The Opta supercomputer places Morocco as the clear favorite to win the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations. Hosting the tournament for the first time since 1988, Morocco combine home advantage with recent international form: they are FIFA\u2019s highest-ranked African nation at 11th and their fourth-placed finish at the 2022 World Cup remains in recent memory. The model assigns Morocco a 19.1% chance of lifting the trophy.<\/p>\n
Morocco\u2019s squad depth helps explain that projection. Achraf Hakimi is listed as the talisman, supported by Brahim D\u00edaz, Noussair Mazraoui and Yassine Bounou.<\/p>\n
Three of the supercomputer\u2019s four leading candidates come from North Africa. Egypt sits on a 12.4% chance. Mohamed Salah, Omar Marmoush and their teammates arrive with expectations after finishing runners-up in 2021, although Egypt have not claimed the title since 2010. Senegal are narrowly behind on 12.3%. The 2021 champions are the second highest-ranked African nation at 19th in FIFA\u2019s standings. Twenty of their travelers play in Europe\u2019s top five leagues, while three of the seven who do not are \u00c9douard Mendy, Kalidou Koulibaly and Sadio Man\u00e9.<\/p>\n
Algeria are given a 12.0% chance of a third title. They last triumphed in 2019 and their squad includes Rayan A\u00eft-Nouri, Mohamed Amoura and 34-year-old captain Riyad Mahrez.<\/p>\n
Nigeria are the fifth favorites at 7.3%. Despite offensive quality from Victor Osimhen and Ademola Lookman, the supercomputer flags Nigeria\u2019s defence as short of elite options.<\/p>\n
Tunisia (6.8%) and reigning champions Ivory Coast (6.7%) register almost identical probabilities. Tunisia have reached the quarterfinals in four of the last five tournaments. Ivory Coast, while no longer inspired by the generation that included Didier Drogba and Yaya Tour\u00e9, still possess ample talent after winning on home soil two years ago.<\/p>\n
Mali (6.4%) and Cameroon (4.1%) are long-shot possibilities. Cameroon face internal turmoil after a public dispute between Cameroonian Football Federation president Samuel Eto\u2019o and manager Marc Brys; Brys refused to be sacked on the eve of the tournament and selected his own squad despite Eto\u2019o also choosing a roster. South Africa (2.2%), DR Congo (2.0%) and the tournament underdogs Zimbabwe (0.2%) and Botswana (0.2%) complete the lower end of the model\u2019s projections.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Opta’s model gives Morocco a 19.1% chance to win AFCON; Egypt, Senegal and Algeria close behind. via<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5246,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[230,961],"tags":[1211,1162],"class_list":["post-5247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analytics-stats","category-international","tag-africa-cup-of-nations","tag-analytics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5247"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5247\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5246"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}