Let Thursday, March 5, 2026, stand out as the night Spurs\u2019 supporters allowed themselves to believe again. The lift lasted only minutes. A Micky van de Ven tug on Isma\u00efla Sarr\u2019s shirt led to a quick turnaround; within 13 minutes, Solanke\u2019s smart tap-in left Tottenham a man down and 3\u20131 behind. Supporters headed for the exits or a sombre half-time beer.<\/p>\n
The table is tight: Leeds (31 points), Tottenham (29 points), Nottingham Forest (28 points), West Ham (28 points). A home defeat to Sunderland left Leeds two points clear of Tottenham and three ahead of West Ham. Yet Leeds have rarely looked like relegation candidates since November, when a switch to a back three improved their form.<\/p>\n
On paper Leeds have the easiest run-in, their remaining opponents averaging a league position of 13.2. Forest (9.8) and West Ham (9.1) face tougher sequences but both are showing more cohesion and belief than Spurs. Forest have difficult trips to Sunderland, Chelsea and Manchester United, but they also host Aston Villa, Burnley, Newcastle and Bournemouth. West Ham will rely on home support down the stretch and have fixtures including Manchester City and Wolves.<\/p>\n
Tottenham have managed just four points from 11 games in 2026 and \u201cdon\u2019t look like winning a game until they face Lincoln City in August,\u201d according to the current assessment in the draft. They do, however, host vital six-pointers against Nottingham Forest and Leeds. All of their away trips look daunting, not least the trip to Anfield, which comes after the first leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie against Atl\u00e9tico Madrid.<\/p>\n
After the club parted ways with Thomas Frank last month, Opta\u2019s supercomputer had Spurs\u2019 relegation probability at less than 4%. With Igor Tudor now overseeing a third straight defeat, Opta has increased that chance to 16.1%. West Ham\u2019s survival odds are just under 50% and Forest sit on 26.88%. Wolves and Burnley are described as all but condemned.<\/p>\n
Tottenham still have home dates with Chelsea at Stamford Bridge late in the season and a final day meeting with Everton at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium could yet be decisive.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
A March defeat left Tottenham precarious; Opta now gives them a 16.1% relegation chance. After March.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7704,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[172,187],"tags":[1162,1047,1458],"class_list":["post-7705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-epl","category-tottenham-hotspur","tag-analytics","tag-champions-league","tag-championship"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7705","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7705\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7704"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}