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Gameweek 12: Compact predictions and rationale for every Premier League fixture

Gameweek 12 predictions concise assessments of each Premier League fixture and projected scorelines.

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The final international break of the calendar year is over and the Premier League returns with a round of fixtures that could shift narratives up and down the table. The weekend presents key meetings for clubs chasing honours and those fighting to climb away from trouble. Below are concise predictions and the reasoning that informs them.

Burnley v Chelsea
Chelsea remain within striking distance of the summit despite an inconsistent start. They are six points behind Arsenal and host the Gunners next weekend. The Blues travel to newly promoted Burnley, coached by ex-Chelsea midfielder Scott Parker, and should avoid a repeat of their shock slip at Sunderland. Prediction: Burnley 0–2 Chelsea.

Bournemouth v West Ham
Bournemouth have been one of the season’s feel-good stories but arrive after consecutive defeats, most recently a 4–0 loss at Aston Villa. Their home form has been strong, with four wins and a draw from five league games. West Ham have won successive matches under Nuno Espírito Santo but have struggled away. Prediction: Bournemouth 2–1 West Ham.

Brighton v Brentford
Brighton and Brentford are closely matched on points and goals, and three of their last six meetings have finished level. Both have 16 points and 17 goals apiece, making this a tight fixture where in-form forwards could decide the outcome. Prediction: Brighton 1–1 Brentford.

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Fulham v Sunderland
Sunderland have impressed with results including a win over Chelsea and a draw with Arsenal, guided by the signing of the summer Granit Xhaka. Fulham are looking to derail Sunderland’s momentum. Prediction: Fulham 1–1 Sunderland.

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest
Liverpool’s title defence is fragile after a heavy defeat to Manchester City and a poor recent run. Nottingham Forest, under Sean Dyche, have steadied and registered a first league win under him, but this is a demanding assignment for Forest. Prediction: Liverpool 2–1 Nottingham Forest.

Wolves v Crystal Palace
Rob Edwards returns to Molineux with Wolves still searching for a first league victory, while Crystal Palace have remained competitive under Oliver Glasner despite the departure of Eberechi Eze. Prediction: Wolves 1–3 Crystal Palace.

Newcastle v Man City
Erling Haaland’s goals have restored Manchester City’s fear factor. Newcastle remain stronger at St James’ Park but face a difficult trip. Prediction: Newcastle 1–2 Man City.

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Leeds v Aston Villa
Aston Villa showed their potency with a 4–0 win over Bournemouth and travel as favourites to Elland Road, where Leeds have produced their best displays but lack consistency. Prediction: Leeds 1–3 Aston Villa.

Arsenal v Tottenham
The north London derby is the weekend’s headline. Arsenal need a response after a draw at Sunderland and will rely on a strong defensive record at home against a Tottenham side unbeaten away. Prediction: Arsenal 2–0 Tottenham.

Man Utd v Everton
Manchester United have won four successive home league games and look in good form at Old Trafford. Everton have struggled away and will need sparks from Jack Grealish or Iliman Ndiaye. Prediction: Man Utd 3–1 Everton.

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Analytics & Stats

One priority signing each Premier League club should target before the window closes

A club-by-club look at the main transfer priority every Premier League side still needs to address.

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With less than a month left in the transfer window, Premier League clubs are still expected to be busy. Incomings and outgoings remain likely across the division, and every side still appears to have at least one clear gap to fill before the deadline.

Arsenal may be attracting attention with their pursuit of Vinícius Júnior, but their bigger need is in central midfield. Declan Rice carried too much of the load last season, while Martín Zubimendi faded after the break and Myles Lewis-Skelly is not yet fully trusted there. Another box-to-box midfielder would help enormously.

Aston Villa could soon be short at left back if Lucas Digne leaves, which would leave Ian Maatsen as the only senior option. Bournemouth need more depth in wide areas, Brentford still require a more natural left back, and Brighton & Hove Albion must replace the goals lost with Danny Welbeck’s move to Chelsea.

Chelsea, meanwhile, have done plenty of work already but still have not addressed the goalkeeper position. Robert Sánchez improved in 2025-26, yet the club still look in need of a top-class solution.

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Elsewhere, Coventry City are close to signing Carl Rushworth permanently and would then turn to left back. Crystal Palace need centre-back reinforcements after losing Marc Guéhi and Maxence Lacroix, while Everton must add a defensive midfielder after Idrissa Gana Gueye’s departure.

Fulham will look for winger depth after strengthening up front, Hull City want more options in attack, and Ipswich Town are still waiting for a central midfielder. Leeds United may also need another striker to cover for Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s injury record.

Liverpool’s most pressing issue is out wide, Manchester City need a right back, Manchester United still want a more destructive midfielder, and Newcastle are alarmingly short at left back. Nottingham Forest must replace Elliot Anderson in midfield, Sunderland need more balance on the left side, and Tottenham Hotspur have already moved aggressively to rebuild after last season’s collapse.

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Arsenal Restore Yellow For 2026-27 Third Kit

Arsenal have brought back yellow for their 2026-27 third kit, with ambition driving the new design.

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Arsenal have revived a familiar look for their 2026-27 third strip, bringing back yellow for the first time in five years.

The colour had not appeared on the pitch since 2021-22, when it was last used in match kit form. Since then, it has been kept largely for lifestyle collections, but it now returns for Mikel Arteta’s side as they prepare for the new campaign.

Released with the tagline “Arsenal State of Mind,” the design is built around the idea that the club is “more than a club” and instead “a shared sense of possibility.” That message fits the mood around Arsenal this season, with expectations high after last season’s Premier League title and a drive to add European success.

Alessia Russo spoke about what the kit represents from a player’s perspective. “Being part of Arsenal means being part of something bigger than yourself,” said Arsenal Women forward Alessia Russo. “There’s a sense of belief, ambition and togetherness that connects everyone who loves this club.

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“That’s what Arsenal State of Mind means to me. It’s the feeling that we’re all part of the same journey and pushing towards the same goals. We can’t wait to wear this kit and create more amazing memories with our supporters this season.”

The third kit is completed with navy shorts and socks, and is now available through Arsenal and adidas.

The club’s ambitions do not stop there. Kai Havertz made clear that the target is to keep pushing after last season’s league triumph. “We want all the trophies,” he vowed. “That’s what we’re here for. We won the Premier League now but there’s a lot more that we can do.

“We have to reach another level to make that happen because we know how long the season is and how hard it is to go through all the competitions. We want to do it better again this year and make things happen again.”

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He continued: “I think we can, or we have to go further. ”

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Vinícius Jr salary link would push Arsenal’s wage bill to new heights

Vinícius Jr could top Arsenal’s wage bill, but Erling Haaland still leads Premier League pay.

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Arsenal’s pursuit of Vinícius Jr. has been described as one that could reshape the club’s wage structure from top to bottom. Reports suggest the reigning Premier League champions are prepared to do whatever it takes to land the Real Madrid forward, with The Athletic also indicating that any package could be strengthened by a substantial sign-on bonus and image rights arrangement.

If a move is completed, the financial impact would be immediate. Even if Vinícius Jr. arrived on the same salary he currently earns at Real Madrid, he would still leap ahead of every player in the Arsenal squad. That alone shows the scale of the proposed deal and why it would be viewed as a major statement from the champions as they look to protect their crown.

At present, Bukayo Saka is Arsenal’s highest earner after signing a new five-year contract earlier this year reportedly worth around £300,000 ($402,000) per week. Kai Havertz follows on approximately £280,000 ($378,000) weekly, according to The Guardian. Declan Rice is reported by The Independent to earn around £250,000 ($337,000) per week, while Martin Ødegaard is said by The Athletic to be on approximately £240,000 ($319,000) per week, with his current deal running until 2028.

Those figures would all sit below a Vinícius-level salary. The Brazilian would move clear of Arsenal’s current top tier and become the club’s most expensive player by a significant distance.

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Even so, that would not place him at the summit of Premier League pay. That position remains with Erling Haaland. The Manchester City striker signed a nine-and-a-half-year extension in January 2025, with The Guardian reporting that the contract is worth around £500,000 ($674,000) per week.

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