Opta\u2019s supercomputer has maintained a clear preference for Arsenal as the title run-in tightens following Saturday\u2019s fixtures. The model assigns Arsenal 81.52 predicted points from their current 73 and a 70.85% chance of winning the title. Manchester City, on 70, are forecast to finish on 79.35 points with a 29.15% chance.<\/p>\n
Mikel Arteta warned there would be \u201cplenty more strife to come\u201d after his side’s win, and he insisted the Newcastle match was \u201cGame One\u201d of a five-match shootout. Opta\u2019s projection appears to value remaining fixtures as much as form: Arsenal still face two of the current bottom four, plus Crystal Palace and Fulham, while City\u2019s run includes Everton, Brentford, Bournemouth and a final day trip to Aston Villa.<\/p>\n
The supercomputer also sees the Champions League places effectively settled. Manchester United, Liverpool and Aston Villa \u2014 each on 58 points \u2014 are predicted to finish on 65.75, 63.99 and 64.27 respectively, with qualification chances above 96% for all three.<\/p>\n
Europa and Conference places are less clear. Brighton lead the models for sixth with a projected 56.41 points and a 44.69% likelihood of finishing sixth. Bournemouth, Chelsea, Brentford, Fulham and Everton remain in contention but are given substantially lower chances.<\/p>\n
At the other end, Burnley and Wolves are confirmed as relegated in the projections with 100% probabilities. Leeds and Nottingham Forest are given minimal relegation risk, while West Ham and Tottenham occupy the precarious middle. Opta gives West Ham a 38.26% relegation probability and Tottenham a 58.57% chance. The draft weekend drama left Spurs briefly out of the drop zone on April 26 before events at other grounds swung matters back: Jo\u00e3o Palhinha\u2019s winning goal at Molineux and Everton\u2019s late equalizer earlier in the day were followed by Callum Wilson\u2019s winner for West Ham, ensuring his side remained two points clear of Tottenham.<\/p>\n
Opta\u2019s forecast narrows the gap between the top two to two predicted points, underscoring how small margins over the final fixtures may decide the title.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Opta’s supercomputer gives Arsenal a 70.85% title chance after Saturday’s win in “Game One” Arsenal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13042,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[230,192,172],"tags":[1162,1611],"class_list":["post-13043","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analytics-stats","category-arsenal","category-epl","tag-analytics","tag-supercomputer-prediction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13043","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13043"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13043\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13042"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13043"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13043"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13043"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}