With seven games remaining in the 2025\/26 season, Tottenham Hotspur face a precarious run-in after Igor Tudor’s departure. Opta\u2019s supercomputer has updated its projections and places Spurs with a 27.00% chance of relegation. That figure is nearly 24% higher than when former manager Thomas Frank departed the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in early February.<\/p>\n
The model treats Burnley and Wolverhampton Wanderers as virtual certainties to drop. Burnley sit on a 99.90% chance of relegation, marginally above Wolves at 99.88%. Above those two, the table becomes far tighter. West Ham United are in immediate danger, with the supercomputer assigning a 57.03% probability that Nuno Esp\u00edrito Santo\u2019s side will go down.<\/p>\n
Current points and expected points used in the projection show the narrow margins. Leeds have 33 points and expected points of 41.88 (7.21% relegation risk). Nottingham Forest sit on 32 points and 40.94 expected (8.83% risk). Tottenham have 30 points with 38.43 expected. West Ham are one point behind Spurs on 29 and 37.00 expected. Burnley are on 20 points with 26.17 expected and Wolves 17 points with 24.95 expected.<\/p>\n
Fixture lists for both clubs help explain the probabilities. Both Spurs and West Ham still face Wolves and Everton at home in matches that could be decisive. Tottenham also have trips or fixtures against Sunderland, Chelsea and Aston Villa and home matches against Brighton, Everton and Leeds. West Ham\u2019s schedule includes Wolves, Crystal Palace, Everton, Brentford, Arsenal and Newcastle, with several difficult games grouped together.<\/p>\n
The model underlines how small margins can determine survival. With just one point separating Tottenham and West Ham, a single result could reshuffle expectations and change which team occupies the relegation positions as the season enters its final weeks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Opta gives Tottenham a 27.00% chance of relegation with seven games left after Tudor’s exit. Update.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10194,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[230,172,1464],"tags":[1162,1556],"class_list":["post-10195","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analytics-stats","category-epl","category-tottenham","tag-analytics","tag-premier-league-survival"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10195","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10195"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10195\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10194"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10195"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10195"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.weplayfpl.com\/news-articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10195"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}