Wrexham remain in the hunt for a third straight promotion after rising from a poor start in the Championship, but the path to the Premier League runs through the playoffs. The oldest club in Wales have found more consistent form since a difficult opening to the season, yet dropped points in their last two league matches against Millwall and Bristol City have checked their momentum.<\/p>\n
Opta\u2019s supercomputer supplies a clear snapshot of the title race and the contest for the top six. Coventry sit top of the table on 62 points with Middlesbrough one point behind on 61. The model predicts Coventry will finish on 85.43 expected points with a 47.12% chance of the title, while Middlesbrough are on 84.76 expected points and a 34.32% title probability. With totals so close, the margin for error in the final three months is minimal.<\/p>\n
In the race for the playoffs, Opta projects the following outcomes. Ipswich Town (54 current points) are expected to reach 80.53 points with a 63.22% playoff probability. Millwall (56) are forecast to reach 77.27 points and hold a 76.96% chance. Hull City (54) are predicted to finish on 76.17 points with a 75.86% playoff likelihood. Southampton (46) are projected at 68.07 expected points and a 26.42% chance of making the top six.<\/p>\n
Derby County (48) and Wrexham (48) are modelled to finish close together on around 67 points: Derby on 67.82 expected points with a 24.60% playoff probability and Wrexham on 67.41 expected points with a 20.86% chance. Preston (48) are at 66.60 expected points and 15.76% probability, while Bristol City (47) sit at 65.73 expected points and a 12.22% chance.<\/p>\n
Teams finishing third to sixth contest the playoffs, with the winner joining the top two in promotion to the Premier League. Opta currently backs Ipswich Town, Millwall, Hull City and Southampton as the four sides most likely to contest the playoff places. For Wrexham, the model shows they are close but marginally outside the projected top six, leaving their dream of reaching the Premier League dependent on results in the run-in.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Opta gives Wrexham a 20.86% shot at the playoffs; promotion still relies on results down the run-in.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6939,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1249,1421],"tags":[1162,1458],"class_list":["post-6940","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-championship","category-wrexham","tag-analytics","tag-championship"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6940","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6940"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6940\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6939"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6940"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6940"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6940"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}