A predictive model has dramatically raised the pressure on West Ham United after their defeat at St. James’ Park. A contentious VAR decision and a ragged opening 20 minutes on Tyneside left the visitors chasing the game and provided the context for a result that has altered survival projections.<\/p>\n
Newcastle produced one of their better home performances in a difficult season, while West Ham offered a return to their early-season inconsistency. The hosts raced into a 2\u20130 lead through Nick Woltemade and William Osula, leaving the Hammers on the back foot. Taty Castellanos produced a superb finish to give a brief window for recovery, but West Ham never found the level required and fell short.<\/p>\n
The model\u2019s table assigns clear probabilities to the bottom of the table. Tottenham are shown with 38 actual points, a predicted points total of 40.55 and a relegation chance of 6.17%. West Ham sit on 36 actual points with a predicted 37.49 and a 93.83% chance of relegation. Burnley (R) and Wolves (R) are listed with 21 and 19 actual points respectively, predicted points of 22.71 and 20.26, and both carry 100% relegation probabilities.<\/p>\n
For Tottenham supporters there was relief amid lingering frustration. Fans left the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium feeling they had missed a chance to pull further clear, despite holding on for a point against Leeds. Roberto De Zerbi\u2019s side now require a single point from their remaining fixtures to secure safety.<\/p>\n
Nuno Esp\u00edrito Santo\u2019s team face an uphill battle to avoid the drop. The report notes West Ham\u2019s issues with set-up, sloppiness and lack of intensity out of possession as factors that accelerated their decline on the day. With Chelsea at Stamford Bridge and other demanding fixtures to come, Tottenham\u2019s remaining matches will determine whether the small relegation risk becomes academic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
After a VAR controversy and a poor opening 20 minutes, West Ham’s relegation risk is high. at 93.83%<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13880,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[194,969,1464],"tags":[1162],"class_list":["post-13881","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-newcastle-united","category-premier-league","category-tottenham","tag-analytics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13881","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13881"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13881\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13880"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13881"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13881"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13881"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}