Aston Villa
European results put Premier League’s extra Champions League place in jeopardy
England’s extra Champions League place is at risk after a poor week in continental competition 2026.
An unexpectedly difficult week in the Champions League has increased the risk that the Premier League will lose the extra qualification place it enjoyed this season.
The additional berth was an European Performance Spot awarded when UEFA expanded the Champions League to 36 teams. To earn an EPS a domestic league must finish in the top two of the annual UEFA club coefficient rankings, calculated from results in the Champions League, Europa League and Conference League and adjusted by the number of clubs. This season England’s total is divided by nine.
Points are awarded at two for a win and one for a draw, with progression bonuses of 1.5, 1.0 and 0.5 for the Champions League, Europa League and Conference League respectively. Those rewards helped England top the current coefficient table on 22.513, ahead of Spain (18.031) and Germany (18.000).
That high average supported an EPS in 2024–25 and helped Newcastle qualify for the 2025–26 Champions League from fifth place. Combined with Tottenham’s Europa League triumph as a qualification route, England supplied six Champions League entrants this season and nine teams across the three UEFA competitions.
With Arsenal and Manchester City relatively secure in the top two of the Premier League, Manchester United, Aston Villa, Chelsea and Liverpool are contesting the remaining domestic qualifying berths. If England retains five Champions League places only one of those four would need to miss out; if EPS status is lost and England drops to four places, two will.
All nine English clubs reached the knockout phase of their respective competitions, including Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest in the Europa League and Crystal Palace in the Conference League, giving the Premier League a strong chance of another EPS. Yet the Champions League setbacks this week — with half of England’s teams facing near-certain elimination ahead of second legs and none of the other three in a comfortable position — have narrowed the margin for error.
The principal threat to England’s standing comes from Spanish and German clubs, fuelled by the performances of Real Madrid and Bayern Munich. Italy is judged less likely to overtake England with Atalanta on the brink of elimination and Bologna and Roma drawn against each other in the Europa League.
The next rounds will determine whether England can preserve the extra spot or see its Champions League access revert to the top four only for 2026–27.
Aston Villa
Next five fixtures: how Man Utd, Aston Villa, Liverpool and Chelsea stack up
Next five fixtures for Man Utd, Aston Villa, Liverpool and Chelsea will influence the top-five race.
The 30th weekend of Premier League action closed with results that tightened the conversation around the top five. Manchester United, Aston Villa, Liverpool and Chelsea each confront runs of fixtures that could define their finishes.
Aston Villa’s reverse at Old Trafford was another disappointing entry on a poor run of form. Arsenal sit 19 points clear of Emery’s side, and the defeat was notable for Ollie Watkins being withdrawn after an hour. Morgan Rogers was also ineffective in that match.
Chelsea suffered their own setback on Saturday. Referee Paul Tierney interfered with their pre-match routine and, as the coverage noted, “don’t forget folks, you must pay respect to the ball”. Liam Rosenior’s side conceded a preventable goal to Anthony Gordon.
Those two results helped Liverpool climb back into the Premier League top five, but they did not fully capitalise. Liverpool were held to a 1–1 draw by Tottenham Hotspur. The match featured a problematic moment from Guglielmo Vicario when facing Dominik Szoboszlai’s free-kick.
European results will influence whether five Premier League places for continental competition are available. After the first legs of the round of 16, the situation is less promising than it once appeared.
Fixtures coming up (next five):
Man Utd: Bournemouth (A) – March 20; Leeds (H) – April 13; Chelsea (A) – April 18; Liverpool (H) – May 2; Brentford (H) – April 27.
Aston Villa: West Ham (H) – March 22; Nott’m Forest (A) – April 11; Sunderland (H) – April 18; Fulham (A) – April 27; Tottenham (H) – May 2.
Liverpool: Brighton (A) – March 21; Fulham (H) – April 11; Everton (A) – April 19; Tottenham (H) – May 2; Man Utd (A) – May 2.
Chelsea: Everton (A) – March 21; Man City (H) – April 12; Man Utd (H) – April 18; Crystal Palace (H) – April 25; Brighton (A) – April 26.
Manchester United’s home run has included wins over Manchester City, Villa, Tottenham, Crystal Palace and Fulham. Three of United’s next five are at Old Trafford. Bournemouth’s form can vary, and there is a mouthwatering clash with Chelsea in the colloquially named Alejandro Garnacho derby.
Aston Villa’s schedule appears friendly on paper, but Emery’s Europa League glory hunters are low on confidence and rank in the bottom five for Premier League points picked up in 2026. West Ham and Nottingham Forest present real threats in fixtures that carry relegation stakes.
Aston Villa
United Hold Firm to Beat Villa as Fernandes Hits Century of Assists
United beat Villa 3-1 as Fernandes reached 100 assists for the club and Cunha supplied the finish…
Manchester United produced a controlled home display to defeat Aston Villa 3–1 at Old Trafford. Villa levelled early through Ross Barkley’s crisp left-foot drive, but Matheus Cunha turned the game with a well-timed run in behind Ezri Konsa and a composed finish beyond Martínez.
Bruno Fernandes again shaped the decisive moves. He was the architect of Cunha’s goal and, across the afternoon, accumulated his 15th and 16th assists of the 2025–26 Premier League season, taking him to 100 assists for the club. His brilliant pass for Cunha was his 16th assist of this Premier League season, breaking United’s club record previously held by David Beckham. Benjamin Šeško’s deflected effort later wrong-footed Martínez and put the result beyond doubt.
The match also underlined Casemiro’s return to form. Once criticised during 2024–25 and the target of the comment “Leave the football before the football leaves you,” from Jamie Carragher, Casemiro has since become a steadying presence. Approaching the end of his contract and having communicated that he’ll be leaving in the summer, he has stabilised things for Carrick since he took interim charge, complemented Kobbie Mainoo and added a renewed goal threat, including from set pieces. Fans may well hope for one more year if this level continues.
Player ratings:
GK: Senne Lammens—6.5: Barely called into action. Could do nothing to stop Barkley’s low drive.
RB: Diogo Dalot—7.3: Recalled for Noussair Mazraoui and justified his selection.
CB: Leny Yoro—7.7: Maturing and making better decisions; the back four switch suits him.
CB: Harry Maguire—7.4: A hooking on the hour-mark for Ollie Watkins underlines his handling of Villa’s main threat.
LB: Luke Shaw—7.4: Perhaps his most consistent spell in terms of performance and fitness.
CM: Casemiro—7.7: Another game, another goal for the serial Champions League winner.
CM: Kobbie Mainoo—8.0: Outperformed Amadou Onana and Ross Barkley, sending a strong signal to England manager Thomas Tuchel.
RM: Amad Diallo—7.7: Restored to the lineup for Šeško, solid but offered limited end product.
AM: Bruno Fernandes (c)—8.9: The standout, providing the decisive pass and a club-record assist tally.
LM: Matheus Cunha—7.9: A superbly timed run and finish.
ST: Bryan Mbeumo—6.5: Hard-working for 75 minutes but lacked clinical edge.
SUB: Benjamin Šeško (75’ for Mbeumo)—7.0: Converted to make it his eighth goal of the season.
SUB: Manuel Ugarte (90’ for Casemiro)—N/A
Unused subs: Altay Bayındır, Ayden Heaven, Tyler Fletcher, Noussair Mazraoui, Mason Mount, Joshua Zirkzeem, Tyrell Malacia.
Match stats: possession 53% to 47%, xG 1.07 to 1.02, shots 16 to 9, shots on target 6 to 2, big chances 3 each, passing accuracy 85% each, fouls 10 to 5.
Aston Villa
Carrick opts for pressing pace as Šeško starts on the bench against Aston Villa
Carrick benches Šeško for Villa, restoring Amad and deploying Mbeumo to lead the press and counters.
Michael Carrick has left Benjamin Šeško on the bench for the visit of Aston Villa, bringing Amad Diallo back into the starting lineup and moving Bryan Mbeumo to lead the attack. Carrick has restored the Cameroonian to the centre forward role, hoping the intense pressing that has powered recent improvements can also end a four-match scoring drought for Mbeumo.
United’s uptick under Carrick has involved discarding Ruben Amorim’s 3-4-2-1 structure in favour of a disciplined, organised press that has forced errors from Manchester City, Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur. That approach depends on relentless running from Mbeumo, Amad, Bruno Fernandes and Matheus Cunha to unsettle opponents and force mistakes.
Amad’s work on the right has been particularly noteworthy. His willingness to track back and support either Diogo Dalot or Noussair Mazraoui adds balance, and his tackling improved when he operated as a right wingback for Amorim. Mbeumo provides similar levels of running but is not as sharp in the tackle as Amad, according to the observations reported.
Durability also plays a part. Amad has completed the full 90 minutes in five of the seven Premier League matches he has started, while Šeško has had far fewer full matches. Šeško has shown value as an impact option, frequently coming on to replace either Mbeumo or Cunha depending on the state of a game.
Aston Villa arrive with injury issues but remain a compact defensive unit noted for their ability to absorb pressure and make it difficult to play through. Carrick may therefore favour players who can hurt Villa on the counter, prioritising acceleration and quick transitions. Mbeumo, Cunha and Amad offer that burst in abundance; Šeško is quick once at top speed but does not possess the same initial acceleration.
Fulfilling his prematch media duties, Carrick admitted taking Šeško out of the team was not a decision he took lightly.
“Yeah, we’ve just got a good forward line to choose from, and it’s just getting that balance right really from game to game.” he told Sky Sports. “Whether it’s starting the game, whether it’s the impact coming off the bench.
