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Gameweek 15 Preview: festive grind begins with Villa v Arsenal and a testing schedule for the big clubs

Midwinter Premier League test: Villa vs Arsenal kicks off a packed Gameweek 15 with big implications

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A rare midweek round left Premier League squads tired heading into a congested festive period. Saturday lunchtime brings a high-stakes fixture as Aston Villa host Arsenal after both clubs have produced one of the division’s best recent runs. Only Manchester City can better Aston Villa and Arsenal’s league record across the past five matches, and Villa Park promises a frenetic start to Gameweek 15.

Former Arsenal manager Unai Emery has been a recurring problem for his former club, with the Gunners having only one win in their previous four meetings with him. Villa recovered from two goals down to beat Brighton 4–3 midweek and have won their last eight home games in all competitions. Arsenal look superior this season, but a stumble here could increase pressure if Man City beat Sunderland later the same day.

Chelsea’s hopes of entering the title race were damaged by a 3–1 defeat at Elland Road to Leeds. Enzo Maresca’s side face Bournemouth, who have lost four of their last five matches and have dropped to 14th. Chelsea remain inconsistent, so victory is not guaranteed, but a positive result would keep them on the periphery of contention.

Nottingham Forest’s appointment of Sean Dyche has brought three wins from four and a climb out of the relegation zone to 16th. Everton have also won three of four and will look to get one over their former manager. Defences should dominate this encounter.

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Man City arrive at the Etihad after two chaotic wins, including a 5–4 victory at Fulham and a 3–2 win over Leeds. Sunderland have already taken points from Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool and will aim to test City again. Denying Erling Haaland and Phil Foden will be crucial.

Newcastle must beat Burnley as they aim to climb the table; Burnley have lost five straight in the Premier League. Tottenham host Brentford in a match that pits Thomas Frank against his former club and his former set-piece coach Keith Andrews. Liverpool travel to Leeds under pressure following another inconsistent performance. Brighton can finish the weekend in the top four with victory over West Ham. Fulham and Crystal Palace should be tight, and Manchester United are expected to beat winless Wolves on Monday.

Predictions: Aston Villa 1–1 Arsenal; Bournemouth 2–2 Chelsea; Everton 1–0 Nottingham Forest; Man City 2–1 Sunderland; Newcastle 2–0 Burnley; Tottenham 2–1 Brentford; Leeds 2–2 Liverpool; Brighton 3–1 West Ham; Fulham 1–1 Crystal Palace; Wolves 1–2 Man Utd.

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International

Five notable talking points from the 2026 Ballon d’Or vote

Ballon d’Or results brought surprises, with Fernandes, Ruiz, Olise and Simón all prompting debate.

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The 2026 Ballon d’Or has been settled, with Harry Kane finishing on top after a voting year that produced several eye-catching results.

The headline names at the summit were expected to draw attention, but the real intrigue came further down the list. Some finishes felt harsh, others reflected the weight of trophies, and a few placements invited closer scrutiny.

Bruno Fernandes was the most striking example. No one is suggesting he should have won the award outright, yet placing him 27th, only one spot ahead of Al Qadsiah’s Julián Quiñones, was a major surprise. The Manchester United captain may have been affected by a recent dip, even though the judging period was meant to end on July 19. Over the 2025-26 season, he set a Premier League record for assists in a single campaign and was named the division’s Player of the Year, but he still finished behind five other Premier League players. A place inside the top 15 would have looked far more reasonable.

Fabián Ruiz also caused debate. His case was built on medals, not volume. A regular for the Paris Saint-Germain team that kept the Champions League and won Ligue 1, he also added the World Cup with Spain. That is a strong résumé, yet 10th still feels generous when weighed against his workload. He played only 20 Ligue 1 matches, started 13 of them, and finished the season with three goals and six assists across 2,634 minutes for club and country.

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Michael Olise, one place above Fabián, had a compelling claim to a far higher finish. In 52 matches for Bayern Munich, he produced 22 goals and 31 assists, then added seven assists at the World Cup, a tournament record. Those numbers were exceptional, even if they were compared with Kane’s even stronger output.

Unai Simón’s victory among goalkeepers was shaped heavily by Spain’s World Cup success. He conceded just one goal in the tournament, but over the full campaign he allowed 54 in 37 La Liga appearances for an Athletic Club side that finished 12th. His 64.9% save rate was bettered by 16 goalkeepers in Spain’s top flight alone.

The Kopa Trophy, meanwhile, went to the expected winner. Lamine Yamal finished third in Ballon d’Or voting and retained the youth award, which underlines how established he already is in the game.

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Manchester United

Carrick’s Manchester United future hangs in the balance as talks continue

Carrick’s future is unclear as United weigh managerial options, finances and the Chelsea fixture.

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Michael Carrick’s position at Manchester United remains unsettled, with uncertainty surrounding both his immediate future and the club’s next step. Gary Neville described his former teammate as “a dead man walking” after the 3-0 defeat to Bournemouth, and reports suggested United were already identifying possible replacements. Yet by Monday morning, Carrick was still carrying out his duties as usual.

According to the Daily Mail, he was at the training ground to watch a behind-closed-doors U-21 friendly with Hull City. It is still not clear whether he will lead the first-team session on Tuesday, or whether he will still be in charge for Saturday’s Premier League meeting with Chelsea. That uncertainty reflects the broader confusion around the situation.

While Carrick watched young players such as Shea Lacey, Tyler Fletcher and Harry Amass, The Athletic reported that “crunch talks” were taking place among the key decision-makers. Those involved were thought to include minority co-owner Sir Jim Ratcliffe, majority shareholders Joel and Avram Glazer, chief executive Omar Berrada and sporting director Jason Wilcox.

United supporters made their feelings clear on Sunday. The manager was warmly received, while the players and club executives were met with fierce criticism from the stands. Carrick, however, cannot be blamed for the 13 years of poor results since Sir Alex Ferguson departed. As Ratcliffe said in 2024: “There have been a whole series of coaches, some of which were very good. And none of them were successful, or survived for very long. The only conclusion you can draw is that the environment in which they were ­working didn’t work.”

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That environment still appears deeply flawed, but changing one manager is easier than overhauling the wider structure. Even so, deciding who should come next has not been straightforward. Wilcox is believed to prefer former Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe, while Christopher Vivell is reported to favour Julian Nagelsmann. Antonio Conte has also been linked, with BBC Sport saying the Italian would be “keen” on the role.

Financial considerations may also be slowing the process. The Athletic reported “lingering suspicions” that cost is part of the delay. Carrick is four months into a two-year deal, and any severance would be “considerable.” Hiring a replacement would also bring extra expense, with The Guardian stating that Howe’s appointment would cost around £3 million ($4 million), plus the cost of bringing his staff with him.

For now, there are “no guarantees” Carrick will be in place for Chelsea. The fixture matters both immediately and longer term, with United needing Champions League qualification to give any future manager meaningful backing.

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Differentials

GW9 cheap forwards: Evanilson, Calvert-Lewin, Jackson or Barry?

Evanilson gets our vote for regular starts. Calvert-Lewin and Barry suit planned rotation, while Jackson offers Villa’s six-match run at a higher price.

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Evanilson is our GW9 pick if you need a forward to start through the next fixture run. At £6.2m, he costs £0.1m more than Dominic Calvert-Lewin and £0.5m less than Nicolas Jackson. Calvert-Lewin suits a squad with cover for difficult away matches, Jackson deserves consideration over six Gameweeks, and Thierno Barry offers the cheapest route at £5.6m.

Choose the role before making the transfer. You can accept a difficult fixture on a rotating third forward. You have less room for one when you need him in your XI each week.

Evanilson: our first choice for regular starts

Bournemouth face Leeds at home in GW9, Ipswich away in GW10 and Nott’m Forest at home in GW11. Evanilson gives you a route through those three matches without planning an immediate benching or another transfer.

He has started eight league matches and averages 84.8 minutes per match. His 0.41 xG/90 and 0.13 xA/90 produce 0.54 expected goal involvements per 90. Those season-to-date measures describe the chances he has had and created; they do not promise future returns.

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We prefer him to Jackson when the extra £0.5m matters and you want a forward for the next three deadlines. Bournemouth then visit Fulham before hosting Brighton and Hull in GW13–14, so you can also consider a longer hold.

His selection record supports the purchase, but competition can change. Check the team news before treating eight starts as a guarantee of the ninth.

Calvert-Lewin: plan the bench before buying

At £6.1m, Calvert-Lewin has averaged 85.4 minutes per match and produced 0.47 xG/90 alongside 0.02 xA/90. He also has first penalty priority. You can make a sound case for him when you can choose his starts.

Leeds visit Bournemouth in GW9 and host Spurs in GW10. The matches that demand planning are Chelsea away in GW11 and Man City away in GW13. Between them, Leeds host Coventry in GW12, with Ipswich at home in GW14.

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Name the player who would replace Calvert-Lewin in your XI for those two away trips. If that player has a good fixture and a dependable role, the rotation can work. If you would have to start a doubtful substitute or spend another transfer, the £0.1m saving against Evanilson offers little comfort.

You can test those GW11 and GW13 line-ups in the We Play FPL planner before confirming the move. Planning future squad drafts and transfers helps you judge whether you have enough cover.

Jackson: consider the full Villa run

Jackson costs £6.7m. Villa host Fulham in GW9, visit Man Utd in GW10, then face Sunderland at home, Ipswich away, Everton at home and Crystal Palace at home through GW14.

For a manager planning six Gameweeks of starts, that run makes him a credible alternative. The cost is the £0.5m premium over Evanilson. Jackson averages 78.1 minutes per match, with 0.30 xG/90 and 0.14 xA/90. His 0.44 xGI/90 trails Evanilson’s 0.54, so the extra spend depends on how you value Villa’s fixtures and Jackson’s role.

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He sits second in the penalty order. Make the purchase on his open-play prospects and fixture run rather than assuming penalty returns.

Barry: the lowest-cost rotation option

Barry costs £5.6m, saving £0.6m against Evanilson. He has started eight matches, averages 85.3 minutes per match and has produced 0.67 xG/90 plus 0.02 xA/90. His 0.69 xGI/90 leads this group, though you should read it alongside the fixtures rather than turn it into a scoring forecast.

Everton visit Newcastle in GW9 and host Coventry in GW10. Brentford away, Liverpool at home and Villa away follow before Fulham at home in GW14.

We favour Barry when you want a playing third forward and can pick his starts. Coventry and Fulham at home offer two clear uses. Buying him for six automatic starts would require more confidence in the difficult matches between them.

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Pick the forward your XI needs

For regular use from GW9, Evanilson gets our vote. Choose Calvert-Lewin when you can cover Chelsea and Man City away. Consider Jackson when you can afford £6.7m and want Villa’s six-match run. Barry suits a lower-cost third-forward spot with planned rotation.

Before committing, check the latest selection news and your intended XI for GW11 and GW13. A forward who fits those line-ups will serve your squad better than one chosen on price or the latest return alone.

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