest passing ranges in the game from deep.
Fernandinho anchored Manchester City for almost a decade and was central to five league titles. Michael Essien, Michael Carrick, Claude Makélélé, Yaya Touré, N’Golo Kanté and Patrick Vieira each brought their own defining qualities, but all left a lasting imprint on the competition through quality, influence and achievement.
Arsenal
Arsenal’s Romero Links Sit Against a Rare Transfer History Between North London Rivals
Arsenal’s Romero interest meets Tottenham resistance, with rare direct transfers between the clubs.
Arsenal have been mentioned in connection with a surprise move for Tottenham Hotspur captain Cristian Romero, but the story may already be fading. Atlético Madrid are reportedly in talks over the Argentina defender, while Spurs would not consider selling him to their local rivals in any case.
Romero’s recent spell has not been straightforward. He was sent off twice last season, missed games through suspension, dealt with injuries and was briefly set on skipping the final match of the campaign to watch boyhood club Belgrano take on River Plate in Argentina. He eventually returned to England for that game, which was also attended by other unavailable players.
The reaction around him has been sharp at times. Glenn Hoddle said: “I’d drive him to the airport and say don’t bother coming back.” Roberto De Zerbi said he understood “100%” why supporters were angry, even though Romero’s trip to Argentina for injury rehabilitation had been arranged with staff.
Arsenal’s reported “admiration” for Romero was noted by The Athletic, but the move is regarded as a “non-starter.” The idea also recalls the Sol Campbell transfer in 2001, though that move was very different. Campbell joined as a free agent after running down his Tottenham contract and was free to choose his next club without Spurs having a say.
William Gallas was the last player to move directly between Arsenal and Tottenham, joining Spurs in 2010 after leaving Arsenal on a free. Others, including David Bentley and Emmanuel Adebayor, represented both clubs without switching straight from one to the other. Harry Kane also had a brief spell in Arsenal’s youth system before Spurs took him on after he had been released as an eight-year-old.
The direct path between the clubs has been rare for decades. Since 1919, only a small number of players have crossed the divide.
For Arsenal, the timing is driven by defensive pressure. Mikel Arteta has seven players who can operate in central defence, but only Gabriel, William Saliba and Cristhian Mosquera are regular centre backs. Piero Hincapié, Jurriën Timber, Riccardo Calafiori and Ben White have all been used elsewhere, and Saliba is set to miss an “extended period” with a back injury.
Spurs, meanwhile, have already strengthened. They have brought in Jan Paul van Hecke and Marcos Senesi, while also having Kevin Danso, Ben Davies, Kōta Takai and Archie Gray available in or around central defence. Even so, the club will not move Romero to Arsenal.
