Opta\u2019s supercomputer predicts a tight finish to the Premier League season with Arsenal remaining the favourite and Manchester City closing the gap.<\/p>\n
City\u2019s 3\u20130 win over Crystal Palace on Wednesday reduced the deficit to two points, with both title contenders having two league games remaining. Opta projects Arsenal to finish on about 83.50 points and awards them an 85.68% chance of securing the title. The forecast notes Arsenal face Burnley and Crystal Palace to close their campaign.<\/p>\n
Manchester City are predicted to end on roughly 80.43 points and carry a 14.32% probability of overtaking Arsenal. Opta highlights City\u2019s recent wins against Brentford and Crystal Palace but also points to the costly draw at Everton as influential in the projection. City\u2019s final fixtures against Bournemouth and Aston Villa are listed as challenging.<\/p>\n
Below the top two, Opta forecasts Manchester United to finish third on 68.13 points and to have already secured Champions League qualification. The model credits United\u2019s resurgence under Michael Carrick and projects their best placing since 2022\u201323. Liverpool are tipped for fourth with about 62.33 points and a 97.03% chance of Champions League football next season.<\/p>\n
Aston Villa are forecast fifth on 61.07 points with an 87.18% chance of that finish, although a Europa League triumph would also guarantee Champions League entry. Bournemouth and Brighton are predicted to occupy sixth and seventh with roughly 57.46 and 56.11 points respectively; Bournemouth\u2019s 17-game unbeaten run is noted despite the model favoring them for sixth.<\/p>\n
Opta places Chelsea and Everton around the mid-50s point totals, with Chelsea projected to finish ninth on about 52 points. The model underlines Chelsea\u2019s lack of a league victory since March 4 and contrasts that with last summer\u2019s Club World Cup and the club\u2019s fourth-place position on Christmas Day.<\/p>\n
At the bottom, Opta frames a relegation fight centred on Tottenham and West Ham. Spurs drew 1\u20131 with Leeds while West Ham lost 1\u20130 to Arsenal. Roberto De Zerbi\u2019s men retain a two-point buffer, and the model gives Spurs a narrow edge to avoid relegation by that margin.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Opta predicts Arsenal to finish on 83.50 points (85.68%). Man City projected 80.43 (14.32%). End May<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13794,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[230,192,172],"tags":[1162],"class_list":["post-13795","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analytics-stats","category-arsenal","category-epl","tag-analytics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13795","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13795"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13795\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13794"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}