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Premier League

Opta’s Supercomputer Forecasts Liverpool to Retain Premier League Crown in 2025-26

Opta’s supercomputer predicts Liverpool as 2025-26 champions, Arsenal runners-up, with relegations looming.

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As the 2025-26 Premier League season nears kickoff, Opta’s supercomputer has released a comprehensive forecast predicting the final standings of all 20 top-flight clubs. This projection offers a clear picture of potential triumphs and struggles across the division.

Liverpool are favoured to defend their title, with a 28.5% probability of clinching back-to-back championships under Arne Slot’s leadership of a talented squad. Arsenal are predicted to finish as runners-up once again, marking their fourth successive second-place finish and carrying a 24.3% chance of capturing their first league title under Mikel Arteta.

Manchester City and Chelsea are both expected to secure top-four finishes. City, despite a subdued previous campaign, hold a stronger title chance (18.8%) compared to Chelsea’s 8.4%. Aston Villa and Newcastle United are poised to compete for Champions League qualification spots, while Crystal Palace, Brighton, Bournemouth, and Brentford are tipped to vie for European competition berths.

The supercomputer predicts Nottingham Forest to drop to 11th after a promising seventh spot last season, with Fulham, West Ham, and Wolverhampton also expected to fall in the standings. Everton is forecast to repeat a 13th-place finish.

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Manchester United’s woes continue as they are projected to finish 12th, which could jeopardise Ruben Amorim’s position as their manager. Tottenham Hotspur are expected to improve to 14th, while newly promoted Leeds United, Burnley, and Sunderland face immediate relegation back to the Championship, a trend in recent seasons that underscores the growing gulf between divisions.

Arsenal

Eze volley and a resolute defence secure 1-0 win for Arsenal over Crystal Palace

Eze’s volley from Declan Rice’s free kick decided defensive encounter as Arsenal kept a clean sheet.

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Eberechi Eze’s first-half volley proved decisive as Arsenal closed out a 1–0 victory over Crystal Palace at the Emirates. The goal, from a Declan Rice free kick in the 39th minute, was the only breakthrough of a tight contest and preserved Arsenal’s defensive run.

The opener arrived when Rice’s lofted free kick dropped 15 yards out. Eze reacted first, meeting the loose ball on the volley and converting the chance, described in the report as the first Premier League goal of his Arsenal tenure against his former club. “There is something in your tummy,” Arteta said of the feeling a player has up against his former club. Eze’s strike gave the hosts room to breathe and allowed their attack to flow more freely in the second half.

Defensively Arsenal were compact. David Raya was not unduly tested and, for the sixth half of Premier League football in succession, was not forced into a single save. Gabriel nearly extended the lead five minutes after the interval, crashing a header from a set piece against the crossbar amid penalty-box scramble.

Arsenal’s backline held firm in the closing stages as Dean Henderson and Crystal Palace probed without creating a clear chance. The clean sheet was Arsenal’s 10th of the season.

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Player ratings (out of 10):
GK: David Raya — 8.2
RB: Jurriën Timber — 7.4
CB: William Saliba — 6.7
CB: Gabriel — 7.7
LB: Riccardo Calafiori — 7.1
CM: Eberechi Eze — 7.9
CM: Martín Zubimendi — 7.4
CM: Declan Rice — 7.7
RW: Bukayo Saka — 7.1
ST: Viktor Gyökeres — 6.2
LW: Leandro Trossard — 7.1

Substitutes: Cristhian Mosquera (46’ for Saliba) 6.7; Gabriel Martinelli (66’ for Saka) 5.8; Piero Hincapié (82’ for Calafiori) N/A; Mikel Merino (82’ for Rice) N/A; Myles Lewis-Skelly (87’ for Eze) N/A. Subs not used: Kepa Arrizabalaga, Ben White, Christian Nørgaard, Ethan Nwaneri.

Crystal Palace starting XI: Dean Henderson; Chris Richards, Maxence Lacroix, Marc Guéhi; Daniel Muñoz, Adam Wharton, Daichi Kamada, Tyrick Mitchell; Ismaïla Sarr, Yeremy Pino; Jean-Philippe Mateta. Subs used: Eddie Nketiah, Will Hughes, Borna Sosa, Jefferson Lerma, Christantus Uche.

Match statistics: Possession 66%–34%; xG 0.11–0.08; Total shots 3–3; Shots on target 2–0; Passing accuracy 88%–73%; Fouls 3–6; Corners 0–2.

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Brentford

Henderson urges patience as he assesses Liverpool after Brentford victory

Henderson urged patience, calling Liverpool a world-class side despite recent poor results. Be calm.

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Jordan Henderson used his post-match briefing after Brentford’s result against Liverpool to offer a measured assessment of his former club and to appeal for patience from their supporters.

Having faced Liverpool for the first time since leaving the club in 2023, Henderson encouraged backing for Arne Slot’s side while acknowledging their recent run of poor results. He stressed his view that quality remains across the Liverpool squad.

“You look all over the pitch, there’s not much to go at, they’re all quality players,” he said. “I don’t really see a weakness in the team.

“I know there’s been results of late that haven’t been great for them but, for me, they’re still top players and a top, top team and it’s a matter of time before they get in a rhythm and get going.

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“I think there’s been reasons why they haven’t hit the heights from last season but they’re still a world-class team and wherever you look on the pitch there’s world-class players, so it’s always going to be difficult but I thought the [Brentford] lads dug deep, stuck together and caused some problems on the counter.”

Henderson’s own history with Liverpool framed his comments. His first meeting with Liverpool took place in March 2011 when he was at Sunderland; he moved to Anfield that summer and remained there for 12 years, a period that produced Premier League and Champions League success.

Reflecting on that time, he said: “I had been at Liverpool for so long,” the midfielder reflected. “It’s always deep inside me forever now as it was my life for 12 years.

“It was a little bit strange but as soon as the whistle went, it was business as usual and I was ready to go and I’d be in the right frame of mind, which I was.

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“I was fully in and felt as good as I ever have. I was there 12 years, dedicated a lot of my life to it. My kids were born there. It holds a special place in my heart.

“I still want Liverpool to do well—of course not when we’re playing them—but overall. That will never change. The fans have always been amazing. It was nice to see a few of them, I know a few of them left a bit early because of the result. But it was nice to see them again.”

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Man Utd

Man Utd raise concerns with Premier League over midweek home schedule

Man Utd lodged a complaint with the Premier League over a heavy run of midweek home fixtures and TV.

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Manchester United have formally notified the Premier League that their upcoming fixture pattern, which contains no home weekend matches until Christmas, is a matter of concern for the club and supporters. United’s 4–2 victory over Brighton on Saturday evening was the team’s last weekend fixture at Old Trafford for the next two months. The next three scheduled home matches will all take place on weekdays, complicating travel and attendance for fans planning to attend Everton, West Ham and Bournemouth.

United CEO Omar Berrada has contacted Premier League CEO Richard Masters to discuss what the club describes as an unfavourable sequence of fixtures and its effect on match-going supporters. The Athletic report the two parties had a “constructive conversation” centred around the “cultural importance” of supporters, who face greater difficulty attending games at Old Trafford on weekdays as opposed to weekends. Man Utd also requested any broadcast-related schedule changes be done with greater advanced notice so fans can properly plan during a time of increased commitments due to the holiday season.

The club’s schedule through to Christmas includes the following fixtures and kick-off times as listed by the club:

Nottingham Forest (A) — Saturday, Nov. 1 — 4 p.m. BST / 11 a.m. ET / 8 a.m. PT
Tottenham Hotspur (A) — Saturday, Nov. 8 — 12:30 p.m. BST / 7:30 a.m. ET / 4:30 a.m. PT
Everton (H) — Monday, Nov. 24 — 8 p.m. BST / 3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT
Crystal Palace (A) — Sunday, Nov. 30 — 12 p.m. BST / 7 a.m. ET / 4 a.m. PT
West Ham (H) — Thursday, Dec. 4 — 8 p.m. BST / 3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT
Wolves (A) — Monday, Dec. 8 — 8 p.m. BST / 3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT
Bournemouth (H) — Monday, Dec. 15 — 8 p.m. BST / 3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT
Aston Villa (A) — Sunday, Dec. 21 — 4:30 p.m. BST / 11:30 a.m. ET / 8:30 a.m. PT

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Next up for Man Utd are consecutive Saturday trips to the City Ground and Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to face Nottingham Forest and Tottenham Hotspur. The Red Devils return to Old Trafford on Monday, Nov. 24 to host Everton, then travel to Selhurst Park the following weekend to meet Crystal Palace. Four days later United are due to host West Ham, then face Wolves away before Bournemouth visit on Monday, Dec. 15. The final match before Christmas is away at Aston Villa.

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