Arsenal moved another step toward the Premier League title with a 1-0 win over Burnley, a result built on set-pieces and a tense performance. The victory continued a run of responses since the defeat at the Etihad Stadium last month, even if the Gunners have often struggled to dominate opponents aside from their game against Fulham.<\/p>\n
Opta\u2019s supercomputer places Arsenal top as the season approaches its climax. The model gives Arsenal 82 actual points and predicts a final total of 84.18 points, translating to an 86.44% chance of winning the title. Opta had been heavily confident ahead of the Burnley game too, offering the Gunners an 87.8% probability of taking the penultimate fixture \u2014 the second-highest pre-game likelihood recorded by Opta across the last five Premier League seasons.<\/p>\n
Manchester City remain Arsenal\u2019s only realistic challengers. City sit on 77 points with a prediction of 81.15 and a 13.56% title chance. The domestic cup double winners still have one away test to navigate before \u201cSunday\u2019s shootout.\u201d Opta notes City could reclaim the title on goal difference if they win both remaining matches and Arsenal draw on the final day.<\/p>\n
Pep Guardiola\u2019s impending departure after a decade of dominance is a background to City\u2019s run-in. He is aiming to avoid back-to-back seasons without winning the league title for the first time in his managerial career, but recent form has not helped his side; they drew at Everton two weeks ago and remain five points behind with two fixtures left.<\/p>\n
Arsenal\u2019s home programme is complete and only a trip to Crystal Palace on May 24 remains. The Eagles may be preoccupied with the Conference League final, but Oliver Glasner is described in the context of a possible disruptor. With Arsenal\u2019s recent displays, a win at Selhurst Park is far from guaranteed, although Opta\u2019s projections suggest the Gunners may not need to win to seal the title.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Opta’s model makes Arsenal heavy favourites to clinch the 2025\/26 title despite nervy victories still<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13902,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[192,238,172],"tags":[1162],"class_list":["post-13903","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-arsenal","category-manchester-city","category-epl","tag-analytics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13903","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13903"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13903\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13902"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13903"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13903"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13903"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}